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Wednesday, July 27, 2005

Pickoff Moves, Lunchtime Edition

Two On Park Effects

Baseball Prospectus is giving away their content for the week, so you can see this Dayn Perry article without having to shell out for it, you cheap bastards. (No, really, you should pay them for it, and with monthly subscriptions only costing $5, it's well worth it.) Perry's riff complains that while park factors have started to get good currency within baseball, there's even more value to be had by doing things like looking at splits across handedness. Check out these home run factors for select parks:

Park               LHB HR Factor          RHB HR Factor
=======================================================
Astros             84                     116
A's                97                     114
Cubs               97                     137
Devil Rays         98                     75
Mariners           113                    86
Mets               115                    77
Red Sox            76                     105
Rockies            147                    127
Tigers             93                     74
White Sox          121                    137

What's weird about this is that the two Chicago stadiums favor righties even more than Coors Field! In a similar vein, SPORTSblog The Good Phight discovers that the Phillies' new stadium -- Citizens' Bank Park -- plays as a more-or-less neutral park overall. However, a day/night split reveals something entirely different:

At night, though, CBP lives up to its reputation as the extreme park pitchers and fans bemoan: scoring goes up an incredible 54.3% and home runs by an even more astounding 66.2% (meaning nearly two-thirds more home runs are hit at night games at CBP than in night games elsewhere). It is this unbelievable night offense that has made CBP into an overall hitters’ haven this year. This night park effect has also been responsible for a drastic split in the Phillies’ team ERA: they have a Rockies-esque 5.75 home night ERA and a 4.18 away night ERA (which is just about a league average ERA).
The author (dsc? Who is dsc?) goes on to make a point that's very critical to this kind of slice-and-dice analysis, and that is that the entire effect can be attributed to 35 games this year, which means the sample size is almost certainly too small. There are perils of using single-year park factors, and that's the biggest one. (Via BTF.)

More On Kotchman's Malaise

I won't bother quoting it 'cause Stephen's already done so, but Jim Callis at Baseball America answers the question, "What's wrong with Casey Kotchman?".

Welcome Back, Jon

Dodger Thoughts returns from hiatus with a meditation on Larry Padre, Curly Dodger, and Shemp Diamondback.

Rogers' Appeal Denied

Bud Selig denied Kenny Rogers' appeal of his 20-game suspension.

Clement Released From Hospital

Boston pitcher Matt Clement was released from the hospital after being hit in the head with a line drive in last night's game against the Devil Rays, in Tampa Bay.

Steve Phillips Will Work For Food

Did anybody else read these Steve Phillips columns on the AL and NL GMs and get the impression they were a big wet kiss planted squarely -- well, I won't say what part of the anatomy it was applied to, but you get my drift -- to get off ESPN Island and into a front office gig, somewhere, anywhere?

Comments:
After what Steve Phillips did to the Met organization it would be outrageous for any organization to let him in the clubhouse, much less sign him to scout little league games...
 
You might want to change it to Clement was released from the hospital. The first time I read it I thought that was pretty harsh for Boston to do (especially to a solid starter) and that something REALLY bad must have happened to him.
 
I figured that would be implicit; no way do the Sox release one of their most reliable starters.
 
You hit this one square - I kept waiting for Phillips to say something harsh, critical, or negative, but he polished them all so much, I thought he was in a job interview. Borderline nauseating for me...
 

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