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Wednesday, June 30, 2004

Unwatchable: A's 4, Angels 2/Giants 7, Dodgers 1

The bullpen unravels again. Shields falls apart, again. Anderson, Guerrero, and Guillen slump, going a collective 2-12, again. Vlad runs himself out of a gift hit in the 9th. Lackey puts together a solid start and the bats fail.

I can't stand this. The team hasn't strung two series wins together since the middle of May, and now we've got an automatic hole in the rotation with El Ladrón. Tomorrow we face Saarloos, a guy we've never seen before. Advantage, Saarloos.

I don't know what excuse Stoneman has made for not going after a player at the trade deadline, but this team is losing, Bill. And thanks to Mike's insane baserunning philosophy, we keep running ourselves out of innings and games.


Meantime, at Chavez Ravine, the Dodgers were acting like they did last year, and couldn't get a run off Brett "Cy Young" Tomko. Guy pitches like a gascan for the Padres last year and of a sudden he's a candidate for the Hall of Fame.

Nomo's done. Retire, get over it, it's done and over. He can't be trusted in the rotation, he can't handle it anymore, goodbye. Call DePodesta, it's time to haul it in, start selling whoever. The rest of the season will be unwatchable if they keep playing this badly. If they keep playing this badly for the week, they'll get worse after Belly or OP hit the trading block.


Cigareets and Whuskey and Wild Wild Women

Padres first-round draft pick Matt Bush blames his troubles on dat ol' debbil alcohol. Bush was suspended for biting a nightclub bouncer and getting arrested.

Black Thoughts Amid The Blue

T. J. Simers, in today's Times:
If the Dodger owner has no money, the last thing he's going to want is a team in contention nearing the trading deadline and public pressure building to acquire better players and add to the team's payroll.

A team in contention also eliminates the chance to dump Adrian Beltre and Odalis Perez for minor league prospects at the deadline — rather than letting them walk away during the off-season as high-priced free agents.

So I just wanted to know if the Parking Lot Attendant would be cheering openly against the Dodgers in the next month.

In a sense, he's right. The question before the house is, will the Dodgers be run like a large-market franchise? Or will Frank's cash flow problems become apparent this season, and maybe this month?

Tuesday, June 29, 2004

An Old-School Win: Dodgers 2, Giants 1

My luck continues, as the magic tickets are now 5-0.

After the Yankees game I attended earlier, the Giants crowd -- still rowdy by usually staid Dodger Stadium standards -- hardly had any fire left in them, especially as Giants rookie Noah Lowry pitched seven innings of one-run, two-hit ball. Chants of "Yankees Suck" could be heard in the stands, or maybe it was "Giants Suck", or maybe "Barry Sucks". I really couldn't tell, as it was a pretty feeble cheer, and always, it seemed, by a few leather throats several sections away.

Not that there was much to cheer for; only Werth's solo shot enlivened the first seven frames, marked mostly by Blue futility. Tracy once more trotted out Green in the 3-hole, where he proceeded to go 0-4, with two strikeouts. I'm becoming increasingly convinced that the 15 he wears on his back represents the number of millions of dollars he should give back the team based on performance. Paulie, on the other hand, cashed in a runner and got the game winner.

From the other side of the plate, Jeffy gave up quite a few hits without striking out many, but scattered them nicely for the best appearance in memory. Mota, shaky again, bent but never broke, unlike Felix Rodriguez. As Baseball Prospectus put it, the Felix Rodriguez from 2001 isn't likely to ever show up again, but he's still competent -- 3.00 ERAs don't grow on trees, even for middle relievers. And of course Gagné put the nail in it. In my comments about Tracy earlier, he's the one player I forgot -- and the one who would be the quickest missed among Dodger fans. It felt very odd having to explain all this to a non-baseball-fan coworker recently from the east coast I brought to the game, telling him about Gagné and how "Game Over" wasn't just a joke or a taunt but how Gagné had just won the Cy Young last year and he really was that dominant. I had to explain the whole thing where everyone stands for him leaving the bullpen, and for the last out.

You could see how near a thing it was, though, and that's not encouraging. The season hangs in the balance, the future of some key players rests on this week's games, and all they bring to the table is a home run and a lousy RBI single. This was a textbook, old-school win from 2003.

I'll take it. The question is, will DePodesta?

Recap


D-Mac Interview

On The Sports Network, this interview with D-Mac.

Jim Tracy's Missouri Week

I've been skeptical of Frank's intentions and abilities; now I'm just skeptical of his abilities. But this isn't going to be the week for that.

No, this is the week for the team to prove some things. Dodger bats have to prove they can still hit Giants pitching. Dodger pitchers have to miss Giants bats. That's because Paul DePodesta's wondering whether he'll be a buyer or seller at the trade deadline:

General Manager Paul DePodesta said he still planned to be active before the July 31 trading deadline, but the team's performance this week might change his thinking.

"I said earlier that we would be aggressive if we were in contention, but we haven't played well in this stretch," DePodesta said. "If we lose six in a row again, that could change our approach [toward the trade deadline]."

What's left of value? Well, on the pitching staff, Odalis Perez and Guillermo Mota have the most value. Adrian Beltre, now that he's becoming the star we thought he would be, is eminently moveable. The infield combination of Alex Cora and Cesar Izturis are hitting well; of those, a strong case could be made for trading Cora now, since his inconsistent play in years past is cause enough for that.

Somewhere in the middle is Milton Bradley, but he's definitely not the solid middle-of-the-lineup bat the Dodgers needed; his .281/.367/.421 line doesn't exactly instill fear in opposing pitchers. Likewise Juan Encarnacion, whose .248/.297/.451 doesn't impress favorably as a corner outfielder.

But this year doesn't have to end in futility. I believe this team can win. It has won, as recently as April. This is the weakest the NL West has ever been in my memory. Victory is achievable. Achievement of that victory now rests on Jim Tracy. He must make the right lineup decisions, decisions he hasn't successfully made so far this year. We've been over this before: Green must not bat in the heart of the order until he proves he's earned it. Nomo must not start until he can prove he's up to it, preferably from the pen.

The team has a chance, but the margin of victory is so thin that Tracy can't afford to coddle onetime Dodgers stars whom injury has ravaged.

It's time, as they say in Missouri, for him to show me.

Otherwise, Tracy might find himself looking for a job, and sooner than anyone thinks.


Monday, June 28, 2004

Monster

Two homers in one game. A .364/.400/1.000 line (okay, it's only 22 AB). But... clearing the 50-foot centerfield batter's eye at 405 feet.

Look out, Anaheim. Here comes D-Mac.


Weber No More?

