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Friday, March 30, 2007

WSJ Preseason Writers Predictions

Eight of 11 writers polled by the Wall Street Journal ($) picked the Angels to win their division, while only five of those picked the Dodgers to win the NL West. The writers were Alex Belth of Bronx Banter; Jon Bois, Nick Dallamora, and Brandon Stroud of The Dugout; Larry Borowsky of Viva Los Birdos; Will Leitch of Deadspin; Joe Sheehan of Baseball Prospectus; Paul Steiger, Carl Bialik, and Jason Fry of the Wall Street Journal; and Dave Studeman of Hardball Times. For the relevant division races, the winners according to the writers:

AL West:
Angels: Belth, Bois, Borowski, Dallamora, Leitch, Steiger, Studeman, Fry.
Mariners: Sheehan.
Rangers: Stroud.
A's: Bialik.

Interesting that among this group there was only one writer willing to pick the A's as the division winner.

NL West:
Dodgers: Belth, Bois, Dallamora, Bialik, Fry.
Diamondbacks: Leitch, Sheehan, Steiger, Stroud.
Padres: Borowski, Studeman.

Aside from the two clear also-rans (Giants and Rockies), the lack of concensus is probably reflective of the relatively even state of the NL West; the Dodgers have a team that will go as far as their bats and health will allow them.

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