Monday, December 31, 2007 |
OT: Happy New Year
Happy New Year's, all.
Labels: offtopic
Friday, December 28, 2007 |
OT: Carona Takes Another Bribe
Labels: offtopic
Dayn Perry Ranks The Top Pitching Duos
- ARI: Brandon Webb, Dan Haren
- CLE: C.C. Sabathia, Fausto Carmona
- MIN: Johan Santana, Francisco Liriano
- SDP: Jake Peavy, Chris Young
- SFG: Matt Cain, Tim Lincecum
- LAD: Brad Penny, Chad Billingsley
- LAA: John Lackey, Kelvim Escobar
- PHI: Cole Hamels, Brett Meyers
- TBD: Scott Kazmir, James Shields
- ATL: John Smoltz, Tim Hudson
- SDP: (73.7 VORP) Jake Peavy, Chris Young
- CLE: (71.3 VORP) C.C. Sabathia, Fausto Carmona
- ARI: (64.9 VORP) Brandon Webb, Dan Haren
- ATL: (63.1 VORP) John Smoltz, Tim Hudson
- LAD: (58.5 VORP) Brad Penny, Chad Billingsley
- LAA: (57.3 VORP) John Lackey, Kelvim Escobar
- BAL: (47.8 VORP) Erik Bedard, Jeremy Guthrie
- BOS: (47.4 VORP) Josh Beckett, Curt Schilling
- CHA: (47.3 VORP) Mark Buehrle, Javier Vazquez
- TBA: (39.0 VORP) Scott Kazmir, James Shields
Update: I totally screwed up on Minnesota, forgetting that Carlos Silva was a free agent signed by the Mariners this offseason. His absence drops the Twins utterly off this list and moves Tampa Bay back up, albeit their starting two is almost a full win worse than the Chisox, Red Sox, or Baltimore. Liriano gets no love because he didn't pitch a single inning in 2007, and it's questionable what he'll bring to the table in 2008.
Labels: ratings, sabermetrics
Thursday, December 27, 2007 |
Christina Kahrl On Western Division Deals To Date
Importing Kuroda might be the case of catching the kind of Carp you want to keep (he pitched for Hiroshima, so you can make a Blinky joke if you're not squeamish). Although he'll be 33, as Mike Plugh noted in November, he has a nice power assortment and might give us further opportunities to see the shuuto thrown in the major leagues. The price is a bit steep for someone who might only be around a fourth starter in the majors, but after last season's rotation shenanigans with Wolfs and Jumbos and Hendricksons and Tomkos, and with Jason Schmidt's availability in doubt, you can understand Ned Colletti's desire to get something done, and skip having to ponder the virtues of someone like Kyle Lohse.She also likes Kevin Towers' deals to bring in Mark Prior and Randy Wolf for little money and short contracts ("you can see this adding up to a solid rotation with some upside potential") while dissing the Jim Edmonds deal ("His range in center isn't just not what it was, it's well into “not good enough” territory"), and smiles on the "happy deal" between Padres and perennial Cy Youngster Jake Peavy.The other move of note is getting Andruw to yet another big-ticket short-term deal. While we bash on Colletti for a lot of things, he has been relatively good at taking this sort of chance, and it's a reasonable way to spend when you've got a fully-stocked farm system you don't want to scatter to the winds and a win-now agenda. Dodgers fans just wish he'd been similarly smart with Juan Pierre, and it's here that signing Jones creates that additional problem—what do you do with the monster mistake of the 2007 Hot Stove League? Already near-useless as a regular in center, Pierre's a disaster in the making for what he'll do to an offense in left. Ideally, Colletti will manage something semi-clever, like making Pierre a White Sock or a Marlin for the next four years, however much money eaten it takes to make it so, but the danger is that any gains the Dodgers make offensively by buying Jones after a down year will get handed back by playing Pierre in a corner while benching either Andre Ethier or Matt Kemp. You would think that an aggressive push to win the division and playing Pierre would be mutually exclusive, but after failing to learn that lesson last year, apparently Colletti needs another dose of the sledgehammer of certainty to convince himself he made a monumental error of judgment.
Finally, while it's sort of neat to see Bennett wind up with his eighth team in eight years, he's not an asset. Not that the Dodgers weren't already dead in case something bad happens to Russell Martin, but when an entirely punchless defensive specialist gets so week-armed with age that even the Cardinals lose interest, it's a bad sign.
For the Giants, "If you thought things were going to get better in San Francisco, guess again", sees "a lot of risk" in the myriad pitching signings (David Wells, Aaron Cook, Luis Vizcaino, and Mark Redmond) in Colorado, and wonders whether Arizona's trade for Danny Haren is "too clever by half". There's more — and mostly negative — on Seattle's signing Carlos Silva (though a career 3.57 ERA against the Angels may have something to do with their decision), and declares the Volquez/Hamilton trade to fall in that category of deals "that made/broke/saved/killed Jon Daniels".