Of a sudden, Ben Weber no longer appears on the Stingers' roster.

A Little Error

Yesterday during the game and again in the Times we hear that yesterday's game was John Lackey's "first relief appearance of his pro career". Dudes, even I know that's not true, as he relieved Ramon Ortiz in Game 3 of the 2002 ALDS.

Sunday, June 27, 2004

Garcia To Chisox

To Chicago: RHP Freddie Garcia, C Ben Davis
To Seattle: C Miguel Olivo, and prospects OF Jeremy Reed and SS Michael Morse

U.S.S. Mariner thinks this is a way cool trade for the M's, "probably one of the best player-for-prospect hauls any team has gotten since the Bartolo Colon to Montreal trade." The downside is the Dodgers weren't able to get this deal done, which could be good or bad; if the Dodgers prospects beyond Jackson/Miller/Hanrahan aren't considered top-notch, trades may indeed be very hard to come by, and the problems DePo has in getting help before the trade deadline may be the very same ones people were chiding Evans for last year. The Angels, obvious starting pitching problems notwithstanding, are content to stay put.


The Return of El Ladrón: Dodger 10, Angels 5

In baseball, it seems once you pay a man a certain amount of money, you're obliged to let him lose games for you. Colón threw BP for a few innings until the Dodgers had their fill. Shields has looked mostly awful in these last few games, and now I'm beginning to wonder just whether he spent last season on steroids, and is coming down from that ride.

The Dodgers got their hacks in today, but I'm just not convinced they're going to do much of anything to any pitcher not named Colón or Shields.

Recap


Saturday, June 26, 2004

Oakland 8, San Francisco 7

There are games you want to go to twenty innings in a scoreless tie. This game was one of them, but it had the salutory effect of putting starter Rich Harden down with a partially dislocated shoulder, this hours after ace Tim Hudson was put on the 15-day DL with a hip strain. As well, Octavio Dotel blew the save in spectacular fashion, giving up four earned runs. Let's hope it's a trend.

Angels 7, Dodgers 5

Great to see both teams in HD. Not so great to hear Fox announcers. Blecch. Gimme Vinny any day.

Frank: Please, for the love of God, stop talking about the Red Sox.

Arte: uncomfortable as a deer in the headlights talking about all that minority stuff. Whatever. All I know is he's got us one heck of a lineup.

Ross Porter: it's nice to know you're reading Dodger Thoughts, but could you give a little credit where credit is due?

Pitching

Sele: needs work. A control pitcher should have, like, control. Maybe his first start should have been at Salt Lake?

OP: fantastic game. Hope he's feeling better soon. Update: looks like he's got a rotator cuff strain and is listed day-to-day. Yipes.

Mota: great movement as usual, but left one up for Anderson.

Dreifort: is it just me or does he look disgusted every time he takes the mound, like he thinks he should be starting?

Gregg: oooh, that must feel good. Two zero frames, and I don't care how slumpy the Dodgers bats are about now.

Donnelly: very, very rickety on the mound. Awful location. He kept missing Jose's setups, and not by a little.

Frankie: panic time: he only got two K's this afternoon! :-)

Offense

Dodgers: you can rest on Beltre's back for so many innings, but he can't do it by himself alla time. This is a Tracy problem; Green shouldn't be in the top half of the lineup unless he proves himself better than the other guys ahead of him. But at least guys were getting hits.

GA: did anyone think he'd come back and be this productive immediately? I'm just amazed.

Kennedy: yesterday he had a level-er swing. Today, back to loopiness. What gives? 0-4 = another bad day.

Vlad: studerrific.

Leadoff: 0-9, with a walk. Amazing the Angels won this game.

Umpiring

Hey, now we know where this guy went: he's making ball and strike calls. Jeez, Donnelly gets five balls?

Wrapup


Watch Yer Back, Jim

It's started.

The "Blame Tracy" bandwagon's arrived in Chavez Ravine again.

Frank McCourt is new. No one knows what he looks like with blood on his hands.

He fired Dodgers general manager Dan Evans last winter, days after taking over as team owner. But general managers are backroom guys who rarely capture the public's attention.

For the first time, McCourt is on the clock with manager Jim Tracy.

...

DePodesta is in the first season of a five-year contract. He is in Tracy's corner, but Tracy wasn't his hire. If the Dodgers fall out of the race, management won't wait long.

And why is that? Because guys like Shawn Green, Hideo Nomo, Darren Dreifort, and Tom Martin aren't doing their jobs. Is that Tracy's fault?

As with last year, when the hitting stank, do we fire Jim Colburn now?

What will firing Tracy accomplish, save as a sacrifice to the gods of orthopedics?


Arrive In The Third... wonders again what would have been had Vlad been in Dodger blue. I'm sure that was prompted by Vinnie's remarkably candid discussion during the game of the team's pursuit of Vlad, with Scully retelling the same story we've known since last January: Frank cancelled that negotiation at the request of Bud Selig, certainly a bad way to start as owner.

Which is to say, the real problem is ownership.

Last July, when it became obvious that Kevin Appier was not going to get better, the Angels released him. Arte continues to pay his salary, though, even as he posts absurdly high ERAs in AA ball. Question: is Frank in a position to do that with Shawn Green? What about Nomo? My bet is he isn't. Now of course, this far into the season, the team won't be able to pick up a real front-line ace -- the best we've got so far is Freddie Garcia, and there's a bunch of teams after him. And as for Green -- well, we lost our shot at Carlos Beltran. Magglio Ordoñez might be a possibility, but with the Chisox still in contention, does anyone think they're going to unload him before the season's over? And as a 30-year-old, is he really a long-term answer to any offensive question?

I'm not convinced this is a problem that money alone could solve. But it could make some answers easier to find.


Friday, June 25, 2004

Angels 13, Dodgers 0

Angels: 22 hits, 13 runs, 1 error.

Dodgers: 4 hits, no runs, no errors.

After yesterday's blanking by the A's, today must have felt good for the Angels. AK followed Figgins' earlier oh-so-close-to-the-cycle HR-3B-1B-1B, 4-5 on the night and his average now at .244. About time. Eckstein's 0-3 1 BB night must feel awfully lonely with everyone else hitting the ball on the screws; even Wash got a hit and an RBI (average now .400 on the year). Erstad gets his first homer, making Richard unhappy because we lose our singularity, but hey, I'll take it.

Speaking of Wash, what a dominant performance! His ERA finally tumbles below 5.00, now 4.76 on the year, with 3 K's and only one walk. Derrick Turnbow even found the plate once in a while, and managed to pitch two scoreless frames. Incredibly, he has a 0.00 ERA, though watching him flail against even a struggling Dodger offense wasn't pretty. This is not a guy you want in tight games.

