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Monday, September 27, 2004

Playoff Report

The Marlins are done, thanks to the Braves. The Cubs, who lost to the Mets 3-2 in a game that Kerry Wood lost for them with a horribly shaky first inning, need to hope they magically clinch over the next four games, their last series against a weak team; they end their season against Atlanta. The Reds are even worse than when we saw them last, with closer Danny Graves and 10-6 starter Paul Wilson spending time on the DL, though both are back now. San Francisco's E number for the Wild Card is seven, so the Cubs really need a sweep of the Reds to push the matter home, and for San Francisco to drop three of their upcoming series against the Padres to clinch before Friday. The Cubs lost to the Mets Saturday, 4-3, putting in doubt a return trip to the postseason, though more optimistic Cubs fans will note Clay Davenport's postseason projections still have them as 3:1 favorites. The Giants play their remaining games on the road, the Cubs at home; the Cubs should clean up, but as with the Phillies, the Marlins, and even the Reds, what should happen and what has happened are two very different things.

On that thought, you can ask Cap'n Happy how much happier he is in New York, especially after getting shelled by the Red Sox, giving up four runs in the first inning. The Yanks' season isn't really in doubt, of course; they've clinched a playoff seat one way or another, and the Red Sox are only a game or two away from that goal as well; the Angels' E number for the Wild Card is now two, so it's division-or-bust for the Halos, whose playoff chances doubled overnight; Clay gives them a 16% shot at the division.


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