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Sunday, September 02, 2007

Managerial Horizons: Rangers 8, Angels 7

The loss was, of course, strictly Scot Shields', but why in God's name was he still in there after throwing breaking stuff that hit the ground at 50 feet? Mike Scioscia perhaps figured that his career numbers against the Rangers' slugger were good enough — 3-for-23, but two of those home runs.

Make that 4-for-24 with three home runs, including a grand slam. Now, the Rev thinks home plate umpire Lance Barksdale squeezed Shields and thus caused an implosion, but to this I would say, so what? You could also, partly, chalk some of his hittability to the extreme temperatures he was working in. At the same time, if John Lackey and Justin Speier also had to work in 99° F gametime temps (the Yahoo box score claims 97°, but I'm going by the radio announcers), well, neither of them gave up grand slams.

In-game management may in fact have taken second place to the weather as the deciding factor. For starters, the home run Lackey gave up to Brad Wilkerson wasn't that far over the left field bullpen fence. We happened to notice a gust kick up just as that pitch went over the plate, and combined with the absurdly high temperature, the ball — a high, arcing fly — just carried and carried until GA had no room left. In April or May, there's a good chance that stays in the yard, and the same applies to Ian Kinsler's blast into the left-field seats over the low wall. Minus those four runs, the Angels win this game handily and John Lackey is celebrating his 17th victory.

But that still isn't satisfying, because Shields did get himself into another jam and just couldn't pull himself out of it. He couldn't throw his breaking stuff for strikes, leaving him terribly vulnerable to hitters who were then able to sit dead red. Why would Scioscia leave him in there so long? Part of it, of course, was the fact that he had pieced together three straight good outings, but given how badly he pitched in August, that wasn't very comforting. About the only reason I can figure is that same thing that caused him to leave Ervin Santana in the rotation until his godawful July 17 outing in Tampa Bay: the Angels need him to be good and Scioscia will give him every opportunity within reason to be good.

Now, I'll argue right here and now that Scioscia erred on the side of patience one too many times here, because it was pretty obvious before Blalock ever stepped to the plate that Shields had nothing, loading the bases on a hit, a walk, and a hit batter. But reviewing his other decisions in (and after) the game, I found myself generally agreeing with them:

In short, the sum total of Mike's one big managerial blunder in this game — the loss aside — seems a net positive. The game was winnable, even under the extreme weather conditions, but the Angels have the luxury, with a six-and-a-half game division lead, of being a little generous to a (hopefully, temporarily) faltering horse that helped get them this far. We shall see tomorrow whether this philosophy does any good with Ervin Santana.

Lastly, Jeff Mathis had another of his increasingly common good offensive games, including a two-run homer and a heroic bloop double in a rousing but ultimately ineffective ninth inning rally. (On the other hand, he did get caught stealing in the seventh with nobody out, perhaps a busted hit-and-run play.) Great rally, but, geez, guys, pitching.

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Comments:
Agree very much with your analysis.

Minutiae: Mathis' CS was a hit & run; Reggie swung and missed at a pitch in the dirt. And his 9th inning double wasn't a bloop, it was a big one-hopper.

As I mentioned to my dad tonight, September's an awful hard month to navigate two different confidence crises in your pitching staff. Godspeed to Scioscia/Butcher in doing so, but I'm starting to hope that Rich Thompson fellow sees time in close games.
 
If nothing else than to hear an Aussie accent in the postgame interview.
 

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