On the other side... the shine's off. Fourth place beckons, as Baseball Prospectus forecasted earlier. But what do you do if you're DePodesta? You need a starting pitcher to replace Nomo, whose start against the Yankees showed so much promise, only to be dashed when he collapsed against the Giants. And really, Lima and Ishii are too inconsistent to rely on in the rotation, and Alvarez has requested he stay in the bullpen. Edwin Jackson still looks like a newborn deer at AAA, but Nomo's so bad, you almost want to take a chance on him. You need a real power threat to supplant Green -- or more likely, the cheap and moveable Dave Roberts. You need bullpen help -- Drefort, Martin, and Alvarez have all been awful lately. Early season phenom Duaner Sanchez has started to buckle. Only Mota's held up well, but even he's had some scary moments, too. (By ERA, does that make Robin Ventura the team's relief ace?)

What I said last year about this team -- the holes are too numerous to fix with a single player -- could also be true about this year, too.

It's only one game. Tomorrow, OP, the team's de facto ace, versus Aaron Sele, a guy who's frequently pitched like one for the Angels.

Recap


Preview

The Angels have a major disadvantage in this series: they have no DH, and as the recent series showed, this is a critical flaw for them because Glaus' injury guts the power from the corners. The Dodgers stank on the road trip to SF, and I have to think they're looking to lick their wounds on the cross town rivals. My supposition is the Dodgers will take two of these.

Boone Soon An Indian

Cleveland has a tentative deal with 3B Aaron Boone. The contract is reputed to be for two years, with no dollar value yet disclosed. Too bad, as the Angels could have used him.

Pickoff Moves

Pads May Void Bush's Contract

The Padres may void top pick Matt Bush's contract. Ironic considering he called them.

Ordoñez Out At Chisox

30-year-old slugger Magglio Ordoñez will test free agency at the end of the year; extension talks with the Chisox have ended in futility. The usual suspects are in consideration, including the Yankees, Dodgers, Mets, Orioles, and even the Cubs.

CSUF To College World Series Finals

CSUF beat South Carolina 4-0 behind Scott Sarver. On to the finals they go, against Texas, starting Saturday. Go Titans!

The Trade

Octavio Dotel is an Athletic, Carlos Beltran an Astro, and the trio of Mark Teahen, Mike Wood, and John Buck are now all Royals subjects, er. prospects, er whatever. Teahen, a reputed prospect, is only hitting .275/.383/.391 in AAA Sacramento, but hey, he's a future replacement for Eric Chavez, right? His name was in Moneyball, so he must be a great player, right? Er, whatever. I still think Allard Baird got his clock cleaned on this one. Baseball America's 2004 Prospect Handbook noted his questionable power in single-A; his ascent to AAA doesn't seem to have been accompanied by anything like an improvement, though he was high in the Texas League in several important numbers (RBIs, walks, and triples). Oakland gets out of the jam they were in with the bullpen, but depletes their system of its only potential replacement for Chavez should he go down hard. Meantime, the Astros get Beltran's bat and much improved centerfield defense. Though Brad Lidge will likely inherit the closer role, that title may end up causing the move to be a bust for the Astros: the next guy in line for the long-reliever role is veteran David Weathers and his 4.46 ERA, meaning a much worse guy now gets more innings. If Beltran's bat and glove don't make up for the decline in pitching, this just moved the team into the cellar for good. In a "win now" year with Clemens unlikely to return next year and the team's outfield aging rapidly, this move may yet prove one of the dumbest they've made in recent years.

Thursday, June 24, 2004

Die Folgenden Ted Williams

Check this kid out: born with a rare mutation, his muscles just don't seem to stop growing because his body doesn't produce the protein myostatin. "Not yet 5, he can hold seven-pound weights with arms extended, something many adults cannot do. He has muscles twice the size of other kids his age and half their body fat." Scouts from the NFL are no doubt knocking on his door. As Will Carroll points out in his column today (ya gotta pay to get in), we're at most "five years away" from this becoming the next steroids. And the best part is it's undetectable and permanent. Of course, the question you have to ask yourself is, will the tendons and ligaments grow equally strong to withstand such a load? My last car, a '94 Ford Thunderbird, had a great, powerful 4.6L V8, more powerful than the year before, but it kept the same transmission as the previous model year. That, it turned out, was a mistake, because it required two or three overhauls before I finally gave it the boot two years ago.

Wednesday, June 23, 2004

All-Star Ballot

Richard's done it, so why not me? Here it is, the cheap way, straight up by VORP, position players only, since only offense counts in the All Star game anyway:

AL

NL

Not that it matters, because I don't vote for All-Stars. But. If I were.

Turning Point

Eck and Vlad run themselves out of that inning. Bringing in Gregg in a situation where he needed to get a zero frame after he's been struggling. The former was a bad gamble, the latter a reasonable one, but the A's made Mike pay for it. Gregg's one or two more earned runs away from a return trip to Salt Lake.

I'm watching Law And Order, in HD. The Dodgers aren't making any headway against the Giants. It's time for a break.

Tomorrow, Mulder, and a series split. We've got to stop the bleeding, and the DL excuse ran out when GA and Donnelly came back.

I'm not sure I can stand watching the Angels/Dodgers series. Both teams need wins.

The night is not all lost, however. I can hardly wait to see what Ashcroft makes of this Utah State Supreme Court decision. While I'm a glass and a half into a bottle of Charles Shaw, it's always nice to know there are other options out there. It's been years since I lit up, and while I just can't imagine doing that kind of violence to my lungs anymore, I have to say brownies wouldn't be a bad thing...


Good News, Bad News

Bad news first: Mondesi thinks he can return this year, and wants to come back on the Angels roster before the All Star break, and says -- apparently with a straight face -- he could be back in as few as "2 1/2, maybe three weeks."

There are times I wish I couldn't read. All this is going to do is take at bats away from Salmon and DaVanon.

Good news: the Angels have started discussions with Jered Weaver, even though Scouting Director Eddie Bane calls the proceedings thus far "baby steps".

Not quite so good news: Nick Adenhart still hasn't signed, and Bane considers him "a longshot". But...

Good news: 23 of 48 draft picks have signed.

Update: Bad news, if you can call it that: Erstad dislocated his middle finger on a checked swing. I guess it beats a sneeze as a reason to go on the DL, but not by much. No word on whether he'll actually go on the DL, though.


Prediction for Tonight's Game

Escobar won't be a stopper. His outing in Houston was a disappointment, and I think the strain of him having to appear to be the team's ace is getting to him. It's not a role he's suited for. The A's are in a funk but they're not dead.