Labels: angels, diamondbacks, dodgers, giants, mariners
Dodgers' Trainer Conte "Tried To Blow The Whistle On Steroids" While In San Francisco
According to the Mitchell Report, Conte asked Anderson for a resume. Anderson indicated he had graduated from high school and that everything else was "pending."Subtract some credibility for apparent own-ass-covering here, but it's interesting reading.Conte approached Giants general manager Brian Sabean, about restricting their access to the clubhouse and off-limit areas and Sabean told Conte he should confront Bonds.
When Conte asked for Sabean's support if Bonds objected, the Giants GM left Conte hanging, Albee remembers. Sabean does not recall that conversation, the Mitchell Report said.
Labels: dodgers, drugs, stupid ideas
Astros Sign Erstad To 1-Year/$1M Deal
Update: Dan Szymborski laughs and laughs.
Labels: astros, ex-angels, transactions
Wednesday, December 26, 2007 |
Padres Sign Mark Prior, Rangers Trade Volquez For Hamilton
- Mark Prior has signed with his hometown Padres for 1 year/$1M, with performance bonuses to $4.5M.
- Another of the DVD trio left Texas, as the Rangers shipped Edinson Volquez and Danny Herrera to Cincinnati for CF Josh Hamilton. (Also via AP.) The three — John Danks, Volquez, and Thomas Diamond — started last year as three of the Rangers' top five prospects, but the team traded Danks for Jarrod Saltalamacchia. Salty's .251/.290/.431 in 2007 came half-time at first, where his value is substantially lower than behind the plate. Jim Callis liked this deal for the Rangers:
Rangers Question Please! TEXAS: A couple of Rangers questions, What is your take on the Hamilton/Volquez trade and what is your take on the state of the Rangers minor league system? THANKS!
Jim Callis: Rangers have really restocked their system in the last year via trades and the draft. I loved that deal from the Texas side. I know the Reds have more outfielders than they know what to do with, and I guess they felt like Hamilton's body won't hold up after all the abuse he has subjected it to. But I don't believe in Volquez.
Labels: padres, rangers, reds, trades, transactions
Tuesday, December 25, 2007 |
OT: Merry Christmas
Labels: offtopic
Monday, December 24, 2007 |
John Sickels (Or His Wife?) On The Dodgers' Top 20 Prospects
- Clayton Kershaw, LHP, Grade A
- Andy LaRoche, 3B, Grade A- (I still really like him)
- James McDonald, RHP, Grade B+
- Chin-Lung Hu, SS, Grade B
- Jonathan Meloan, RHP, Grade B
- Dewlyn Young, OF, Grade B-
- Chris Withrow, RHP, Grade B-
- Scott Elbert, LHP, Grade C+ (would rank higher if healthy)
- Blake DeWitt, 3B, Grade C+
- Andrew Lambo, 1B, Grade C+
- Pedro Baez, 3B, Grade C+
- Josh Bell, 3B, Grade C+
- Ivan DeJesus, SS, Grade C+
- James Adkins, LHP, Grade C+
- Xavier Paul, OF, Grade C+
- Justin Orenduff, RHP, Grade C+
- Austin Gallagher, 3B, Grade C (might rank at C+, still thinking)
- Jamie Hoffman, OF, Grade C
- Jaime Pedroza, SS, Grade C
- Ramon Troncoso, RHP, Grade C
Review: Los Angeles Dodgers Vintage World Series Films
But if time ticks by ever faster as I age, the reverse is true of the Dodgers' World Series appearances. Growing up listening to Vin Scully call the games on a little lemon-colored Radio Shack radio, hanging in a hammock in our back yard and looking up at the darkening sky, Dodgers' excellence was something you took for granted. Of course they'll win the division. Of course they'll be in the World Series. I raged at the TV when Reggie Jackson threw out his hips on the basepaths, deflecting Ron Cey's throw and ultimately costing the Dodgers Game 4 in the '78 Series.
And so here we are today, Dodger fans famished, relatively speaking, by a string of mediocrities, punctuated by the last gasp, the 1988 squad that shouldn't have been able to do it; whatever pixy dust landed on that team seems to have been drained out of the future, glory bought on the installment plan. For a long while now, Dodger glory has been about the past, and not the recent past, either.
Nostalgia therefore being eminently salable, I received as a gift the 2-DVD set, Vintage World Series Films: Dodgers, containing footage of all five Los Angeles Dodgers titles. The first thing that really pops out at you is the brass band cheerleading that marked postwar baseball marketing; the old Angels fight song was of the same cloth, and sounds every bit as dated. All of the films are scripted, some of them ham-handedly so; there are places where it would have been far more interesting to listen to Vin Scully's contemporaneous calls. It's odd to hear Scully so pantingly commercial; "that's the dazzling type of play that makes baseball thrilling to watch" is so leaden a phrase, it defies comprehension how he could possibly utter it.
In a sense, you expect that. The 1950's were an era of declining attendance, partly fueled by the outgrowth of the suburbs; baseball was still played in stadiums far away from its likely customers, a situation that would be corrected in the coming decades (and one that the Dodgers were well-situated to take advantage of).
