Saturday, January 14, 2006
Angels Long-Term Figgins, Rivera
Update: Yes, everyone on the 40-man has an automatic invite to ST. So my bad on that one.
Figgins' deal is more intriguing. A three year-deal will take him through his age 30 season, by which time we can reasonably expect to see the speedy Figgins become the not-so-speedy Figgins. In two of those years -- and in all probability, this year -- we can expect Figgins to be the team's starting center fielder starting in 2007, with the possibility that he could take on that role this year once Erstad succumbs to the inevitable collapse of his fragile hamstrings. If you're not on the "Brandon Wood to center field" bandwagon, this is as good a time as any to hop on; it's hard to imagine the club eating the balance of Orlando Cabrera's absurd contract for 2007 and 2008.
Furthermore, it means that the team's actually bought some breathing room for Dallas McPherson if need be. He really has this year to prove himself before being shipped to somewhere for a real player or a solid prospect, but in case that doesn't work out, he's got Figgins to start at third until Erstad turns into a pumpkin. I'm still fairly optimistic about McPherson, but his clock is ticking. Let's hope it's a stopwatch and not a time bomb.
Update 2: It appears that the early reports on the money were wrong; AP says it's two years and $3.275 million. The $1.5M figure was probably a bastardization of the $1.25M he'll make next year.
Rev/John -- who knows but that team might just be the Braves if Renteria doesn't hold up...
It's when you pile on unreasonable expectations on a guy, and set up artificial "make-or-break" years, that you end up needlessly squandering perfectly decent talent. I don't need Dallas to be a star (though that'd be nice); I need him to hit something like .258/.318/.503 against righties. Which is exactly what he did last year.
From ages 25 to 31, Deer's OPS+s were:
He hit 194 homers over those 7 seasons, and despite his terrible batting averages, managed to have an OBP of just around the league average.
For the price, that is *more* than acceptable production from 3B. Especially when you consider that:
* D-Mac strikes out much *less* (81/245 his first two years, compared to 81/186 for Deer).
* He's a much better athlete.
* His already-decent 2005 numbers were accomplished despite a pretty serious injury.
The Hall of Very Good is filled with players who were essentially lefty platooners -- Rick Monday (a bigger whiffer than D-Mac, I'll bet), Lou Whitaker, even J.T. Snow.
Jeez, Matt, your short list includes J.T. Snow? Uh... don't know what to say to that one, probably something along the lines of, ouch.
It's when you pile on unreasonable expectations on a guy, and set up artificial "make-or-break" years, that you end up needlessly squandering perfectly decent talent.
Unreasonable? What's so unreasonable about expecting him to stay healthy, and actually proving he's worth all the hype over a full season? Plus, eight dingers in 205 AB is kinda weak.
eight dingers in 205 AB is kinda weak.
It was the 4th best homer rate on the team last year. It was better (unadjusted for park) than Hank Blalock, Hideki Matsui, Aubrey Huff, Javy Lopez, and Torii Hunter.
With 502 plate appearances, his .449 SLG would have ranked 37th in the league; only five players above him were younger. At his age, Jim Edmonds hit just five homers in 289 ABs, yet he's turned out OK.
What's so unreasonable about ... actually proving he's worth all the hype over a full season?
I think your question answers itself.