Let's hope I'm wrong.


What Ails Da Boyds

Who would have suspected, at season's start, that the Orioles would be in apparent free-fall approaching the All-Star break? "Kerry's Calculus" in Birds In The Belfry has a good writeup on this. An object lesson here: do not, no matter how good you might think they are, start four unproven rookies in your rotation all at once. It just won't fly.

Pickoff Moves

I Guess He Doesn't Read This Blog

Bartolo Colón, on what inspired him to yesterday's 6-1 win over the A's:
"I was asking, Lord, help me do a better job," Colon said. "I want to give the fans all the love they have given me since I got here."

Bush League

Padres top pick Matt Bush was suspended before playing his first professional game; according to the San Diego Union-Tribune, he bit a nightclub bouncer. How dumb is that?

Arte's Still Talking To Goodyear

Arte's still talking to the city of Goodyear, AZ about Spring Training facilities. If the team does move its facilities, hopefully they won't repeat the mistakes made at Tempe, where the metal seating is just unbearable on a hot day.

Wash's Still Having Back Trouble, Lackey Serves Suspension

In that same article, Washburn's back is still spasming, not good news for his next start. And of course, John Lackey will serve his suspension.

Felipe Alou Can Use A Calendar

In the Times:
"I was saying how terribly early it is because I know there were many who were saying it was getting late for us," said Giant Manager Felipe Alou, whose team is 24-9 in its last 33 games.

"I wish it would be the last day of the season today, but all of a sudden we have three more months to play or more."

More On DePo's Garcia Talks

Almost forgot to include this one: according to Peter Greenberg, agent for Mariners pitcher Freddie Garcia, DePodesta's in talks with the M's for that starter (soul-sucking registration required).
During the Dodgers' interleague series last week with Baltimore, Dodgers general manager Paul DePodesta said that he was going to work the phones in pursuit of possible acquisitions and that he wouldn't shy away from going after a player who could test the market at the end of the season.

Greenberg said Garcia might not go the free-agent route, however.

"We'll wait and see what happens," Greenberg said. "We're willing to talk about an extension. We haven't made any final decision as far as that goes."


Shut Up, Arthur

You've been a dominant middle-relief guy throughout your career, and now you're a free agent. A team needing a closer takes a flyer on you to make you their closer, a position you've coveted for years.

Then you blow it, losing five of fourteen opportunities. It takes some cojones of brass after those repeated collapses to make stupid comments to the press like these:

No other bullpen has been as spectacularly flammable as Oakland's in recent weeks -- its 48 percent conversion mark (13-for-27) is the second-worst save percentage in the AL -- and yet the relievers apparently spent much of their time during Oakland's series-opening pasting [at Anaheim] the other night fuming behind the left-field fence about general remarks attributed to a couple of starting pitchers.

"We had two starters on this team say that the bullpen needs to step it up," Arthur Rhodes said. "You shouldn't say that. You shouldn't say that. If we lose as a team, we all lose. If we win as a team, we all win. You can't have two starters saying that.

"If you're not man enough to come to somebody on the field and tell them to do a better job, don't say in the paper that we're doing a bad job. ...

"It's one of those things where if they can do better, they can go nine innings. Let 'em go nine innings."

Right, Arthur, because you're not capable of doing your job?

Tuesday, June 22, 2004

Giants 11, Dodgers 5

I mainly watched the Angels game, so I can't make too many comments on this one other than to say I did watch the IBB of Bonds followed by the bases-clearing double (thank you very much, Duaner Sanchez) that blew the game open. Ugly, ugly, ugly. I'm betting the Dodgers win one of these, but the way they're playing, a split is a longshot. Outside of Green, the offense didn't actually look too bad, especially that nutty bunt that Bradley put down to plate Izturis. The bullpen needs to bear down and start making outs. Dreifort's getting close to being voted off the island again.

Peculiar note about the standings: the Dodgers have a better percentage record than the Giants, but the Giants have won more games.

Recap


TerRiBIc! Angels 6, A's 1

Okay, that's one game we get back from Bartolo "El Ladrón" Colón. The question is, does it mean Colón's doing well, or Oakland's offense is slumping? El Ladrón K'd six, which might be a sign who's in control here. Rex and Hud mentioned that he's abandoned his four-seam fastball, which might have something to do with his improvement. I'll wait for another game or two before I get my hopes up, and even then, Colón had consistency problems in Chicago.

If it's possible for control problems to be contagious, you'd have to think Hudson's come down with whatever Harden had last night, with a very uncharacteristic three walks and only two K's in five innings, along with a balk. The Angels took advantage, and though it wasn't the team's best offensive show lately (that would be yesterday's game), there could be no doubt but that good things are happening for some key guys who need it. In particular, Erstad (2-4) and Kennedy (1-3) both had hard-hit outs that, but for a couple degrees of arc, would have fallen in for doubles. Only Guillen's 0-3 night was a bust, but it wasn't a terrible one, striking out only once. Kotsay's rubber glove in the outfield didn't help matters, giving Kennedy a triple on an error, and a double to Figgins.

The play of the game absolutely had to be Eckstein's suicide squeeze in the fourth. Brilliantly executed and actually much closer than you would think. Hudson very nearly got it.

All in all, a very good night for the boys, taking advantage of a rare bad outing by Hudson.

Update: On the Athletics Nation comments thread for this game, the following entry appears:

With all the things that have gone wrong for the A's tonight, the cellphone signal was probably intercepted by Angels security and all BB's plans will be foiled by the evil Arte "cheap beer" Moreno.
Well, not only is Arte evil, but he's got a new nickname. I'll have to think about that one for a bit.

Recap


Angels, Dodgers Worse Than the Pads?

The Padres are showing 100 games in HDTV. Come on, guys.

12

The Devil Rays have won their 12th straight, 5-1 over the Blue Jays, making their win streak the longest currently active. Despite all of this, they're still two games under .500 and ten games behind the Yankees. If Baltimore finishes fourth -- unlikely but possible -- it would be incredibly embarrassing for the O's, whose offseason acquisition of power bats in the persons of Miguel Tejada and Javy Lopez have been more than made up for by their failure to properly evaluate and/or introduce their young pitchers into their rotation.

