Tuesday, May 22, 2007 |
Notes From The Minors
Baseball America's Prospect Hot Sheets
I missed BA's Prospect Hot Sheets for all of April and most of May, but that's just carelessness. In their glowing comments about former Dirtbag Evan Longoria, they have this to say about ex-Dodger prospect Joel Guzman:Enough of Joel Guzman's tired act already. Guzman looks lethargic; like he's just not having fun. Guess a .240 on-base will do that to a guy. One thing's for sure, you know Longoria will bring the same energy to the park every day.Maybe Neddie's inclination to trade him was founded on something we didn't know about... anyway, it's disturbing to see no Angels or Dodgers prospects on the latest Hot Sheet, except to see a negative mention for Dodgers pitching prospect Javy Guerra.
Nate Silver Chat
Nate Silver, from his latest chat:PECOTA Devotee (Slow Start Central): Please rank in order the players I should be most worried about from least worried to most worried: Chris Iannetta, Carlos Quentin, Garett Atkins, Stephen Drew, Conor Jackson, Brandon Wood, Edwin Encarnacion.Silver comes back later and says "Drew's never really hit much at sea level, at least since becoming a professional. ... I see him in sort of the same category as Bobby Crosby."Nate Silver: MOST WORRIED
Drew Encarnacion Jackson Quentin Iannetta Wood AtkinsLEAST WORRIED
Rob (Middletown, CT): Speaking of slow starts... what's your take on Bobby Abreu? It seems crazy to me that a guy who was so good last year could have collapsed entirely. But he looks *awful*Wow. Remember last year when Matt Welch campaigned for an Abreu deal? I would have gone for it then, too, given his historic ability to get on base, but it seems (note "at this time" caveat) that the Angels have their man in that department with Reggie Willits. The Phils end of the trade is mostly minor leaguers whose records I don't have time to look up now, but even as a dump it looks like a good deal for Philadelphia given Abreu's weak production to date; he's not even getting on base anymore, carrying a .244/.323/.314 line so far this year.Nate Silver: When you saw him starting to lay down bunts hitting out of the #3 hole with runners in scoring position, you had to be worried. I took a lot of crap at my fantasy draft for PECOTA's projection that he was going to wind up with only 71 RBIs, but what the system was thinking was that he was going to get demoted in the batting order because he wouldn't hit for enough power ... and that's exactly what seems to have happened.
MarinerDan (San Francisco): Rate these pitchers in value for the rest of the season: Sheets, Pettitte, Clemens, Wolf, and Ervin Santana.This shouldn't be a surprise to anyone; Santana will take another year, at least, to straighten himself out. I really believe that if he continues to struggle on the road, the guns are cocking for his return to AAA.Nate Silver: Clemens, Wolf, Sheets, Pettitte, Santana.
jaymoff (Salem, OR): Is Reggie Willits a permanent fixture in the Angels outfield or is this a month/few months/one season worth of good play?We'll be having this argument up through one of three points (and maybe beyond):Nate Silver: I don't think he has the talent to be more than a 300 PA guy, but since this is the Angels, that might not stop them.
- When Garret Anderson returns to the lineup.
- Willits falls off the table.
- The All-Star break, at which point we ought to have a better read on Willits' true ability.
Mike (NY): What do you think of the rumored Brandon Wood for Garrett Adkins trade possibility. Who wins this trade in the end?Can you imagine the kind of numbers Wood could post at Colorado, assuming he can hit there without striking out a ton? Stephen Smith pointed out this trade would be a loser for the Angels based on Atkins home/road splits.Nate Silver: I actually think it's kind of a win-win. The Angels need offense, and the Rockies need a future, even though Wood is a bit overrated.
carlosrubi (Mexico): Bobby Crosby: .250/.340/.450 future?Sad; he's a nice guy.Nate Silver: Possible, but that represents his upsdie at this point rather than the most likely outcome.
Stacy (Atlanta): How would you rate Russell Martin amoungst the catchers? If Mauer's moved and McCann doesn't heat up and last year was a fluke, can Martin be the best?Nate Silver: I like Russell Martin an awful lot, but McCann and Mauer are such unique talents that I don't think that's a fair question.
MikeJordan23 (Brooklyn): How about Andy Laroche and a pitching prospect from the Dodgers for Scott Rolen? Should the Cardinals do it if they could?
Nate Silver: The Cardinals absolutely have to rebuild, because their farm system has only recently started its ascent from the nadir it was at a couple of years ago, and the Brewers are going to set the bar at 90 wins+ in the NL Central for the next 3-5 seasons. That trade would be a great start on the process. I've always looked at Walt Jocketty as being a little bit too stubborn for his own good, and I think his ability to pull the white flag this year is going to say an awful lot about his quality as a GM.
Highlanders Sweep Dirtbags
Sigh.Labels: angels, athletics, brewers, cardinals, dodgers, minors
(and nice of you to mention Big West baseball - even with the twisted slant - go Highlanders!
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