6-4-2 — an Angels/Dodgers double play blog: Do The Math

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Thursday, July 22, 2004

Do The Math

Foreword: I really hate this new Blogger interface. It has a strong tendency to eat your input, which the old one didn't. For instance, in Mozilla, if you click on a link that causes focus to move to the Blogger entry window, and you go back, it's all gone. I don't know if it's a Moz bug but it's damned annoying.

Anaheim Angels, AL West

Month	Record	WPCT
April	13-10	.565
May	17-10	.630
June	11-16	.407
July	8-9	.471

Assume the division will be taken with 95 wins, the current rate of the Texas Rangers. The Angels would have to win 46 out of the remaining 68 games to play, or a .676 WPCT, higher than they've done even when they had Glaus's bat in the lineup. But what about the wild card? The A's and Red Sox are on target for a .548 WPCT, or an 89-73 record. So say 90 wins gets the wild card. That still means a .556 WPCT, and the team would have to win 42 of 68, or a .618 WPCT, a rate they only accomplished in May with Glaus.

Los Angeles Dodgers, NL West

Month	Record	WPCT
April	14-8	.636
May	13-14	.481
June	12-14	.462
July	15-3	.833

The Dodgers are on pace to take the division with 94 wins, or a .581 WPCT; they're currently 54-39. To keep this up, the Dodgers have to win 40 more games from the 69 remaining, or a winning percentage of .580.

Shut up, Rob. You'll jinx it.

Update: oops, got the games remaining WPCT for the Dodgers wrong. It's a mite higher.

// posted by Rob @ 7:36 AM link // 3 comments