Nomonalysis At Mariners Wheelhouse

Stephen at Mariners Wheelhouse does a very nice analysis of Nomo's situation. In short, we need another starter, and while Garcia might be that guy, I'm skeptical; the real problems we face are that (1) Brown's departure has not been adequately addressed, and (2) Nomo collapsed a year earlier than anyone foresaw. Hideo might be on his way back -- certainly, the game versus the Yankees was a positive sign -- but I wouldn't bet that way. Once again, the starting rotation is in as much disarray as when Dan Evans first took the reins at the end of 2001. Alvarez really can't handle the workload, Jeff Weaver and Jose Lima are horribly inconsistent, Ishii fades and throws too many pitches, and Perez might be gone at the end of the year (and has consistency problems of his own). 2005 should be interesting in the Chinese sense.

Gammons' Wishcasting

Some howlers from this Gammons column, including a three-way with the Dodgers that sends Mota to the A's. Another laffer is the notion of Freddie Garcia to the Dodgers or Yankees. With U.S.S. Mariner jibing that "Garcia's trade value is as high as it's going to get", what are they waiting for? Gammons doesn't strike me as a particularly good observer of baseball outside the New York/Boston axis; proof of it is his mention of moving top Dodger pitching prospect Joel Hanrahan in a package for Garcia. This team lacks pitching depth now, thanks to pitching deals earlier, and he wants to pull this off? I don't see the urgency to win now. No team in the NL West is going to pull together a world-beating team this year or next. The Giants are in far worse straits than we are, especially with Bonds aging.

Speaking of Bonds, of his recent remarks about racism in Boston, Gammons said

His derogatory comments about Boston, a place he's never visited, were ill-conceived and an intellectually-bankrupt blanket indictment beneath someone of Bonds' intelligence.
Maybe, but we do know the Red Sox were the last team in the majors to take on a black player. Read into that what you will.

Monday, June 21, 2004

An A-List Lackey: Angels 10, A's 3

Monday, June 21st, 2004: the day the same John Lackey who pitched in Game 7 of the 2002 World Series finally showed up.

Dukey really choked. Let's not kid ourselves here: Duchscherer was frequently feet off the plate tonight. The Oakland pen has reached red alert status, but what I was wondering -- and Rory Markus touched on this briefly during the broadcast -- is why they don't go to a four-man rotation with Harden as a closer. They need a guy who can get that last out a lot more than they need a guy who can go the long innings right about now, now that they have more blown saves than saves. Gagné and Smoltz point the way for this, and it's not like the A's don't have a machine for turning out starters. Whatever, I'm not going to start getting into the business of trying to help our competition. But. I'm just saying.

Of course, the other way to look at this is that our guys have come out of their offensive slump, and YAY! My heart sang watching Vladi hit one onto that green thing in center. (Did anyone else catch that big smile he loosed after hitting the double?) And to top it off, Guillen having a 2-RBI night -- aw, the power part of the lineup doing that kind of work against the A's after stumbling against the fargin' Pirates was a thing of beauty. I just can't tell you how happy that made me. Lots of guys doing their jobs tonight: Eck (1-4, 2 RBI), Vlad (4-5, 4 RBI!!), Anderson (1-4, 1 BB, 1 RBI), Guillen (2-5, 2 RBI), B-Mo (2-4), AK (1-3, 1 BB). Fan-tastic, especially against the A's. And of course -- Lackey's brilliant 2-run game, which should have been a shutout except for the Bermuda Triangle play in shallow center. You'll get those in this game, but Lack didn't let it faze him, and he went back and dominated through eight.

Tomorrow's gonna be tough, especially against Hudson; with Colón on the mound for us, batting practice is always a possibility. Though recent improvement might mean we could be in for a close game, I wouldn't bet on it, and the boys need to remember their bats and try to force an early exit for Hudson.

Recap


D-Mac Sent Up to Salt Lake

On the radiocast of today's game, Rory Markus just announced Dallas McPherson's been sent up to Salt Lake after the AA All-Star game. As always, good luck, Dallas.

Update: Now in this story about Salmon and Scioscia throwing things at each other because of Salmon's lack of at bats. No surprise there, but we've got at least one too few DH spots this year.


Bwahahaha!

It's getting desperate up in Oakland:
The A's faltering bullpen: Billy Beane and Dodgers General Manager Paul DePodesta are buddies and former comrades. So here's the deal: Two of DePodesta's favorite A's prospects to the Dodgers for flamethrower Guillermo Mota. Done?
... and I'm sure for a handful of magic Beanes, the Yankees will give Oakland A-Rod!

Sunday, June 20, 2004

Fugly: Astros 3, Angels 1

Crossed the path then I followed your face
it was hard to believe
it was hard to trace
I saw you today
seems like I see you everyday
but there's something I figured out 'bout you
ooh ooh ooh ooh ooh yeah
you're so ugly
I'm tellin' you straight
you're so ugly
don't make a mistake
cause you're ugly
you could bet it on the bank
say why why
why would I lie to you
why would I lie
-- Violent Femmes
Okay, we get it: the wheels have fallen off the starting pitching, the offense is dead in the water or at best inconsistent, and Salmon has no way to get at bats in a National League park (and barely any in an AL park).

Phone call to Mike Scioscia: we are in contention this year. There have been experiment games where slumping Kennedy or Amezega (the latter's picture appears next to the word "hitless" in the dictionary) bat second. News flash: there is no such thing as protection. Let's find an order that can hit; Erstad in leadoff actually isn't a bad idea.

Gregg might be the next guy on a plane to Salt Lake. The descent of the Angels' pen to merely adequate is a jarring one.

We have a series with Oakland starting tomorrow. Let's hope the lads acquire some bats between now and then.

Recap


Game Over, Yankees: Dodgers 5, Yankees 4

Okay, it's official: this is the best series I've seen all year. I couldn't watch all of it -- especially the Dodgers' four-run second inning -- but man, oh, man, what a finish. Super Dave's in-the-park home run on a bad play by Matsui proved the difference. Gagné made it close giving up that Giambi homer, but strikeouts of A-Rod and Matsui are cause for celebration.

Let the Yankee sneerers now shut up. Gagné's been through the heart of their lineup and they got to find out why they put up "Game Over" on the scoreboard when he takes the mound. Eighty-one, boys, and I hope you choke on it. Every other team in baseball is happy and grateful to win. The Yankees expect it, and their hubris makes it all the sweeter to watch them fall. Oh, sure, there'll still be the crutch of "but he's never done it in the postseason," and I expect we'll hear that from the eastern sports press soon enough.

Some comments on the telecast:

Recap

Angels 6, Astros 4

Another game I didn't watch until the last innings, I'm really starting to get worried about Gregg's ability to stay in the pen. This is three straight bad games for him, and the team doesn't need a bullpen implosion on top of everything else that's gone wrong this season. On the other hand, Ortiz having six innings of shutout ball, and the top of the order hitting is a good thing. As well, the power part of the lineup hitting hard is also a plus. The question I had was, were AK's hits solid or were they more bloopers?

