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Friday, February 01, 2008

David Pinto Projects The Angels Offense

Missed this one last week: David Pinto has a series where he projects the offenses of the major league teams (in consort with Tom Tango's Marcel the Monkey projections), and forecasts the Halos at a typical 5.20 runs per game, which would be an improvement of about 0.20 R/G. "The small difference between the worst and best lineups shows this is a very balanced team." He also thinks the Angels could get even better if they ditch Garret Anderson, but his impressive second half (.305/.361/.530) might be a harbinger of one last hurrah. Or maybe I'm just succumbing to wishful thinking.

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Comments:
Rob,

I spent an hour and a half playing with the "lineup analysis tool" provided in the link. Finally, I simply entered Juan Rivera's OBP and SLUGGING % into GA's spot provided in the sample. It raised the RPG from 5.197 to 5.284. Interesting.
 
I did the same thing Wumbug. I replaced GA, Aybar and Matthews with Rivera (with a slightly reduced line from 2006), Izzy and Willits. The tool said that the best lineup would produce 5.572 runs per game.

The line up was:

Figgy
Vlad
Napoli
Rivera
Kotchman
Hunter
Kendrick
Izzy
Willits

That is quite a bit better than 5.1-ish runs.

Anyway, just a tool, but cool nonetheless.
 

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