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Friday, May 06, 2011

Blue Skying The Dodger Free Agents If Frank Don't Pay Up

Matthew Pouliot at NBC Sports has a fun gedankenexperiment on what might happen if the Dodgers become free agents as a consequence of the team failing to meet payroll. Excerpt:
Clayton Kershaw – This one is obvious, right? No one is going to outbid the Yankees for Kershaw’s services. At 23 and already a dominant force, having posted a 3.19 ERA in 90 career starts, Kershaw is one of the most valuable properties around and it’s make perfect sense for the Yankees to go all in for him. Still four years away from actual free agency, Kershaw would stand to benefit more than anyone from this chain of events. The injury risk is significant, but I imagine he’d get at least $100 million for six years as a free agent. Prediction: Yankees – six years, $108 million.
Fangraphs says Kershaw's been worth about $20M annually, so I would actually call that deal insanely undervalued, for two reasons: first, the guy is only 23 years old, and second, he has proven himself as a front-of-the-rotation player. Six years and $120M is the starting point for negotiations.

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