Recap


Saturday, June 19, 2004

Buh Bye, Ross Newhan

Jon reports that Ross Newhan will be leaving the Times after this season, victim of a round of budget cuts. The prospect that Los Angeles Times readers should be made to suffer in order to present the best Cubs team possible -- recall that the Tribune Company owns the Cubs -- might sit well with my wife, but it's unsettling to me. This is not least because the Tribune Company's Times division just won five Pulitzer Prizes, the most ever for that paper. On the other hand, will anyone notice? As one participant in the L.A. Observed discussion put it, "[The complaint about specific bylines leaving the paper] assumes the readers are demanding to see the work of all these reporters, and will suffer for the loss of these bylines. I don't think circulation or advertising figures indicate any such thing, especially with respect to Metro/California." Ross Newhan might fall into that category, especially if this gastrointestinally disturbing comment on Jon's blog
Well, it's alright, I've always hated LA and guess what boys? The Old Grey Lady has given me an offer I can't refuse. The LA Times can portray it as a "buyout". I call it a promotion to the Show.
is indeed from him. We might not care. In fact, some of us might actively enjoy watching him write into the Yankee sunset. There's no small irony in leaving the Dodgers beat as age, enormous contracts, a barren farm system, and ultimately, Steinbrenner's approaching senescence make it appear the Yankees' charted course is towards a decade or two of high-priced futility once their stars dim. Certainly, whipping boy Dan Evans can get a rearview giggle reading Newhan's half-baked advice about ex-Dodger Eric Karros, especially now that Karros' line is .165/.221/.291 on the season, with three hits in thirteen at-bats for June.

On the other hand, Newhan has managed to tickle my prejudices when he wasn't inflaming them. To the extent he's gotten a story out that surprisingly few people wanted to hear (and some to this day would be happier if it were never told), bully for him. I wish Newhan well in New York; like so many LA-haters, the sooner he's out of here, the better. Misery loves company, goes the saw; Manhattan is its proof.


The 26th Player: Dodgers 6, Yankees 3

Mmm. Magic Tickets.

I arrived in the bottom of the first inning. Behind me sat a lanky pair of middle aged Yankee fans, and two kids, one in a Yankees cap, the other in a non-denominational cap (but, who I was to discover, was cheering on the Dodgers). They made a point to howl abuse at Green through the first three innings or so, but got remarkably quiet after the fourth when the Dodgers put up a three spot on Belly's double, a Giambi throwing error, Vazquez's wild pitch, and a Dave Roberts single.

The crowd, most of the 55,000 in the stands, gathered its limbs and roared, some chanting "Yankees suck".

The Yankee fans' cockiness melted.

Meantime, Jeffy didn't let his three-run third get to him. The hardest hit ball against him was the double by the pitcher Vazquez (now hitting .333 on the season!), but all the other hits blooped in. It was his best outing since May 22 vs. Atlanta, another three-run game.

Top of the fifth: Izzy showed Jeter how it's done with a brilliant backhanded spear, and a perfect throw -- no wow 'em from space moves.

In the fifth: two consecutive Vazquez wild pitches sends Belly to third, and Encarnacion cashed him in with a double. Then, the game's most amazing play: Cora bunts. Vazquez mishandles the ball, and Giambi drops the imperfect throw. Cora safe at first, and then Encarnacion alertly scored from third.

By now the louder of the Yankee fans are slunk in their seats, dazed.

Dreifort? Good.

Mota? Sit down, buster.

And then, just to show the Yanks that the Dodger fans have some throats too, they opened the bullpen gates in the ninth. Pandemonium. Something ancient is loosed in the park, something crawling on its belly. Something very, very hungry.

Matsui singles, broken bat. Thrown out at second on a Kenny Lofton force out. One down.

Lofton takes second. Whatever, Gagné says, and lets him.

Sierra grounds out, Lofton to third. Arrrrrrooooooooorrrrrrrrrrhhhhhhhh says the crowd. Two down.

Pitch 1 - Called Strike
Pitch 2 - Ball
Pitch 3 - Swinging Strike. Everybody on their feet! you can hear Vinnie say, whether he's there or not.
Pitch 4 - Called Strike
And Gagné delivers us, as he has so faithfully these many games, eighty times running. The crowd gets its stroooooooooooooooooooooiiiiiiiikeout, the stomping, clapping, yowling, high-fiving mass of them ecstatic, the game ended just the way it's supposed to, and against the old foe.

The magic may run out. But on another day, another time.

Recap


Friday, June 18, 2004

Once More Into The Breech, Dear Friends

Tonight we face the ancient enemy, the Yankees. Jon has his usual excellent stuff up by way of preview, including a link to a Jay Jaffe's series intro at Futility Infielder. Check it out.

I'm going to the game tonight, courtesy of the magic tickets. Each time I go, I grit my teeth. One day, the magic will drain; Weaver vs. Vazquez? Tonight could be such a night. No reports on anything until I get back, maybe not 'til tomorrow.


Dodger Notes

Jayson Starts Vs. Lefties

The Times reports Jayson Werth will now get all starts against southpaws, reducing Dave Roberts to a platoon role in the outfield. Two homers in sixteen at bats will do that for you. Thanks for the promotion, Mr. Small Sample Size!

Rotation Matchups Against The Yanks

Friday: Weaver vs. Vazquez. Check.
Saturday: Nomo vs. Brad Halsey (0-0, 0.00). Che-- wuzza?
Sunday: Lima vs. Contreras. Check

It's weirdsville over in Yankeeland.


Thursday, June 17, 2004

An Appeal To Frank

Dear Frank,

You and I are not on what you'd call speaking terms, but you've already gotten my money at least twice this year. Hopefully the $20 or so I spent at the park will soften the blow of Green's and Dreifort's squandered contracts, just a little, not to mention all the skepticism I've thrown at you this year. Anyway, I had one request: could you find it in your heart to cajole Fox to somehow broadcast more games in HD?

It's sure a heck of a lot better picture than NTSC. Even though there's really nothing in it for you -- well, save for watching your team on TV on the nights you don't make it to the park -- for those of us who can't show up every day and have the gear, it means a lot.

Love,

-- R.


Grabby, Beltre Belt: Dodgers 4, Orioles 3

D'ya suppose the A's miss Grabby?

Wowzers. Bradley, an RBI single. Grabby, a two-run shot. And Belly, the game winner halfway up the bleachers. Ishii didn't look horrible, 90 pitches in six innings, and even Jon's bête noir of late, Dreifort, picked up a scoreless frame.

