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Friday, October 05, 2007

Mike Scioscia's Failure In History Class

In the 2002 World Series, Mike Scioscia gave the ball to John Lackey in Game 7 after a 2.1 inning relief appearance in Game 2 in which he gave up two earned runs, and a Game 4 start where he gave up three earned runs over five innings. Despite the fact that it should have been Ramon Ortiz's turn in the rotation, Scioscia expressed doubt that Ortiz would be able to make a Game 7 start as the team was returning home from San Francisco, ostensibly because of wrist soreness.

But an October 27 Times piece tells an entirely different story, with Bill Shaikin and Steve Springer writing that Lackey had been chosen over Ortiz for the simple reason that he was flat better:

So while the Angels partially chose Lackey over Ramon Ortiz to start tonight's game because of the wrist tendinitis hampering Ortiz, that is not the main reason. Lackey simply won the assignment, the last and best one of an amazing rookie season.
Lackey is now 1-11 against the Red Sox, and was 1-10 before the recent game in Boston. Why, under those circumstances, was Lackey given the start? Why not Escobar-Weaver-Lackey? Lackey may be the team's anointed ace and all, and under most circumstances, he's earned that label. But his career numbers against Boston aren't impressive. Throwing him out there simply because of regular season prowess against 13 teams who are not the Red Sox reveals a certain rigidity in thinking, a rigidity that Scioscia hasn't been much called on.

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Comments:
i'll answer your question with one of my own - who would you rather have to start Game 4 in Anaheim and Game 5 at Fenway? Lackey, then Escobar.

of course we have to get there first and that's probably not Scioscia's logic. But that's my answer and it sounds good to me, so i'm sticking with it.

we went to the DBacks game last night (sorry Helen). i sure hope i'm not looking like all the miserable Cub fans we saw there last night in 10 hours.
 
No need to apologize. The world is big enough for fans of all stripes.
 
Because individual numbers against a particular team are not particularly meaningful. Small sample sizes & all.
 
And yet, Scioscia made a big decision based on a far smaller sample size in the 2002 World Series. That's my point.
 

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