Saturday, May 24, 2008 |
Minor League Scorebook
News
- Clayton
Kershaw's callup appears imminent says Ken Gurnick, but I
wonder. (Also in the Times.)
Why do this unless you want a replay of the Edwin
Jackson scenario? Leave him be at AA. If Kershaw needs a
promotion to anywhere, it's to AAA Las Vegas, and even then it's
not clear he's ready for that. And talk about hype: check out
J.J. Cooper's
chat at Baseball America:
Q: Jorge V from Bronx, NY asks:
Good grief, he wasn't even pitching that well for Jacksonville!
In MLB.com's website, they state Kershaw could be ready to hit the Bigs by Tuesday. How do you think Kershaw will do this Tuesday vs. the Cubs? Would he do better than Boston Redsox's prospect Justin Masterson? And might we see a no no by Kershaw after two starts in the bigs?A: J.J. Cooper: When the Dodgers didn't call Kershaw up a couple of weeks ago, the speculation at the time was that he'd still be up in late May. We're right on schedule for that. With rookie pitchers, it's pretty much throwing darts to figure out what they'll do initially. A lot of guys will have a couple of great starts as hitters try to get a feel for them, then go through a rocky adjustment period for a little while as they adjust to the hitter's adjustments. Clay Buchholz' success last year made it easy to forget how many rookie pitchers struggle, even the good ones. I'd expect to see flashes of greatness combined with the occasional rocky start for Kershaw, but no, I don't expect a no-hitter in the next month.
- Something I missed on Thursday, Nate Silver takes on shortstop prospects, with Brandon Wood still appearing to have the most upside of any shortstop prospect anywhere (196.7 rating, whatever that means).
PECOTA was skeptical about Brandon Wood before, so why does it seem to like him so much this season? The answer lies in our new Davenport Translations, which infer a steeper difficulty curve across the minor league ladder, and place more of an emphasis on performance at the higher levels. True, Wood’s performance has stagnated a bit: he posted a .260 translated EqA in his monster year at Rancho Cucamonga in 2005, and then .264 at Arkansas in 2006, and .254 playing for Salt Lake last year. Nevertheless, he is coping perfectly well against the stronger competition, as by any reasonable standard a 22-year-old middle infielder who posts a .254 EqA is a pretty good prospect. Moreover, Wood has somewhat improved his strikeout rates; he struck out in 24.5 percent of his plate appearances in 2007 as compared with 28.5 percent in 2006 in spite of facing tougher competition. Although he’s never going to be a great hitter for average, PECOTA still sees a fair amount of growth in his bat, and he qualifies as a mildly underrated prospect at this stage.
PECOTA also had some interesting things to say about Chin-Lung Hu:Chin-Lung Hu had been an under-the-radar PECOTA favorite for a long time, but he’s particularly intriguing now that his bat has begun to show a little bit of development. We’re looking at a guy with a broadly similar skill set to Rafael Furcal, but with somewhat fewer walks compensated for by doubles power. Lu’s comparables, it should be noted, are not particularly flattering, but it’s not clear that Asian imports have quite the same development curves as their American counterparts.
Scores
Brown, M: 2-4, 1 K
Moseley: (L, 0-2), 4.0 IP, 4 R, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 K, 3 BB, 1 HR, 9.72 ERA
Wilhite, M: 2.2 IP, 4 R, 4 ER, 9 H, 3 K, 1 BB, 6.66 ERA
Thus answering the question of whether Dustin Moseley was ready for the Show again. Issuing as many walks as strikeouts, his wasn't the worst outing, though. David Austen pitched to five batters in the ten-run sixth; all of them scored, one unearned because of Austen's own fielding error. Jeff Kennard walked in a run, allowing a a bases-loaded single and a home run after that. Just a total disaster, it was the Bees' fourth straight loss and their seventh in eight games. Yet thanks to their hot start, their nearest competitor, Portland, is still eight games back.
Kendry Morales drove in all four Salt Lake runs, three on a third inning homer.
