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Saturday, October 22, 2005 |
Last Minute Thinkings Before It's Rocket Man And The World Series
Joe Sheehan has five things to think about before the World Series:
- This is a significantly bad offensive matchup. ... you want a key to this series? The team that hits the most home runs with runners on base will win.
- The gap between these two starting rotations is much bigger than you think. ... The Astros have a historically great rotation, especially when you let them reduce it to three of the five best pitchers in the league. They will have the better starting pitcher in every game but the fourth, and that gets you a long way towards a championship. The gap between these two teams' starters is being understated because of the ALCS. However, it's unlikely that the Astros will make things as easy on the Sox as the Angels did; the Halos saw just over 12 pitches an inning last week, showing less patience than a 17-year-old boy on prom night.
- The designated-hitter rule won't matter at all.
- Far too much is being made of the "will anyone watch" angle. Ozzie Guillen is a lot of fun, and an excellent handler of pitchers. The Astros' rotation is a reason to tune in all by itself. Frankly, if Guillen himself is ejected by the third inning, I would shout hosannas to the heavens; if Paul Konerko is called out at the plate on a tag that isn't even in the park, I'll do a little jig on the ceiling.
- There's no result that will be a surprise. ... With the caveat that either team winning in any number of games wouldn't be a shock, I've been going with the Astros in seven. Having the better starting pitcher in almost every game is a big edge to overcome, and while I think the White Sox can pitch and defend with any team in baseball, this is a matchup that will make it even harder for them to score the runs they need to support that pitching and defense.
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