If the films have their tics, they also have their charms, the latter generally overshadowing the former. It's the first time I've seen Sandy Koufax pitch, and if you've never seen that, it's worth the price of admission by itself. Likewise old Metropolitan Stadium, which always struck me as being terribly small and obsolescent the moment it was built; the film makes it look like an overgrown spring training facility, without shade in the outfield seats (though given how little sun you get there, maybe that's a net positive). Needless to say, this is a must-have for any serious Dodger fan. It's too bad that there aren't videos of the Dodgers' 1977 and 1978 losing World Series efforts, because there's a lot of interesting history there, too; but you have to wade through the Yankeeography to get it.
Thursday, December 20, 2007 |
Padres Sign DaVanon, Fick To Minor League Deals
Labels: ex-angels, padres, slow news day, transactions
Wednesday, December 19, 2007 |
Roster Notes
- Scott Boras has managed to scare off the Giants, so we can assume Dallas McPherson will return to the negotiating table a bit chastened.
- The Rangers are among those teams interested in Mark Prior.
- The Rockies are kicking the tires on Marcus Giles. Colorado also signed Kip Wells and Mark Redman to one-year deals.
- The M's have signed Carlos Silva to a 4-year/$44M deal.
- Update: Michael Barrett and the Padres have agreed to a one-year, $3.5M deal.
Labels: giants, mariners, rangers, rockies, rumors, transactions
Monday, December 17, 2007 |
Doomsday 2: Extending The List
Who (Title) | Status | When | Comments |
---|---|---|---|
Roy Smith (VP Of Player Development) | Resigned | 10/12/2006 | Was a special assistant to then-Pirates GM Dave Littlefield until he lost that job in the purge earlier this year. Replaced by De Jon Watson on 10/25/2007. |
Grady Little (Manager) | 10/30/2007 | Little's subsequent interviews made it sound like indeed he had planned on resigning late in the season, but the timing with Joe Torre's forced exit from the Yanks was surely suspicious. | |
Marty Greenspun (VP and COO) | Resigned | 11/6/2007 | |
Camille Johnston (VP Communications) | Resigned, officially. | 12/14/2007 | Replaced by former Red Sox exec Charles Steinberg, who had worked for the team since April of this year. Tony Jackson says she was forced out. |
Labels: dodgers, front office
Dodgers Sign Gary Bennett As Reserve Catcher
Labels: dodgers, transactions
Sunday, December 16, 2007 |
Giants Thinking About Dallas McPherson, Other Roster Notes
- The Giants are thinking about adding Dallas McPherson. Over Happy Pete? Why not?
- Chad Gaudin has hip labrum problems, and similarly Rich Harden took a cortisone shot for "lingering tendinitis" according to Dr. Lewis Yocum. It certainly makes clear why the A's went the rebuilding route this year.
Labels: athletics, ex-angels, giants, injuries, rumors
Saturday, December 15, 2007 |
Camille Johnston Out, Charles Steinberg In
The Dodgers also hired Dennis Mannion on Nov. 7 as COO.
Labels: dodgers, front office, slow news day
Dodgers Sign Hiroki Kuroda, 3 Years/$35-36M
Instant uninformed analysis: Kuroda (J-ball stats) fills a significant hole in the Dodgers rotation. He functioned as the Hiroshima Carp's staff ace for a number of years, and has been healthy in the main while posting strong but not overpowering numbers. He'll slot in the 3-4 holes in the rotation, and should provide the Dodgers with a much better player than any of Mark Hendrickson, (an injured) Randy Wolf, or whoever happened to be fifth last year (Hong-Chih Kuo, Jason Schmidt, etc.). It also helps the Dodgers by making a suicide trade of Matt Kemp unnecessary, and best of all, they don't have to surrender a draft pick for the signing, either. It's very likely this will qualify as the smartest thing Ned Colletti has done all offseason.
Update: True Blue LA harshes my bliss, likening Kuroda to Kyle Lohse, only older and maybe more homer-tastic:
Kuroda is a player entering his mid 30s that had trouble missing bats against inferior competition. The only starters that have come from Japan with strikeout rates worse than Kuroda's are Keiichi Yabu and Masato Yoshii, neither of whom were exactly successful in their time in the states. Kuroda comes in with better control that either of those guys had, but it's still not a list of players that you want to be associated with.Kuroda's "upside" comes from the fact that we aren't entirely certain that he's going to suck like Lohse will. Will he be able to get by just by being a new arm in the league in his first season? Maybe. But there's absolutely nothing here that suggests Kuroda will have any real sustained success in the bigs. If he can't keep his slider down, Kuroda becomes a two pitch pitcher in the bigs, and his out pitch isn't really all that fearsome.
And yes, all of this could be wrong, just look at what Saito did. However, I might have to invoke the Jamie Moyer rule and say that Takashi Saito can not be used as a precedent for anything. A guy leaping from a mediocre middle reliever in Japan to quite possibly the most dominant closer in the MLB at age 37 isn't likely to happen again. Unless Saito's magical transformation starts happening again and again, mediocre in Japan will probably mean worse than mediocre in the states. That pretty well sums up Kuroda.
