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Tuesday, September 04, 2007

Pickoff Moves

Padres Sign Brett Tomko

Ho, ho, ho, and welcome to his ever-changing moods!

Pack It Up: The Death Of Baseball Analysis

Gary Huckabay thinks baseball analysis is dead. You some funny, eh, boss?
In short, the real cause of death for baseball analysis is that it just isn’t very difficult to do, particularly if what you want is a 20/80 solution—80 percent of the maximum available benefit for only 20 percent of the investment.
Closin' down this blog, any second now...

The Importance Of The Quality Start

Jay Jaffe looks at teams getting quality starts out of their rotations, and comes to the conclusion that a quality start results in a win 78% of the time. That's huge, and important for the Angels who are third in the AL (behind Cleveland, and shockingly, Oakland) in this metric. What's shocking is that John Lackey falls so far down the SNLVAR leaderboard with a 5.1 SNLVAR, tied with Andy Pettite for 20th in the majors.

Carlos Zambrano Rips Cubs Fans For Boos

Big Z walked off the mound after a terrible performance yesterday, and got booed by the Wrigley Field faithful (described by Vin Scully as "sullen if not mutinous"). He responded today:
"I don't accept that the fans were booing at me," a seething Zambrano said afterward. "I can't understand that. You know, I thought these were the greatest fans in baseball. But they showed me today that they just care about them, and that's not fair, because when you're struggling, you want to feel the support of the fans.

"No, I don't accept it. I just pointed to my head, and I will remember that because I don't want any bad outings. I know the great moments of my career will come."

How about accepting that you sucked at a critical time after signing a big-dollar contract? Meh.

2008's Free Agent Class (Offensive Division)

And not a 3B worth a mention, unless you believe that somehow A-Rod won't be in Yankee pinstripes next year. David Eckstein will be looking for work, too.

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Comments:
Mike Lowell, maybe on a 2-3 year contract, isn't at least "worth a mention"? I'm not saying he's a breadwinner, but aside from 2005, I'd take his package of offense and defense in any other year from this decade. He's pretty hearty. He's likely to hold up for 2-3 more years.
 
It's kinda hard to trust Lowell after his godawful 2005.
 
speaking of 2008 3B, its time for some one to compare Wood2006ARK vs. Wood2007SLC statistically (quick, while analysis still has a pulse!)

my hunch is they look very well matched and identical.
 
Again, I said "aside from 2005". Outside of that one season, he's been fairly consistently an above-average performer, and capable of some really good years (see '03, '04 and '07). Is there any reason to think that 2005 was not an outlier?

In any case, he's one of two 3B next year that are "worth a mention". The rest, I agree, are not.
 

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