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Tuesday, July 26, 2005

More From Bryan Smith On The Dodgers System

Bryan Smith does a mailbag today, and has some good stuff about the Dodgers system in it. First, on players who just missed his earlier midseason top 75 list:
Jonathan Broxton: Los Angeles Dodgers (RP)

... I do believe that Broxton is the second best reliever in the minors right now, and may also have the best stuff. Kevin Goldstein reported Broxton hit 101 on the gun last week, which was surely enough to make Yhency Brazoban start to worry.

...

Greg Miller: Los Angeles Dodgers (SP)

Given the success of players like Cole Hamels and Adam Miller post-rest, it's hard to give up on Greg. He had an arm equivalent to those two before his injury, but now needs to prove that it's still there. He's looked good in his six appearances so far, but the 15.2 inning sample size is just not enough. Nor are the eight walks good enough to justify a top 75 selection.

He later on goes into a bit more detail on Broxton, noting a report from Kevin Goldstein that he's hit 101 on the gun.

About some of those prospects...

As a Dodger fan, I was wondering about the fates of Delwyn Young, Dioner Navarro, Travis Denker and Matt Kemp?
-- Benaiah

Benaiah, I think you forgot about Scott Elbert, James Loney, Cory Dunlap, Justin Orenduff, Sergio Pedroza, etc. The Dodgers system is unbelievably stacked, and off the top of my head, probably the organization with the most minor league depth. While two Dodgers fell in my honorable mention, I have to say that Orenduff was extremely close. I'm also a Dunlap fan, as I think his power might develop into a weapon in time.

As far as the players you mentioned, it's really a no-tools group, save Dioner Navarro. 'Pudgito' has fallen into the system's second-best catching prospect, and is being forgotten quickly because of that. He has a lot of work to do to catch Russ Martin, who is superior in nearly every aspect of the game. But given Navarro's contact abilities, and above-average defense, I think he could be the Dodgers back-up catcher.

After that, Delwyn Young probably has the next best tools. But Young is like ex-Dodger prospect Victor Diaz -- another big-hitting second baseman with very limited defensive skills. Young is probably, like Diaz, set up for third base or the outfield. But then his horrible selectivity skills come into play, and in the end, Young is just a marginal prospect. Denker is better at second base, though his season this year seems to be pretty fluky. It's too early to fairly evaluate Travis, as this year has to be seen as an aberration to everyone outside his parents.

Update: I suppose I should mention that the highlighted sentence above is my own editorial choice; yet again, another big deal prospect hits the fan at Las Vegas -- and splatters. Of course, it is possible that DePodesta merely wanted a plausible excuse to get the Snakes to bite on an otherwise unpalatable deal (i.e., moving Shawn Green).

Comments:
Then he's either going through the system too fast, or there's less there than meets the eye. But a credible analyst calling him a "backup catcher"... well, we'll see who's right. But I have my suspicions. It looks at the very least like he'll need another year.
 
"His receiving skills are average."

  -- Baseball America 2005 Prospect Handbook
 

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