Labels: dodgers, transactions
Friday, December 14, 2007 |
... And Other Stuff: Roster Notes
- Rotoworld reports the Rangers have signed ex-Angel Edgardo Alfonso to a minor league deal. Wonders never cease.
- The Rangers signed Kazuo Fukumori to a two-year, $3M deal.
- The A's signed Kiko Calero to a one-year deal, dollars unknown.
- The Milton Bradley deal struck by the Rangers is for one year and $5M.
- Update: Former Angel Alberto Callaspo is now a Royal after the Diamondbacks traded him for Billy Buckner. (Also at MLB.com.)
- Glendon Rusch and the Padres have come to terms on a minor league deal according to Yahoo Sports.
- Update 2: The A's have traded Dan Haren and pitcher Connor Robertson to the Diamondbacks. "In exchange, Oakland will receive a total of six prospects, including outfielder Carlos Gonzalez and left-handers Brett Anderson and Greg Smith. Arizona's first-round pick in 2006, pitcher Max Scherzer, is not a part of the deal." (Hat tip: Catfish Stew.)
- Update 3: The Diamondbacks continue to be busy bees, sending closer Jose Valverde to Houston for OF Chris Burke and RHP Chad Qualls. A stupid move for both teams, as the Astros don't need a closer (they're nowhere near close to contending, thus a closer is unnecessary) and the Snakes get a fourth outfielder without a lot of upside and a better-than-average (but not better than Valverde) reliever.
Update 4: Rotoworld now says Arizona will also get RHP starter Juan Gutierrez. That's a much better deal.
- Update 5: Latest from the Seattle Post-Intelligencer blog is Hiroki Kuroda hasn't made up his mind yet as to which team he's going to play for.
- Update 6: Jim Edmonds has been traded to the Padres. In exchange for Edmonds and cash, the Redbirds are believed to get 3B prospect David Freese. Also at MLB.com, which basically rehashes the same story; negotiations with the team's current centerfielder, Mike Cameron, collapsed suddenly earlier in the day.
Labels: athletics, rangers, transactions
Report: Kuroda Cancels U.S. Trip, To Sign With Dodgers
Japanese right-hander Hiroki Kuroda canceled a scheduled visit to the United States because he decided to sign with the Dodgers. He also was being pursued by Seattle, Arizona and Kansas City. Dodgers closer Takashi Saito is believed to have helped sway Kuroda to Los Angeles.
Labels: dodgers, rumors, transactions
The Best Thing I've Read So Far On The Mitchell Report
If you can ignore the fact that there were no cross examinations, no subpoenas, no testimony under oath, no interaction between accuser and accused, no advance notice to the accused and no hard evidence whatsoever in most cases, the Mitchell Report certainly made its point.The Mitchell Report is a grab bag of slander, possible truths, and a splashy list of players designed to cow the MLBPA into surrendering even more of their constitutional rights. Written by a Red Sox board member, its bias is immediately suspect. It's political grandstanding at its lowest; if the point was to get Congress to back off, it's backfired, because now the Congress wants a second helping of self-righteousness that won't hurt anybody but a few millionaire athletes.But then its point had nothing to do with actual due process, because we don't really need that anymore, now do we? Check with assorted Duke lacrosse players and Whitewater defendants.
No, the Mitchell Report was all about Major League Baseball trying to cover the cracks through which all the steroids fell.
Labels: drugs, stupid ideas
Thursday, December 13, 2007 |
Blue Jays Add To Ex-Angels Collection, Sign Eckstein
Labels: blue jays, ex-angels, transactions
Wednesday, December 12, 2007 |
Angels Sign Jesse Hoorelbeke
Labels: angels, transactions
Love Me Non-Tender
A's: Kiko Calero, RHP; Jose Garcia, RHP
Mariners: John Parrish, LHP
Rangers: Nick Gorneault, OF; Akinori Otsuka, RHP
Red Sox: Brendan Donnelly, RHP
Cubs: Mark Prior, RHP; Update: BCB reaction:
The "greatest college pitcher of all time" fell to the Cubs because the Twins couldn't afford to pay him. (By couldn't afford, I mean that billionaire owner Carl Pohlad was unwilling to pay). The excitement was palpable in Cubdom. The next Tom Seaver was coming to Chicago, but when.Giants: Scott Munter, RHP
Padres: Jack Cassel, RHP; Morgan Ensberg, INF; Ryan Ketchner, LHP; Jason Lane, OF
Rockies: Sean Barker, OF; Darren Clarke, RHP
The Angels extended contract offers to Francisco Rodriguez, Casey Kotchman, Maicer Izturis and Juan Rivera.
Labels: angels, dodgers, ex-dodgers, transactions
Giants Sign Aaron Rowand
Labels: giants, stupid ideas, transactions
Instant, Not-Too-Well-Considered Opinion On The (If It's Real) Hiroki Kuroda Signing
He's not Daisuke Matsuzaka, but Kuroda a very strong power pitcher with a low to mid-90s fastball and a wicked forkball. In addition, he features a plus shuuto, something like a screwball, as well as an effective change. Even if he only pans out as a third or fourth starter in the majors, he will give you innings, work deep into games, and he should be fairly consistent start to start.Kuroda pitched in a mild hitter's park, which should give the Dodgers some insurance that their new starter knows what it's like.
