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Wednesday, August 17, 2005

More Fallout From Last Night's Catastrophe

Via the Times:

Comments:
well, to be fair, it may not be his control. It may be the wind from that hurricane that's taking his pitches out of the strike zone. He ought to look into that.
 
I suppose that is not exactly what I meant. But it has always seemed to me that he gets in trouble because he always wants to miss bats. The great thing is that he is excellent at missing bats. The problem is that if they aren't swinging, a goodly number of his pitches go for balls. I haven't seen him make many adjustments within an outing...either he throws a lot of pitches to the first guy and continues that trend teetering on a blown save or he dominates the first guy and has no problems.

So, from my view it has always seemed like a mental issue...certainly not overall confidence, but I think he needs the confidence to change what he is doing in the middle of an outing. Pitchers have bad games, part of getting better is learning how to get out of innings when your stuff ain't working.
 
Seitz: heh!

Josh: certainly, he used to be like that with guys on. Once he'd get a man on -- and this was especially true in 2003 -- his command would evaporate and he'd get incredibly wild. That may be back, but I'm betting on late season dead arm.
 
Yeah, but wasn't he still going out of the windup in 2003? I remember that being a problem in the WS, that he was a much different pitcher from the stretch. Now that he pitches exclusively from the windup, the man on base thing shouldn't be as much of an issue. Not to say that it isn't, but it shouldn't be.
 
Like I said, Richard. Dead arm.
 
OK, Rob, who would you suggest we get? I really like Sweeney. He hits for average and power. I wouldn't call him injury-prone although he has missed some games over the years. Yes, he's expensive, but I think he's the best match for us on the open market. If you still disagree, do you think we can win as is or do you have another suitable hitter?
 
I don't know if the team can win as-is, but that's maybe not the point. I viewed this year as a transitional year anyway. The point shouldn't be to win now, not with a bunch of kids nearly ready to come up; what will Sweeney do besides block Kotchman and/or Morales, and absorb a ton of payroll along the way?
 
That's my thoughts to win now. I checked Sweeney's stats, and you're right, he's more unjury-prone than I thought, but I think he could get us all the way over. If GA is out for a long period, we are sunk. Morales won't be ready next season and Kotchman can come off the bench. When Erstad leaves, maybe he can start. If we wait 'til next year, the Red Sox and Yanks will revamp. You never know what can happen in one year. Now, if the Royals want too many prospects, then the answer is no. Otherwise, he is the player.
 
I wonder that Frankie does not really recover from the arm injury which forced him to the DL in late May.

His BB/9 is only 1.06 before DL, but it's almost 7 since.
 
It's not a bad supposition. His control hasn't really been there.

Richard scoffed at the idea of sending Frankie back to Salt Lake, but in light of his need to clean up his mechanics, maybe it's not such a bad idea.
 
Mechanics is the first thing to go when pitchers are tired. And when the mechanics change, that's when most pitchers get hurt.

K-rod's lack of control is understandable because he uses two release points, and the one with which he throws the slider is slotted near side-arm. I've always thought Jeff Weaver has a similar problem. He sometimes can't find the strike zone because of his release point. Generally pitchers with a more exagerrated 3/4 delivery have the most problems with control.

K-rod's longevity is suspect basically because he relies on a power curve, which can be terrible on an arm. AND because he relies on two different release points to produce his slider-ish tilt and crazy 11-7 motion on his breaking balls, everything comes back to mechanics.
 

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