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Thursday, August 19, 2004

Pickoff Moves

OT: A Sabermetric Econometric Look At Election 2004

Ray C. Fair, an economist at Yale, predicts a Bush landslide in the coming election. Fair, a self-described Kerry supporter, claims to have made an equation that predicts, to within 2.5 percentage points, the national vote totals in the Presidential election. War just isn't an issue, he says; nothing trumps economics.

The Snake Pit

Mike's Baseball Rants also noticed something I wrote about Sunday, namely, the Diamondbacks could end up historically bad. Moreover: given their small number of wins, Randy Johnson could own one-third of the team's wins. He's gotta be the best pitcher on the worst team in a long time.

Jon Interviews Ross Porter

Right here. Ross has been a long-time reader of Dodger Thoughts as it turns out, and I'm happy to see him give an interview to the most distinguished Dodger blogger on the block.

Astros So Done

First the news that Andy Pettitte will have season-ending elbow surgery. Then, Roger Clemens injures his calf. Will Carroll weighs in on both, saying Pettitte's injury is a flexor tendon repair similar to the one Jason Schmidt had, and Andy should be back in time for Spring Training. Clemens will make his next start, and might even get moved up a day, though. Regardless, the Astros are done, says BP's Joe Sheehan, both for the season and as a team in contention; Clemens needs to retire, Pettitte needs to hang 'em up for the year, the Killer B's aren't anymore, and the rotation has tottered into ineffectiveness.

They're Not That Short On Starters

The Yankees may have decided three starts with Esteban Loiza is enough, claims the New York Post, and he may get shipped off to the Rangers for prospects:
"They started talking Tuesday night and the Rangers gave the Yankees a list of four minor leaguers that was pretty light," a source said. "They were haggling over whether the Yankees would get one or two players."

The original list included Double-A second baseman Jason Bourgeois, Triple-A utilityman Ramon Navar, and Triple-A pitchers Ryan Snare and Sam Narron. Navar and Narron have limited big-league experience.

Athletics Nation Interviews Billy Beane

What a coup! Way to go, Tyler!

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