Operating without any kind of projections, and looking at his career stats, he's struck out about three times as many batters as he's walked (123 K/43 BB in 2007), though his overall strikeout rate is a bit low (6.16 K/9) and likely to go lower facing better competition — though maybe not, considering the talent drain from the NL to the AL. At 32, it's very likely his best years are behind him, so the Dodgers are paying a decent amount for a good but untested-in-the-majors pitcher. Nevertheless, if this keeps Colletti from trading Matt Kemp (and Mark Hendrickson out of the rotation), it's a reasonable deal.
Here's some video of a match against Hideki Matsui, and from the NPB All-Star Game.
Thanks to DT commenters Bob Timmermann and GMac in the 909 in today's thread for some of those links above.
Update: More from Jerry Crasnick, who writes
Several media outlets in Japan and Los Angeles have reported that Kuroda cancelled his U.S. visit and is leaning heavily toward signing with the Los Angeles Dodgers. But Kuroda's planned trip to California to meet with agent Steve Hilliard appears to indicate that he's not as far along in the process as the reports suggest.
Labels: dodgers, transactions
Ervin Santana Can Rest Easy: Miguel Tejada To The Astros
Labels: astros, orioles, trades
Zell To Sell Cubs, "Related Real Estate" By July
Labels: cubs
Tuesday, December 11, 2007 |
Kent's Back In Blue, Other Roster Notes
- Jeff Kent has accepted his 2008 option, according to Diamond Leung. (Also via mlb.com and the Los Angeles Times.
- Rudy Seanez has been offered a one-year deal with the Dodgers. Supposedly he's got interest from six to eight teams.
- The Dodgers are also interested in three different free agent catchers for the reserve role: Mike Lieberthal, Gary Bennett, and Damien Miller. The Dodgers declined Lieberthal's $1.4M option but are interested in bringing him back at a reduced price.
- Marty Greenspun, former Dodgers chief operating officer, will rejoin the Yankees' front office.
- The Dodgers supposedly are one of the two finalists for Hiroki Kuroda, the other being the Mariners.
Update: The Kyodo News reports Kuroda has selected the Dodgers.
- The Cubs have won the bidding for Kosuke Fukudome, leaving the Padres in their dust. The deal is believed to be for $48M/4 years.
- The Padres signed former Phillies 2B Tadahito Iguchi to a one-year deal.
Labels: cubs, dodgers, mariners, padres, transactions
Monday, December 10, 2007 |
Ex-Dodger Paul LoDuca Enters Career Graveyard
Nah.
Also in the WaPo Nats blog (via The Griddle).
Labels: ex-dodgers, nationals, transactions
Sunday, December 09, 2007 |
Roster Notes
- Milton Bradley has unofficially concluded a $5M/one-year deal with the Rangers, according to mlb.com and Ken Rosenthal. The lack of outfield punch may make things "interesting", says Sandy Alderson.
- Compounding that outfield problem is Mike Cameron's refusal of arbitration; the Padres centerfielder is supposedly courting interest from Texas.
- Eric Gagne is a Brewer, to the tune of $10M/one year. How low have his fortunes sunk when Milwaukee GM Doug Melvin describes this deal by saying, "We're adding depth"?
- The Rockies traded Jamie Carroll to Cleveland for a player to be named later. The Tribe will pay the $2.15M remaining on his contract.
- Mark Prior may be headed to the Padres on an incentive deal, according to the Chicago Tribune, if the Cubs fail to sign him to a contract by December 12, the cutoff for non-tenders. He isn't expected to be in pitching shape until June at the earliest.
Labels: ex-dodgers, padres, rangers
Thursday, December 06, 2007 |
Jose Guillen, Jay Gibbons Suspended For Drug Policy Violations; Matthews, Jr. Off The Hook
Maury Brown reports that the investigation of Gary Matthews, Jr., Troy Glaus, Scott Schoeneweis, and Rick Ankiel, has concluded that there is insufficient evidence to prove violations. Other investigations continue.
Labels: drugs, ex-angels, suspensions
As Predicted: Wesley Wright Snagged In Rule 5 Draft
The Angels lost a couple players in lower rounds, too, namely RHP Rafael Cruz Chavez, Francisco Cordova, and 1B Baltazar Lopez.
