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Thursday, September 30, 2004

The Mo(u)rning After

Athletics Nation is predictably dour, bedecked in black by the folk who believe the AL West a birthright. Four games left, guys, four games against your principle opponent, who is only one game ahead of you in the standings.

The fat lady hasn't even arrived at the auditorium.

Odds of winning the division:

Team    Odds
Angels   58%
Oakland  42%
Update: corrected for a late change in Clay's Playoff Odds Report; he missed the loss by Oakland last night.

Baseball Prospectus has the wrong number of losses for the A's--68 vs. 69 actual. If they reran with the Angels having a 1 game lead, I would expect that the Angels would have a better than 50% chance of winning the division

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