Broomtime.

Dodgers, a game and a half up on the ... Giants? Did I read that right? And the O's, a game out of last? Over the Jays? What a crazy world.

Hope Mora's gonna be okay.

Recap


Pirates 5, Angels 2

Oh I used to be disgusted
and now I try to be amused.
But since their wings have got rusted,
you know, the angels wanna wear my red shoes.
But when they told me 'bout their side of the bargain,
that's when I knew that I could not refuse.
And I won't get any older, now the angels wanna wear my red shoes.
-- Elvis Costello
Good a time as any to pull that one out of the chest.

Colón wipes up after another In-N-Out Four-by-Four.

So, do I get to cash in my prediction about Colón's next start? Eh, I'm not going to worry about it, but it does qualify as a quality start, so from that point of view, it's an improvement.

Figgins and Vlad stone cold? Kennedy, 1-4 on a gift bloop single. He's not showing any signs of improvement at all. With the two of the three main guys misfiring (GA had a great night and series, 3-4 on the night), and Eck on a razor's edge as to whether he's going to the DL, it's bad. Minus the DH, this team's offense is in serious trouble, especially with Benjie Molina out and Jose slumping again. We just can't get out of interleague play fast enough.

Recap


Jered Weaver Named College Player of the Year

Baseball America named Angels first-round draft pick Jered Weaver College Player of the Year. I imagine Arte'll get him signed soon enough, but meantime, expect a lot of posturing from Boras. Some stuff from the article:
Despite all he accomplished, Jered Weaver likely will remember the 2004 season as a disappointment.

...

"I'm here for one reason," he said midway through the season, "just to get to Omaha. It's been my dream to get drafted and be a big leaguer. But first I want to get to Omaha."

...

"He doesn't want special treatment," Long Beach State coach Mike Weathers said. "The guy is a good teammate. In our program no one player is bigger than anyone else, and he fits that. They don't call him big leaguer or prima donna or whatever."

Good luck, Jered.

Lima's In The Rotation

Tracy says Jose Lima's in the rotation until at least the All-Star break. It could be more permanent than that; who's to say DL might not get his wish?

Wednesday, June 16, 2004

Jayson Proves His Werth: Dodgers 6, Orioles 3

First, while we're playing the O's, remember that we could have the Yankees in our division and league.

Booya Jayson Werth! And OP comes through again!


Getting All Defensive About DIPS

Ken Arneson at Will Carroll Weblog today stumbled onto a doozy joking about why Defensive Efficiency ain't all that. For some reason, the all-baseball.com sites don't all archive the same way, so you'll have to follow the Comments link on that story to see his post, but the relevant part is
Watching Marco Scutaro put up even better RF numbers that Mark Ellis did last year, and seeing Derek Jeter's RF numbers jump way up this year after their pitching staff overhaul, I'm beginning to think that much of what we think of as defense is, in fact, pitching.
Ken intended this as something of a joke, but I think he's actually on to something here. Sure, a lot of what we think of as pitching is actually defense, but the reverse should also be true. On at least two occaisions, Stephen at Mariners Wheelhouse has twitted me -- one of them here -- about batted balls in play being more under the pitcher's control than you might otherwise think. If that's so, it makes sense that a lot of those balls will be unplayable hits even if you have a 100% operational Darin Erstad in centerfield. As a refresher, I'll put up this link to Mitchel Lichtman's recent Baseball Think Factory article which found that indeed pitchers have a pretty strong ability to create groundballs and less so for pop flies.

From there, let's take a look at year-to-date team defensive efficiency, courtesy of Hardball Times:

TeamDERLD%
TBD.727.159
NYY.700.165
SEA.698.180
BOS.696.190
CHW.695.194
TOR.693.182
OAK.692.180
TEX.690.179
CLE.679.185
KC.679.175
BAL.678.180
ANA.677.170
DET.677.176
MIN.668.192

Here's where it gets interesting: the correlation coefficient for LD% to DER is -.469. In other words, there's a weak but noticeable negative correlation between hard-hit balls allowed and poor defensive efficiency (i.e., the more hard-hit balls a team has, the worse its defense appears to be). This little example is no substitute for actual research, but the fact that it points in the expected direction is not surprising in the least.


OT: Hey, Ho -- Don't Go

Johnny Ramone's testicular cancer has spread throughout his body. He is not expected to survive. Joey, Dee Dee, now this. Dammit.

Nomo Excuses, Hideo -- Better Start Winning

Jim Tracy, on Nomo's string of poor starts:
"I think it's to the point now where it's safe to say results are important," Tracy said. "We're in the middle of June now, and we haven't had a lot of success over the last six or seven starts, which includes before the fingernail was broken and the couple that we've had since that time. Sooner or later we need some results."

Tracy said the team doesn't have a lot of options to replace Nomo, who is still scheduled to make his next start Saturday against the New York Yankees.

Me, I think he needs to go down to the minors; the guess is that his shoulder hasn't returned to what it can be and he needs some starts there to clear it up.

Update: same quote in the Dodgers website.


Tuesday, June 15, 2004

Roster Moves

Dodgers Complete Sturtze Trade, Grab Myrow

The Dodgers completed the Tanyon Sturtze trade by acquiring IF Bryan Myrow, of whom Baseball Prospectus 2004 says
It can't be easy to find people who would look upon a year and a half in Trenton, New Jersey as an upgrade, but after two years in Winnipeg, it had to seem pretty good to Myrow. He's not a prospect, but anyone with a career Double-A OBP of .445 is going to get mentioned in this book. Look at that PECOTA projection; for a team that never uses its backup infielder on defense, wouldn't Myrow be a better use of a roster spot than Almonte, or even Miguel Cairo?
His major league projected VORP is 12.3, which is damn good for a minor leaguer. Last year at Trenton he hit .306/.447/.525. Well, they could sure use him at Vegas. Who knows, maybe they could use him at the big club.

Yankees Recall Crosby, Send Brown To DL

Transaction Guy reports former Dodger Kevin "Captain Happy" Brown has been disabled. In his stead, once-upon-a-time superstar, now goat Bubba Crosby has been sent back up. Here's your accordian, Bubba, welcome to Hell.

Erstad, Turnbow Activated, Benjie Molina Disabled

Benjie Molina, unsurprisingly, was disabled at the same time Erstad came up, but the surprise was Derrick Turnbow returning to the big club to fill Benjie's roster spot. He had a serious arm break in 2001 that seems to have stalled his career since then. Well, this should be interesting, what with his 1-3, 5.11 ERA, 6.08 K/9, and 4.24 BB/9.