Labels: angels, dodgers, minors, transactions
Dodgers Sign Andruw Jones To 2-Year, $36.2M Deal
At the start of the off-season, Jones' agent, Scott Boras, signaled he expected Jones could get a five-year contract worth $100 million.Snore. More of the same from the Dodgers, who inexplicably seem to be falling for the same mistake the Angels did, shoring up one bad centerfield acquisition with (arguably) another. Now, it's possible that Jones is merely coming off a lone bad season, and that he will bounce back; but for Colletti's expensive potential bust, we may add the caveat that at least the (perhaps rotten and stinking) fish he landed has a two-year expiration date on it, a far better deal than the five years Gary Matthews, Jr. and Torii Hunter have. Oddly enough, Nate Silver called Jones "closer to Hunter in reality than in perception" at the end of the season, which makes sense: low-ish OBP, higher single-season home run totals offset by a precipitous plunge from previous levels.But no team appeared to come close to such an offer, amid concerns over a .222 batting average that was 41 points below his career average and questions about his long-term conditioning. The two-year deal provides Jones the chance to re-establish his value and re-enter the free-agent market at age 32. Jones is believed to like the idea of hitting behind fleet-footed Rafael Furcal and Juan Pierre, which could allow him to drive in more runs.
As to whether the deal stinks: John Beamer at The Hardball Times looked at Jones' 2007, and concluded that
If you allow me to blatantly speculate, what appears to have happened is this: in the early few weeks Andruw was trying be selective but swung hard and fast when he saw a hittable pitch. He walked a ton, got a dash of luck but didn't hit many home runs despite playing well. In an effort to dial up the power he became less selective and more ragged and his production worsened considerably. Since then he has reigned [sic] in the power, focused a little more on contact and seen a corresponding change in his peripherals.Dave Studeman posted a followup piece that same day, finding that Jones' line drive rate has been falling over the last four years:
As expected, Andruw has lost a lot of oomph on his outfield flies (despite hitting more of them), but his line drive production has also declined; in fact, it's declined each of the past four years. Add in lower production on his groundballs and more strikeouts, and you pretty much have a quadruple whammy.That is, he's just not hitting the ball hard as he used to, and therefore isn't as valuable. But allow me to back off of this particular brand of pessimism for a moment and look at the bigger picture. The first question has to be, are the Dodgers improved? The only way that can be answered in the affirmative offensively is if you believe Jones is about to have a bounceback year. That could happen, but his 2007 was so bad that it could also belie a fundamental change in his value. Assuming he does revert to something like his age-adjusted career norms, this gives the Dodgers the unusual situation of having a centerfielder capable of carrying both his weight and Juan Pierre's, who now moves to the traditional power spot in left. The good news there is that Jones can still get it done in center (109 Rate2), so at least the comical trend of baserunners tagging from first on balls hit up the middle can come to an end. This is arguably a desperation move, but it signals something far more important, and ultimately, valuable to the Dodgers: it shows Ned Colletti understands that the Pierre contract is an albatross.
Jon, who likes the deal much more than I do, has more, saying "they can shortcircuit [the value of this signing] by overvaluing or undervaluing the wrong players."
Update: One thing I did miss here was the Scott Boras angle on things. Why Boras didn't get Jones a one-year deal is beyond me, unless he really thinks his client is possibly going to hell in a handbasket or other container. Baron von Awesome at BTF has an interesting take on the deal from Colletti's career perspective, too:
It looks to me like hedge-betting in preparation for taking credit no matter what happens on Uncle Ned's part. If Jones continues to mildly suck as last year, Uncle Ned says "Well, I knew he was a risk, that's why I insisted on only a two-year deal." If Jones goes gangbusters, Uncle Ned says, "I knew he was going to be great! That's why I didn't hesitate to give him $18 million a year!"Update 2: Joe Sheehan:
I love this contract. It will be far and away the smartest thing any team does this winter, and it pushes the Dodgers up a little bit closer to the Diamondbacks in the 2008 NL West race.Update 3: Inside The Dodgers isn't allowed to be anything but positive on this, but there is one reason for legitimate pleasure over this deal, and it's this graf:
He also said this makes him a little bit more comfortable about the in-house options at third base. If something comes up that is a really great option, we would do it, but pitching is the greater priority.Which means that Andy LaRoche's status as a Dodger is safe at the moment.
Thanks to Jon for the link and extensive quote.
Update 4: Keith Law ($): "In a vacuum, this is an outstanding signing for the Dodgers", but comes up with the same dilemma Jon does: if it's an acknowledgement of the awfulness of the Pierre deal, great, but if it's prelude to moving Matt Kemp, ouch.
Labels: dodgers, transactions
Wednesday, December 05, 2007 |
Tech: Goosing Firefox Performance
Assuming you use Firefox for your browser, follow the simple steps detailed below and you will be surfing the web much faster than before.Mozillazine says the largest acceptable value for network.http.pipelining.maxrequests is actually 8, so the author of this anonymous piece is likely wrong about the 30 number. It also adds the following caveat:
That's it, you are done, type in your favorite website and surf at speeds previously hidden from you!
- Type "about:config" into the address bar and hit return
- Scroll down and look for the following entries and alter appropriately
- Set "network.http.pipelining" to "true"
- Set "network.http.proxy.pipelining" to "true"
- Set "network.http.pipelining.maxrequests" to a number like 30. Firefox will now make 30 requests at once whereas before it would only make one request at a time.
