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Thursday, October 13, 2005 |
Baseball Prospectus Notes
- In Tom Gorman's look at the Angels' upcoming offseason, he notes the Angels not only have some tough decisions to make, they have some expensive ones, too, including the arbitration cases of K-Rod and Jon Lackey, and whether to re-sign Jarrod Washburn, Paul Byrd, and Bengie Molina as well. In K-Rod's case, Gorman suggests the Angels' right-hander adopt a tactic like Gagné did, and claim to be a player of "special accomplishment". Lackey he thinks will earn about $3.4M in arbitration, being the fifth most valuable pitcher by VORP in the American League. Washburn, he thinks (and I agree) will command and ask for a king's ransom.
Finally, he notes that Brandon Wood is "absolutely crushing the ball" in AFL, with a .444/.483/1.370 line that ought to put the fear of God into any opposing pitcher.
- Joe Sheehan declares Pierzynski "Out. Out. Out", but that didn't stop him from running to first. Sheehan -- and several other writers -- thinks that it was just a gamble, but the Register's Mark Whicker wrote that Pierzynski recalled a June 20, 2004 game between the Giants and Red Sox, where Randy Marsh made a similar screwup on a failed third strike on a bunt. Fortunately for everyone, the screwup had no effect on the game.
Sheehan also suggests a little fun for the Angels:
Honestly, if I'm the Angels, I run to first on every strikeout the rest of this series. Every one. OK, maybe that's petty, How about doing it once, on the first strikeout in Game Three, just to make a point?
- Good news for the Angels' fairly thin bullpen: there doesn't seem to be any statistical evidence that fatigue severely affects performance. It does, of course, but "this decline appears to be no more than a quarter of a run in ERA during the third consecutive appearance."
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