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Tuesday, April 26, 2005 |
Vazquez v. Peavy: Second Best In The West?
I got some interesting comments in the post about yesterday's game, questioning whether Jake Peavy or Javier Vazquez is actually the second best pitcher in the NL West. It's a good question, so let's take a peek at VORP over the years:
Year Vazquez Peavy ======================= 2004 23.1 57.5 2003 53.0 29.2 2002 29.8 5.7 2001 53.4 2000 48.1 1999 8.2 1998 -12.3
Now, this is hardly conclusive. PECOTA thinks Peavy had an outlier year in 2004; as well, it projects a similar downturn for Vazquez. But given Vazquez' history and Peavy's lack thereof, not to mention Vazquez' return to the NL and exit from the Bronx, I'd still take Vazquez over even Brandon Webb as the long-term pick to become Arizona's ace.
Comments:
I tried to choose my words carefully, but I was probably still too inarticulate.
To clarify -- thus far, Vazquez hasn't pitched as well as Webb or Halsey. By the end of the year, I definitely expect him to have a better year than Halsey and probably Webb.
But I still think Peavy is a better pitcher than Vazquez.
To clarify -- thus far, Vazquez hasn't pitched as well as Webb or Halsey. By the end of the year, I definitely expect him to have a better year than Halsey and probably Webb.
But I still think Peavy is a better pitcher than Vazquez.
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