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Friday, June 15, 2007 |
Orlando Cabrera, "Theo's Biggest Mistake"
Not re-signing Orlando Cabrera was Theo Epstein's biggest mistake?
While we signed the best shortstop on the market at the time, Edgar Renteria proved a colossal bust at Fenway. Renteria has gone on record saying that the playing field at Fenway Park was terrible and the adjustment to the American League was so daunting that it would have taken him two years to regain his stroke. After trying to defend him for much of 2005, I sit here glad he’s gone… but he never should have been here in the first place.I'm sure Lugo will come around any day now, as he's historically hit better and more consistently than Cabrera. Evan Brunell's argument here is essentially a failure to recognize small sample size problems. (Via David Pinto.)...
For some reason, Theo’s decisions with shortstops have been awful. Every high-profile signing has been a basic disaster, while the under the radar ones have been gems. Why? Maybe because he’s falling into the same trap as most everyone falls in with high-profile players: they look at the name and cherry pick the gaudy numbers. With the low-profile signings, he more judiciously looks at the statistics, the trends, the opinions, and makes an informed decision. Regardless, Theo is just doing a bad job, and it all points back at the decision to remove Orlando Cabrera. Since then, we’ve had shortstops with 2.4 WARPs, and we’ll be lucky if Lugo matches that WARP.
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