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Monday, December 04, 2006

Pickoff Moves

Today's Birthdays

Chuck Corgan BRO b. 1902, played 1925, 1927, d. 1928-06-13

Lee Smith CAL b. 1957, played 1995-1996, All-Star: 1983, 1987, 1991-1995. I was kind of surprised to see he hadn't made the top 100 Angels list, but he was only briefly (a year and change) in an Angels uniform. During that time, he was used as the Angels' closer, with Troy Percival getting setup duties. Smith is currently seventh on the franchise single-season saves list with 37 in 1995, a mark eclipsed by his wingman three years later, in 1998, when Percival saved 42 games. Trevor Hoffman this year broke Smith's major league career saves mark, though Smith still owns the record for games finished.

Not Thinking Clearly, Trade Department

Untenable ideas wash over Tampa sportswriters:
With free agents getting multiyear deals for multimillions more than expected, 25-year-old outfielders Rocco Baldelli and Carl Crawford, whom the Rays have signed to long-term deals at relatively bargain terms, are becoming increasingly attractive to teams as alternatives via trades.

And even more attractive for the Rays to keep.

"An odd dynamic of the market," Rays president Matt Silverman said, "is that as free-agent salaries escalate, our players under control become both more valuable to us and to other teams in the industry trying to fill their needs."

...

An interested team likely would have to give up at least two young, frontline major-league-ready players who are three or more years from free agency. It would have to have the type of potential impact players the Rays are seeking, especially frontline starting pitchers. And it would have to share the Rays' view that there is compensatory value not only in Baldelli and Crawford's talent, but in their contracts — Crawford tops out at a $10-million salary in 2010, Baldelli at $9-million in 2011.

Let's review this set of propositions.
  1. The free agency market is thin.
  2. This drives up salaries of free agents.
  3. Thus are young major leaguers on cheap salaries even more valuable.
  4. Therefore, teams will be willing to give up even more unproven impact talent in order to get proven, cheap players.
The problem with this syllogism is that other teams' prospects become even more valuable, too; and retaining players like Ervin Santana and Matt Kemp becomes a matter of vital interest for all the other clubs. The value of young players has never been higher, and in the absence of a Steve Phillips or a Kevin Malone at the helm of one or more big-market teams, suicide 2- or 3-fer trades aren't too likely.

Bullety Stuff


Comments:
Sorry, but your save info is wrong. Bryan Harvey held the franchise single season saves record (46 in 1991) before Lee Smith joined the team. Also, Percy had 42 saves in 1998 (his highest total). Lee Smith's only real possibility to be a Top 100 Angel is his impact on Percy. Percy has long said that Smith helped teach him how to close AND taught him how to help others in the bullpen. The former point is pretty obvious, with Percy being the best relief pitcher the team has had (although Frankie may pass him in 8 more years). As to the latter point, by 2002 all of the other relievers spoke of Percy being a second bullpen coach, and was the major reason for their dominance, not just that year but the years before and the years after.
 
Corrections duly made.
 
that blurb from rotoworld didn't make a lot of sense to me. what does the player get from agreeing to deny arbitration, and if the signing teams don't have to surrender compensation, then why did the padres offer arb. in the first place?? could someone explain what it means?
 
Vishal, it's not that the player gets anything from it, but rather that it costs the player nothing to accept it and then decline it. However, the negative effect actually hits players generally (because free agents are then more expensive) and other teams more specifically (because they have to give up draft picks).
 
well, from a player's point of view, it does cost them something, because it hurts their bargaining position as free agents. if the players truly had "nothing to lose", why would boras have negotiated a no-arbitration clause for jd drew? right?
 
For type B free agents, the signing team gives up nothing, IIRC. But for type A free agents, you're right.
 

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