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Thursday, April 27, 2006

Inverted Expectations

Jarrod Washburn flummoxed the White Sox in yesterday's game, allowing Chicago only one run over six and two thirds innings. That's maybe not a surprise; I figured Wash at least had a chance to be okay for the first year on his contract provided he could stay healthy (and I'm far from sold on that), but it wasn't that way with the M's blogosphere, who to a man pounced on the deal as a waste of resources. Yet, in small samples, Wash and his scary-low 4.86 K/9, 0.99 WHIP, and 3.51 ERA are getting the job done in a way that Felix Hernandez and his 10.80 K/9, 1.43 WHIP, and 4.57 ERA are not. This of course is a merely temporary state of affairs, the usual learning curve young pitchers must endure, but it's nice to be reassured that the Angels aren't the only team in the division with young players having problems.

Comments:
Washburn managed to get the job done for the Angels with similar numbers last year. We all kept expecting the other shoe to drop, but it never did.

We might be saying the same thing throughout 2006.

Haven't folks also been saying the same thing about Jamie Moyer for the last six or seven years? Maybe Jarrod is the next Moyer.

The odds are against it, but it's not impossible.

But the M's are certainly taking a gamble. It could have a big payoff, but could also prove costly.
 
Rob,

What happened to the "Bobby Jenks Watch" you had promised?
 
When did I ever promise such a thing?
 
I thought back on March 26, or so. But I may have made an overstatement in that you had merely hinted at it, and never actually promised it.

Jenks has been so-so, but not nearly as awful as all the SABR-Nation Sox haters had predicted. (I hear the Indians hoisted their 2005 Pythagorean Championship flag over Jacobs Field earlier this month).

Anyway, I don't mean to jinx Jenks, so I will bait you no more--at least until the White Sox leave Anaheim this weekend. They never seem to play well on the West Coast.
 
Washburn's a decent starter...maybe he's not worth $10M per, but he manages to get the job done most of the time.
 

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