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Thursday, July 20, 2006

Pickoff Moves

Today's Birthdays

Claude Crocker BRO b. 1924, played 1944-1945, d. 2002-12-19

Charles Johnson LAN b. 1971, played 1998, All-Star: 1997, 2001. Was not Mike Piazza. Really not Mike Piazza. Johnson had one really good fluke year in 2000 at age 28 in which he inexplicably hit .304/.379/.582 and 31 homers, and then went back to being the .250 hitter he was before and after. His decline was steep and rapid.

Heinie Manush BRO b. 1901, played 1937-1938, All-Star: 1934, Hall of Fame: 1964 (Veterans), d. 1971-05-12. What a name. A "pale Ty Cobb" according to Bill James, he actually got himself thrown out of a World Series game. He twice posted season averages of .378 for the Tigers and Browns; the Dodgers got him as a late-career player, and he rewarded them by hitting .333 in 1937. It represented his last good year, after which he became a bench player until he quit the game after 1939. Thanks to the stupefying numbers he posted earlier in his career, he still retired with a career .330 average.

Bengie Molina ANA,LAA b. 1974, played 1998-2005. Number 25 on the Top 100 Angels list, it sure seems at this moment that Mike Napoli is about to make Angels fans ask, Bengie who? Probably the second-best catcher in Angels history after Brian Downing, he was brilliant while his legs held up, which seemed to be about 2003; the last few years saw a rather rapid decline in his defensive value. He's getting a little over half-time play for the Blue Jays this year.

Mike Witt CAL b. 1960, played 1981-1990, All-Star: 1986-1987. Also a Top 100 Angel, Witt was the staff ace for many years; in what amounted to a pretty good trade for the Angels, he got shipped to the Yankees in 1990 for Hall of Famer Dave Winfield, who gave the Angels one and a half of his last good years.

Slumping Toward Tomorrow: Diamondbacks 8, Dodgers 0

Another day, another Derek Lowe implosion and another game without any substantive Dodger offense. Or, any. This is really starting to chafe. Little BOB of Horrors, indeed.

ESPN BoxRecap

Roster Notes


Comments:
I certainly wasn't suggesting jettisoning Morales altogether. I was suggesting we consider Shea as a possible transition piece for the stretch run. He's a rental, and Morales would be back up in September in any case. And back in the equation for 2007....we saw how valuable a temporary demotion was for Howie.

And you really can't compare two players at two different positions. There's enough data on Hillenbrand at firstbase to do apples to apples. Hillenbrand's ZR last season at first was a tick above Kotchman's, at .866. Not as sexy as Kendry's, which is admittedly surprisingly good, but it's better than league average. And it remains consistent this year: .868 ZR.

So the question becomes, how much of an offensive boost is Shea over Kendry?
 
As a short-term rental at first, he could be valuable, I agree. Morales clearly needs more development time at AAA, although the way he's hitting lately (.333 in the last seven games, IIRC) makes me think he's silently turning a corner.
 
I didn't realize that Kendry's line of .253/.312/.408, with 5 HR was that bad; although, I guess Hillenbrand's .301/.342/.480 with 12 HR is better. But Morales is improving, and didn't I read somewhere that Hillenbrand historically tails off in the latter part of the season?
 
I think when your first baseman bats 8th, either you have 7 HOF'ers hitting in front of him or you have a problem.

Kendry's done what he could for now, time for a McPherson/Quinlan platoon to finish out the season.
 
Just when Kendry's posted a .357/.438/.429 over the last week? Remember, he takes about 200 AB before figuring out each successive level, and barely got that in AAA. Kendrick could be turning a corner, and it'd be foolish to let him slip back down to AAA just as he's doing so.
 
Rob: my bad. I thought you were advocating the demotion of Morales. I think he's going to do just fine (and given his history, I suspect that he's probably making the right adjustments). Still, I would probably support acquiring Hillenbrand if it means trading away A.K., simply because that move would ensure a heck of a lot more ABs for Howie Kendrick.
 
I'd certainly call Bengie the best catcher in Angels' history, and would consider Brian Downing (my all time fav) an OF. He moved there in 1982 and played a really fine LF. Downing's catching was subpar, he had a horrible throwing motion. But as a LF, he was perfect.
 
Bill -- I was looking at the DT cards for both Bengie Molina and Brian Downing, and you're right -- Downing could catch, but he was at best league average, and got worse as he aged. As a right fielder, he was more often average. That's not much of a compliment.
 

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