- Lastly right-click anywhere and select New -> Integer. Name it "nglayout.initialpaint.delay" and set its value to "0" (time the browser waits before it acts on information received)
Higher values will cause a delay before the first request completes but will make the last request complete sooner. Higher values will also cause more of a delay if a connection fails.The default is 4, so take it for what it's worth. From experimentation, settings of 4 or 8 were indistinguishable from 30 using Flash-heavy ESPN.com as a baseline.
Labels: tech
Tuesday, December 04, 2007 |
Robothal: Dodgers Hot After Scott Rolen
Labels: cardinals, dodgers, rumors, trades
Braves Inquire About Reggie Willits
Report: Red Sox Land Santana
Update: Earlier speculation in the day from the AP via ESPN.
Labels: angels, red sox, trades, twins
Report: Tigers Get Miguel Cabrera
Update: Via the Detroit Free Press, the four players are C Mike Rabelo, and right-handed pitching prospects Dallas Trahern, Eulogio De La Cruz and Burke Badenhop. Via Rotoworld.
Update 2: Brian Kamenetzky weighs in:
Two monster prospects in outfielder Cameron Maybin and lefty Andrew Miller, a 28 year old catcher who hit .258 in 51 games last season (Mike Rabelo), and three minor league pitchers, none of whom are older than 24. No doubt, that’s a hefty package of young talent. But good as they are, Miller and Maybin weren’t counted on to play large roles in Detroit’s quest to get back to the World Series this year. Maybin, who hit .148 in 24 games, clearly needed more seasoning, while Miller (5-5, 5.69 in 13 starts) might not have cracked the Tigers’ rotation coming out of spring training.I tend to disagree just because the pieces the Angels would have had to give up were absolutely part of their future plans as well, and at multiple positions. Detroit was trading mainly from surplus. One thing's for sure, though, and it does seem like even Tony "Ninja" Reagins has his limits, which is interesting considering he's at times thrown money at problems rather recklessly.A lot to give up? Sure. But with Cabrera and Willis- who doesn’t have to be a #1 for pitching blessed Detroit- the Tigers are absolutely loaded heading into ‘08. And with this deal, they’re participating in that most American of constructs: Buy now, pay later.
It’s something the Angels could, and should, have done, too.
Labels: angels, marlins, tigers, trades, transactions
McCourt Interested In Bringing The NFL To Dodger Stadium Parking Lot
In 2004, Fox sold the [Dodgers] to Frank McCourt. The Dodgers met with NFL officials twice in 2005 to discuss a possible stadium at Chavez Ravine, then backed away after the plan became public.So, you heard it here first: Frank McCourt wants to mismanage teams in not one but two sports.McCourt issued a statement saying he would support the Coliseum "so long as the Coliseum is a viable site." He has declined to comment since Villaraigosa's statement, but one major league official said McCourt told him in recent weeks that an NFL stadium remained "a possibility."
According to well-placed sources in the sports community, McCourt and unnamed partners intend to make another run at the NFL after making major changes to Dodger Stadium and the surrounding areas. The plan, which involves as much as half a billion dollars in investments, calls for upgrading the venue and augmenting it with a nearby mixed-use development that includes retail shops, housing and the like.
McCourt has explored options for developing the Dodger Stadium parking lot since he bought the team, and the 2005 NFL discussions involved a retail and entertainment complex next to the ballpark and an NFL stadium. An internal memo obtained by the Boston Herald two years ago claimed McCourt could bask in the "psychic benefits of being the guy that brought football to L.A."
Tom Lasorda, who managed under O'Malley, said Monday he believed O'Malley still would own the Dodgers today if he had landed an NFL team.
Labels: dodgers
Stephen Smith On Autryism
Angels Trading For Cabrera! No, They're Not!
4:49 p.m., from Jayson Stark
• The Twins and Angels continue to talk about a Johan Santana trade. Many of the same players mentioned in the Miguel Cabrera sweepstakes -- Howie Kendrick, Brandan Wood, Nick Adenhart, and possibly Jeff Mathis or Reggie Willits -- would be included in a package for Santana.• It is believed that the Angels haven't talked with the Marlins since last night, and Miguel Cabrera is off their radar screen -- at least for now
3:28 p.m., from Peter Gammons
• The Marlins are still serious about moving Miguel Cabrera to the Angels. Florida would get second baseman Howie Kendrick, young right-hander Nick Adenhart, catcher Jeff Mathis and one other prospect for the third baseman.
Labels: angels, marlins, rumors, trades, transactions, twins
Baseball America Ranks Top 10 Dodger Prospects
1. Clayton, Kershaw, lhpThe best thing to come of this was from the Alan Matthews chat:
2. Andy LaRoche, 3b
3. Chin-Lung Hu, ss
4. Scott Elbert, lhp
5. Blake DeWitt, 3b
6. Chris Withrow, rhp
7. James McDonald, rhp
8. Jonathan Meloan, rhp
9. Delwyn Young, of
10. Pedro Baez, 3b
Matthews will be joining the Rockies organization after this series completes. Congratulations to him.
