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Sunday, May 06, 2007

The Shape Of Losses To Come: White Sox 4, Angels 3

It's getting beyond frustrating to the point of outright maddening. Even Stephen Smith, perhaps the ultimate conservative when it comes to trading the kids, is starting to imagine a Colon-for-Abreu deal with the Yanks. For the last two years, the Angels haven't been able to assemble a lineup that includes much besides a bunch of singles-slapping middle infielders. Nothing against Tommy Murphy or Reggie Willits — who've both done reasonably well so far, Willits especially so — but there's no excuse for guys with their profiles holding down starting jobs in the corners.

A.J. Pierzynski once again ruined the Angels, or at least that was the superficial story; but in fact the Halos doomed themselves. Reggie Willits and Shea Hillenbrand each stranded five baserunners. Mike Scioscia contributed to the disaster by ramming Chone Figgins in the number two slot, a clear mistake when his batting approach was suspect to end his 2006 season and has looked even worse this year. His swing isn't here, and his lone ninth-inning walk notwithstanding, he shouldn't be this high in the lineup ever, ever, ever again until he proves he deserves it. Come to think of it, once Izturis is back, he belongs behind Ztu in the lineup until he can prove he can (a) hit and (b) field.

Scot Shields is rapidly losing whatever trust he's built up over these last few seasons. Maybe the doubters were right when Stoneman signed him to a big extension: an arm that had accumulated almost 500 innings in relief before his 32nd birthday is just begging for trouble. Trouble is what the Angels got as he gave up a two-run shot to pinch-hitter Pierzynski in the top of the eighth.

In fairness, though, it should be noted that Shields did not get his usual time to warm up, as Colon left the game with what was reported to be a triceps strain in his pitching arm. We'll see if the big guy can make his next outing, but my guess is not. Colon's been either brilliant or wobbly, and the distance between the two seems awfully short.

Pierzynski also drove in the game winning run in the tenth with a little bloop to left just over Figgins' head off Frankie, who had a no-nonsense ninth but stumbled badly in the tenth, getting the collar on a well-deserved loss. The much-hated White Sox catcher drove in three of the four White Sox runs in the game, and the Angels had no answer in the bottom of the frame, with the 7-8-9 hitters coming up against flamethrowing fatso Bobby Jenks; yet hope remained, because Napoli worked a walk, Tommy Murphy got a solid single. With one out, Reggie Willits had a hope of at least driving in a tying run with a single, or more with a double. It didn't happen, and Jenks struck out both Willits (looking) and Figgins (swinging).

The hope of a double — dear God, please, any extra-base hit — is what brings us back to Casey Kotchman. Kotchman, it seems, has regressed, and badly. His average continues to plummet, and even kept away from tough lefties (as against Chisox starter Mark Buehrle today), he can't hit worth a damn, and as noted earlier, his walks are also declining. There's only so long you can continue to support this kind of anemia before somebody gets traded and/or displaced. Two offseasons ago when Bill Stoneman was reportedly pursuing Paul Konerko, I was against it on the grounds that Casey Kotchman was about to turn into him, Todd Helton, or somebody similar. Kotchman's latest slump hasn't given us much to get excited about, and a great deal about which to worry. Studded with hitter's parks in hitter's leagues, the Angels' minors begin to look awfully dubious as a training ground for young position players. And if Kotchman continues to falter, a second helping of Kendry Morales appears equally unappetizing.

The upcoming two weeks or so thus look particularly grim, facing the mashing Cleveland Indians (presently third in runs scored and third in home runs); four at Texas; and then three against the Seattle Mariners with no rest days between, and against whom the Angels were only 10-9 last year; and then, again with no rest, back home for the first interleague series of the year against the Dodgers at home. If they manage .500 in this stretch, it'll be a significant achievement, but a sweep by Cleveland is very likely.

Footnote: Justin Speier, allegedly out for "non-baseball-related" reasons, was seen throwing in the bullpen to an actual hitter, or at least, to someone holding a bat, around the 5th or 6th inning. I wonder why.

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Comments:
"a sweep by Cleveland is very likely"

Come on, Rob. Have a stiff upper lip! The glass is half full, not half empty.

The Halos will take 2-of-3 from the Tribe. Ex-Angel Paul Byrd will be our nemesis Wednesday night. Ervin Santana and Kelvim Escobar will post wins on Tuesday and Thursday. Remember that Evil Ways is dynamite in home night games. Weaver the Younger will give up a couple gopher balls Wednesday night. Don't worry, Weave will get some wins soon.

Bartolo's injury today is a warning not to be trading our young pitchers away. Seven starters plus Adenhart in the wings could quickly be reduced to the minimum requirement of five without warning.

We had a 3-0 lead today before our relief pitching lost it. Yes, our offense had a lot of lobsters today (14). The vast majority of games that the Angels have a 3-run lead entering the 8th inning result in wins.

We have had four late home runs against our bullpen at home this year (Mike Piazza, Ben Broussard, Maglio Ordonez, and A.J. Pierzynski) and still won two of those games. I still believe that on October 6th that I will be at an Angels ALDS game and NOT at the Notre Dame @ UCLA football game. Indeed, I would treat this Cleveland @ LA Angels series as an ALDS preview.
 
The glass is half full, not half empty.

Is it half full of hitters?
 
Can I have your UCLA tickets that day?
 
the only thing in this glass is Vlad.

everyone knew that in March, including the Angels front office. With Howie hurt and Casey regressing, it's frustrating but expected.

the uglt part is what used to be the ubiquitous "3-1 victory" turned into an agonizing defeat courtesy of Shields.

even with this weak of offense, the division is still ours, but it shouldn't be this close.
 
the only thing in this glass is Vlad.

And yet, the glass is too small to contain Vlad. Explain.
 
Kotchman is not part of the problem, IMO. As recently as a week ago, he was slugging .452. He's been in a slump for a week. Sure, he hasn't been driving the ball during this mini-slump, but at least he is (for the most part) still having quality at-bats. I have zero doubt that he will come around. The guy missed an entire year - he'll have occasional bouts with his timing.

Shea Hillenbrand, on the other hand, actually INCREASED his slugging to .253 today (pause for effect). The Angels disregard for the DH spot is now rearing it's ugly head. If the playoffs started today, the three other AL playoff teams would feature DH's David Ortiz, Travis Hafner, and Gary Sheffield. A real DH would change the face of the entire lineup.
 
yetijuice said ...

The Angels DH against righty starters should be Garret Anderson. I know, that means Reggie Willits and Tommy Murphy starting in the same outfield until Juan Rivera gets off the DL. Hey, the Halos have done it before! Remember Mickey Rivers and Morris Nettles on the 1974-75 Angels?

I have much more confidence in Casey Kotchman than I do of Shea Hillenbrand. Hillenbrand had better come around before Anderson gets off the DL. Twice this season I have seen Shea rip line drive doubles, one down the leftfield line and one to leftcenter. That is not good enough considering I have been to 15 Angel games so far. TGFV!

Seitz, my Notre Dame vs Notre Dame tickets will materialize out of thin air about ten minutes before kick-off when and if I need them. My 2006-07 college football ticket high-water marks were $30 for Cal @ USC, $100 for Notre Dame @ USC, $60 for USC @ UCLA, and $60 for Michigan vs USC (Rose Bowl game). Note for Notre Dame @ USC I entered the scene just as the Irish were missing a field goal on their opening drive. If you MUST see the opening kick-off you will pay more than I do.
 
the only thing in the glass is Vlad

meaning the only offense the Angels have is Vlad.

we'll be in the playoffs, but Shea won't, and the way things are going, Napoli won't either.
 

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