Sunday, July 23, 2006
Pickoff Moves, Post-Lunchtime Edition
OT: Wet, And LateGetting in late today on a lazy, steamy Sunday. Hope you all enjoyed the thunder and lightning show this morning. We got a fantastic hour-long rainstorm here that got the grass all soaky wet. Let's hope the clouds stick around for a while.
Chone Figgins, Hero: Angels 4, Royals 3My initial and emotional inclination was to award the Panther of the Game to Reggie Willits for his clutch RBI single that plated Chone Figgins in the top of the 10th. The Rev's intuition was to hand the award to Scot Shields for his two scoreless innings, and by God, it's a good choice. But looking dispassionately at the win probability data, Chone Figgins actually noses out both of them. Here, let's take a look at that graph:
WPA graph courtesy of Dave Appelman and fangraphs.com.
Figgy's crucial walk and two subsequent stolen bases turned this game around. Scoring runs is underrated, says Bill James; here's a game to show why.
Otherwise: I may yet start a Kelvim Escobar To The Pen Marching And Chowder Society; I'm not sure how much mediocrity like this I can stand. If all he can get is a quality start against the third-worst offense in the league, I shudder to think what he'll do against the Yankees and White Sox.
What'd I Tell You? Cardinals 6, Dodgers 1I don't like saying "I told you so", but ... Aaron Sele is not a good pitcher in the second half. And, yeah, the offense is hurting. Is it too early to get a look at LaRoche on the big club? How about Loney?