Q: Martin from Los Angeles asks:
What would you rather have: James Loney, Matt Kemp and Clayton kershaw for 6 years or Miguel Cabrera for 2 years? As great a talent that Cabrera possesses, it seems madness to trade 3 cheap above average players for 1 expensive All-Star that might walk after 2 seasons. Do you agree?A: Alan Matthews: I concur, but I am fearful ownership in L.A. does not. I think the McCourts are a little media-hungry, and they want to give this team a shot in the arm after bring Torre over as manager. There's a rumor that the Dodgers might trade Erik Bedard to the Dodhers for Jonathan Broxton and Matt Kemp, and that deal, like the one for Cabrera, seems short-sighted. Ned Colletti came from an organization that made a nice living by pawning prospects for major league talent, and there's nothting wrong with using your system that way. But the current asking price for Cabrera's too high if Kemp and Loney and or Billingsley and Kershaw have to be in the mix. Making matters worse for Dodgers fans who want to see the homegrown guys get their shot is that I think the Angels are the frontrunner to get Cabrera, which might make ownership more headstrong in its pursuit of him, regardless of the costs.
Monday, December 03, 2007 |
Joe Hamrahi Interviews Ned Colletti
How would you like to have Martin who’s 24, Loney who’s 23, Kemp who’s 23, Billingsley who’s 23, Broxton who’s 23, and you add Kershaw to it, and you add LaRoche to it and you add Chin-Lung Hu to it, and you add Tony Abreu to it…and you let it get better for another year…and that’s not to say we’re going to sell off 2008. We can still win in 2008. Think about the pitching staff we could have…Billingsley and Elbert and Kershaw and McDonald…that’s possible a year and a half from now. And you have two guys, Billingsley and Kershaw who are legit number 1-2 starters. You’d have a great catcher, you’d have a great first baseman, you’d have a guy at SS who might win the gold glove one day…a guy like Matt Kemp who hasn’t even played that much baseball. He’s played about 5 or 6 years baseball. He might wind up being a great centerfielder! So how do you (trade 3 or 4 of your top kids)? If we can stay the course, we can have something very special for a very long time.There's a strong chance that it's all going to come to an end if the 2008 team doesn't win the division at least. Frank has a very short hook, and honestly, I'm surprised Colletti has lasted this long.
Labels: dodgers, front office
Roster Notes
- The Diamondbacks have started negotiating an extension for Brandon Webb using Jake Peavy's deal in San Diego. Peavy is close to finalizing a $50M/3-year deal with a no-trade clause.
- The Dodgers are allegedly interested in Mike Cameron if they fail to land one of Aaron Rowand or Andruw Jones. Jones allegedly has a two-year/$32M deal from the Dodgers.
- The Rays have made Edwin Jackson available for trade, and the Mariners are interested. Jackson is out of options.
- Arizona traded OF Carlos Quentin to the White Sox for 1B prospect Chris Carter.
- Former Dodger pitcher Brett Tomko has a $1.5M/one-year deal on the table from the Padres.
- The Pads have also expressed some interest in Darin Erstad, along with the Mariners, Astros, and Rays.
Labels: astros, diamondbacks, dodgers, ex-angels, ex-dodgers, mariners, padres, rumors, transactions
Veterans' Committee Sends Walter O'Malley's Corpse To Cooperstown
Via The Griddle, the full list of names, which includes executives Barney Dreyfus and Bowie Kuhn, and managers Billy Southworth and Dick Williams. Doug Harvey (68.8%) and Whitey Herzog (68.8%) just missed the cut.
Labels: awards, dodgers, hall of fame
Sunday, December 02, 2007 |
Padres Sign Randy Wolf To 1-Year, $4M Deal
Also: the Pads declined arbitration on Milton Bradley.
Labels: ex-dodgers, padres, transactions
Saturday, December 01, 2007 |
Roster Notes
- Former Angel closer Troy Percival signed a two-year, $8M deal to close for the now-just-Rays. This, of course, makes no sense, which is something of the opposite from what you might expect from the recent changes in the Tampa Bay front office.
- The Padres are going to offer, inexplicably, arbitration to Michael Barrett.
- Mark Prior to the Padres? Huh.
- The Rangers will not offer arbitration to their four free agents, Sammy Sosa, Brad Wilkerson, Jerry Hairston Jr. and Jamey Wright.
- Arizona offered arbitration to Livan Hernandez. Why? Maybe they thought they could get him for free...
- Hiroki Kuroda turned down the Hiroshima Carp's bid to retain him as a free agent. He says it's all about going "one step forward as a baseball player".
- The Angels refused Bartolo Colon arbitration. He wouldn't have gotten any compensatory draft picks anyway, so there was no reason to offer it.
- Matt Herges inked a one-year, $2.5M deal with Colorado.
- Ex-Dodger Cesar Izturis agreed to a one-year, $2.85M deal with the Cardinals. The Cards haven't decided on whether to offer arbitration to former Angel David Eckstein, but have clearly moved in another direction.
Labels: angels, cardinals, diamondbacks, dodgers, ex-angels, ex-dodgers, padres, rays, rockies, transactions