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Wednesday, April 28, 2004 |
Neyer-Do-Well
I've already commented on Rob Neyer's facility with statistical analysis; now we get to the point about his trade analysis as well. Sean at Purgatory Online pokes a couple holes in Neyer's belief that Glaus will be long-termed this year. (Hey, Sean, you forgot to bag on him for not picking up on Salmon's classic "April? Isn't that part of Spring Training?" hitting approach.) But while we're taking our licks out on Neyer, let's not forget this one:
Player: Carlos BeltranRob -- you're completely forgetting:
Team, Position: Royals, CF
Replacement: David DeJesusBeltran's probably going to wind up with the Yankees, and the only real question is when; if the Royals turn things around this season, Beltran signs the five-year, $75 million contract next November. If the Royals continue to struggle, Beltran gets traded in July to the Yankees for Dioner Navarro and a Grade B pitching prospect.
In the short-term, Beltran's place in center field will be taken by David DeJesus, who recently has been installed as the regular left fielder. Long-term, the Royals are hopeful that Chris Lubanski, their No. 1 draft pick last June, will take over in the center field, with DeJesus moving back to left.
- The Dodgers have actual talent in their minors -- not just junk thrown in for the purposes of making trades later (cf Nick Johnson).
- The Dodgers have DePodesta running the show.
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