Collins: 3-6, 2 2B, 2 RBI, 1 K
Johnson: 2-6, 2 K
Smith, Cor: 2-6, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 K
Toussaint: 2-6, 4 K
Statia: 2-3, 1 RBI, 1 BB
Brandt: 2.0 IP, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 H, 2 K, 1 BB, 3.74 ERA
Marek: (BS, 3), 3.0 IP, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 H, 5 K, 1 BB, 1 HR, 3.00 ERA
Rodriguez, R: (L, 0-1) (in relief), 0.1 IP, 1 R, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 K, 0 BB, 4.15 ERA
Stephen Marek blew his third save when he surrendered a leadoff homer to Lou Santangelo in the ninth. Going to extras on the road is a hard way to win, and the Travs didn't, with Rafael Rodriguez allowing an RBI single to Billy Hart in the bottom of the 12th.
Nieves: 1-6, 1 RBI, 4 K
Trumbo: 3-6, 1 2B, 1 K
Phillips: 1-4, 1 2B, 1 BB, 3 K
Norman: 1-4, 1 2B, 1 RBI, 2 BB, 1 K
Ortiz, W: 2-6, 1 3B, 1 RBI
Kiniry: 0-5, 1 BB, 4 K
Herndon: 6.1 IP, 3 R, 3 ER, 6 H, 5 K, 2 BB, 5.19 ERA
Browning: (BS, 2), 2.2 IP, 0 R, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 K, 1 BB, 3.28 ERA
Arredondo: (L, 1-2) (in relief), 2.1 IP, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 K, 2 BB, 7.48 ERA
A similar story here, except it was Barret Browning in the bottom of the seventh with two outs. Nice line for Mark Trumbo, who last had a multi-hit bame on May 14. Apparently played in very wet field conditions with rain on and off throughout the game.
Romine: 2-3
De Los Santos: 1-4, 1 K
Walden: 7.0 IP, 1 R, 1 ER, 6 H, 5 K, 1 BB, 2.56 ERA
Carmona: (L, 0-2) (in relief), 2.0 IP, 2 R, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 K, 2 BB, 6.11 ERA
With the bases loaded and nobody out, catcher Anel de los Santos threw away a swinging bunt, allowing two unearned runs to score and tagging his pitcher, Ismael Carmona, with the loss.
Tiffee: 4-5, 1 2B, 1 RBI, 1 K
Lindsey: 3-5, 1 2B, 2 RBI, 1 K
LaRoche: 0-2, 3 BB, 1 K
Ellis: 0-3, 1 RBI, 2 BB
Repko: 2-4, 1 2B, 2 RBI, 1 BB
Lizarraga: 0-3, 2 BB, 1 K
Meloan: 0-3, 1 RBI, 2 K
Troncoso: 0-1, 1 RBI
Meloan: (W, 3-4), 6.0 IP, 2 R, 1 ER, 3 H, 5 K, 2 BB, 4.14 ERA
Troncoso: (H, 2), 2.0 IP, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 K, 1 BB, 4.32 ERA
This game wasn't as lopsided as you'd think through seven and a half, at which point the Grizzlies were pretty close, back 4-3, but then Brooks McNiven (who?) replaced Jesse Foppert. McNiven got John Lindsey to strike out swinging, but eventually walked the bases loaded and Jason Repko cashed two of those in. It was the start of a seven-run seventh that really put the game away.
Jon Meloan posted a quality start with two runs in six innings of work.
May: 0-1, 1 K
Rivera, R: 2-4, 1 2B, 1 RBI, 1 K
McDonald: 0-1, 1 BB, 1 K
McDonald: 5.0 IP, 2 R, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 K, 4 BB, 4.20 ERA
Muegge: (L, 0-2) (in relief), 3.0 IP, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 K, 0 BB, 1 HR, 4.96 ERA
Robinson: 2-4, 1 2B, 1 RBI, 1 K
Berezay: 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 K
Santana, C: 1-4, 1 RBI
Locke: 2-4
Adkins: (L, 3-3), 5.0 IP, 6 R, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 K, 1 BB, 4.07 ERA
Felix: 2.0 IP, 3 R, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 K, 0 BB, 1 HR, 2.60 ERA
Lambo: 2-4, 1 2B, 1 RBI
Garabedian: 2-4, 1 RBI
Dalton: 2-4
Baez: 0-4, 1 K
Mathews: 2-4, 1 K
Vetters: 2-4, 2 2B, 1 RBI, 1 K
Garate: 4.0 IP, 3 R, 2 ER, 4 H, 5 K, 1 BB, 2.18 ERA
Sartor: (L, 3-2) (in relief), 3.0 IP, 4 R, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 K, 0 BB, 3.07 ERA
Labels: minors
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