Monday, July 04, 2005
In Disaster, Opportunity
I say this partly to highlight the differences between the two teams' farm systems. The Dodgers, for all their good drafts, still aren't making usable spare parts, and the front office has all but directly blamed the junk currently playing at the major league level for its travails. But it's also true that DePodesta has taken a lot of chances on guys who have had the "injury risk" tag attached (Penny, Bradley, Werth, and Drew come immediately to mind) -- and has duly gotten burned. Houlton has been good at times, but the pixie dust wore off last night. Thompson found himself unused for most of a month and then sent down to AAA Las Vegas, where he's earned a 4.50 ERA in two starts. Cody Ross is filler. Mike Edwards could be a useful part (though he clearly has no business playing in the outfield), but Mike Rose is a big question mark.
For my part, I have no grand plan to save 2005; it's beyond redemption. I just don't know if it makes sense to be a buyer or a seller at the trade deadline.
Not only that, but as Depo said, when Dodgers players have gotten hurt, they've been out for unbeleivably long periods of time. Other than Escobar, the Angels haven't had that problem.
Finally, I think it's fair to say that the Dodgers took some risks, but the disapointing thing is that other than Perez, these guys aren't getting hurt in any predictable way. Even if you thought Bradley was a risk, who could predict the ligament tear. Sure, Drew's knees were a concern, and they have predictably caused him to miss a few games. That was manageable, this isn't.
Anyhow, I think this just has to be explained by bad luck, and I really don't think that there was anything Depo could have done differently other than have a deeper bench.
And, what is Depo supposed to say? Should he come out and apologize to Plaschke for trading Loduca? Really, the only thing he can do is come out and level with the fans about what his plans are. If he's going to take this opportunity to rebuild then he needs to come out and explain that without any more of this talk about 'getting one more bat,' or whatever.
That being said, I agree that Depo has to take some blame, but mainly because he's the guy in charge, not due to any specific action I can name. And, believe me, he'll take plenty in the local papers and with the fans without saying or doing anything else.
It's sort of like the Angels a couple years back. Can you lay all the blame on Stoneman for having a team that wins the World Series one year and doesn't make the playoffs the next?
Oh, the horror! The horror!
any way to pro-rate those DL days to projected VORP or something? that'll give you a better idea about which team has been hurt the most by injuries.
It doesn't help that I'm obscenely jealous of the Angels' pitching staff, which we could be in first place with too.
Probably the biggest question is why we let the D-Backs throw at us without hesitation.
Having said that, it will, almost assuredly, cause him to have some reduced power immediately after returning (see Jayson Werth).
Werth is also going to be gone soon. (My prediction)
Where on Earth would Salmon play on this team? Is he better than Juan Rivera? DaVanon? His lack of production the last couple of years would say no.
Vishal: let me judo that response back at you: Dessens is a nonentity. There were concerns about Perez's shoulder before he was long-termed; should we dismiss that now?
Sure Kotchman, McPherson, and Santana haven't been perfect. But where's the love for Peralta and Woods? I just don't buy the age excuse, either. Some of these guys should be close to ready. We keep hearing about how great these drafts are; what are we supposed to do, wait until 2007 or 2008 until the farm starts producing? Some of these guys are going to be ready in three years.
Or maybe not, and it's all just the fabulists at Baseball America stroking scouting director ego.
*Dodgers Pitchers = 4.965 Total; 0.046 Daily*
*Dodgers Hitters = 5.969 Total; 0.158 Daily*
*Dodgers Total = 10.934 Total; 0.204 Daily*
Vladimir Guerrero: 18 * 0.062 = 1.116 Total; 0 Daily
Steve Finley: 11 * 0.03 = 0.33 Total; 0.029 Daily
Orlando Cabrera: 1 * 0.034 = 0.034 Total; 0.032 Daily
Adam Kennedy: 22 * 0.041 = 0.902 Total; 0 Daily
Tim Salmon: 60 * 0.034 = 2.04 Total; 0.026 Daily
Bengie Molina: 17 * 0.028 = 0.476 Total; 0 Daily
Robb Quinlan: 1 * 0.002 = 0.002 Total; 0.001 Daily
Macier Izturis: 13 * 0.024 = 0.312 Total; 0 Daily
Lou Merloni: 8 * 0 = 0 Total; 0 Daily
Curtis Pride: 1 * 0 = 0 Total; 0 Daily
*Angels Pitchers = 5.212 Total; 0.088 Daily*
Kelvim Escobar: 11 * 0.166 = 1.826 Total; 0 Daily
Francisco Rodriguez: 7 * 0.051 = 0.357 Total; 0 Daily
Matt Hensley: 0 * 0.152 = 0 Total; 0 Daily
Bret Prinz: 34 * 0.03 = 1.02 Total; 0.014 Daily
*Angels Hitters = 3.203 Total; 0.014 Daily*
*Angels Total = 8.415 Total; 0.102 Daily*
The Angels have indeed been hit hard, but not as hard as the Dodgers. Additionally, the difference between the Angels farm system and the Dodgers is that the Angels have AAA talent, whereas the Dodgers do not. That helps tremendously when dealing with injuries. All of the Dodgers talent resides in AA or below, which is directly correlated with Logan White's tenure (2002-). The fact that they are not ready to contribute has to do with age (21 - 22 year olds) and draft philosophy (primary projectable high-school players). They're still going to be a lot of great major leaguers in the bunch, but we need to give them more time.