Dodgers 5, Orioles 1

The Times was so discombobulated by the Lakers' loss that they ran the AP story on that game with the Dodgers hed.

Hoo boy.

So, yeah -- Lima goes seven innings on sixty eight pitches? Man, when these drugs wear off, I'm gonna have to check on that game... oh, wait, I'm not on hallucinogens... geez. What an amazing game for him, and yet another example of why the O's young starters ain't all that. It's the second time we've seen a team knock around Daniel Cabrera.

Bad news: hope we find out something soon about why Mota got pulled after only two outs.

Paulie's sudden uptake in strikeouts doesn't sound encouraging. But -- Cora: 3-3. Greenie: 3-4. And Encarnacion's three run bomb -- all happy, happy sounds. Oh, yeah, and 77 consecutive saves for Gagné.

Recap


It Must Be Heartburn

I have no idea why, but I suddenly got a feeling driving home that Colón was going to pull it together in his next start.

A Second Look At Weber

Pearly Gates noted Ben Weber's awful six-runs-in-one-inning outing the other day, but what didn't get much press is the game at Tacoma where he shut down the Raniers for a complete inning with one hit and two K's. Take him out of Salt Lake into a decent pitcher's park and suddenly he's da bomb. Well, not quite, but certainly 4,500 foot elevation Salt Lake will have some serious issues with home run generation. Whether you look at corrected or raw park factors, Salt Lake still owns the third-highest park factor in the PCL, and first in their division.

Salt Lake, for Ben, could easily become a tarpit; he's a sinkerball pitcher, and at altitude, aerodynamic effects don't work as well. Ergo, a guy who relies on breaking pitches -- like Ben -- is in some deep trouble. So it's good to see him figuring something out, at least for one inning.


Figgins Works His Rosary Bat: Angels 4, Pirates 2

Figgins certainly screwed up with another "I'm Not A Third Baseman But I Play One On TV" move, which makes an Aaron Boone signing that much more desireable. His bat more than made up for it, giving us the lead on a go-ahead double, of which, woot.

If you thumb through the dictionary and look up "suspect", you'll see Amezega's picture there, so what was Mike thinking batting him and his sorry-assed .153 average there second? Hey, at least we didn't get Halter in the same game.

Erstad came up and promptly went 2-3 with a walk, giving me hope -- false hope, but I'm a sucker for that kind -- that he'll actually finally play like we hoped he would in the two-hole.

And more over-the-wall whoomph from GA at a time when the club needs some wallop. Scared to death as I am of his long-term prognosis, I'm glad to see the lad smacking some outta the park.

Recap


They're Hoping We'll Forget

Tony Jackson at the Pasadena Star-News waves a red flag at me today on his article about the McCourts:
"After we went through the Boston process and didn't get the team, the new owners of the Red Sox went through a rough patch,' Frank McCourt said. "It was very similar to what we would go through here.

"They were an out-of-town group, and they had purchased another beloved franchise. All the same accusations were made and everything else. We saw what happened there. John Henry and his guys came in and worked twice as hard because they had something to prove.

Well, the similarity ends at the level of hostility. In Boston's case, the bid by John Henry's group was a fix, and it wasn't even the highest bid. In McCourt's case, Fox needed a buyer, any buyer, to pick up the team -- and just the team, not the lucrative cable TV channel, Fox Sports West. If the buyer were at the end of his rope financially, it would be a positive for Fox, as they would hardly be in a position to renegotiate the ridiculous lowball TV contract. We know this because Eli Broad's bid was ultimately rejected. One thing that wasn't a problem per se, though, was the foreign nature of the bid, else where's the hubbub about Arte's ownership of the Angels?
The primary source of the negative press the McCourts initially received was the front office attrition, and the way they handled it. When Frank McCourt announced that then-general manager Dan Evans would be given a chance to interview for his own job, it was clear to everyone, including Evans, that Evans was out. But what was lost amid a slew of resignations that included team president Bob Graziano, executive vice president Kris Rone and senior VP Derrick Hall was that only Evans was forced out.
Certainly, that was a big concern, one that I wrote about repeatedly, but it wasn't the overweening concern; no, that was financial wherewithal. Despite Frank's comments to the press, I still remain skeptical; this thing may not play out over the course of a single season. It could take two or three years before things go sufficiently badly that Frank's forced out. Regardless, revisionist stories like this one only serve to make the McCourts happy. Those of us still paying attention grit our teeth reading articles like this. It also makes me wish Doug Pappas were still around.

Monday, June 14, 2004

Jenks To Return To Salt Lake By End Of June

The Salt Lake Deseret News says Bobby Jenks should return by the end of the month. As always, good luck, Bobby.

OT: Twenty Wasted Minutes

Talk about a waste of time. We went to see Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban on Sunday, and of course, we got there before the published start time for the movie. It's not enough that theatergoers are paying to get in; no, we're just another captive audience for non-movie related ads. Trailers I can handle, but not obnoxious dancing Fanta girls, cellphones, and -- yes, they think we're this stupid -- ads imploring us to arrive at the theater early so we can see more of this bilge as though this were something we should pay for. At Regal theaters, including all the defunct Edwards chain, it's called "The Twenty", which is to say, twenty minutes subtracted from your life.

If there is a hell, the slimebucket who greenlighted this should be forced to watch "The Twenty" until his brain melts. Word to the wise: either avoid Regal, plan to arrive exactly at showtime, or bring a Gameboy. Man, who'd ever predict that you'd need to bring something be amused at the movies?


OPS For And Against

Chronicles has an interesting idea, comparing SLG for some of the Angels' first basemen (including long-retired Wally Joyner), and Bartolo Colón's numbers. Apples to apples:

PlayerOPS
Glaus1.027
Guerrero.995
Colón.915
Anderson.892
Guillen.886
DaVanon.865
Washburn.827
Figgins.817
Lackey.777
B Molina.733
Quinlan.718
Eckstein.715
PlayerOPS
Sele.711
Escobar.688
J Molina.662
Salmon.637
Halter.629
Erstad.627
Kennedy.595
Kotchman.563
Paul.440
Mondesi.424
Amezega.391
Riggs.388

Which is just another way of saying most of our pitchers need to learn to pitch better.


Collusion, Again?

Alex Belth brought up some months ago the possibility that Frank Coonelly may be a stealth agent of management collusion. Now Will Carroll hints that Coonelly might be doing double-duty as MLB's front-man on injuries. Wuzza?

Sunday, June 13, 2004

The Kotchman Experiment Ends

C-Kotch has been optioned to Salt Lake. Come back when you can hit, kid.

Cubs 6, Angels 5

I'm trying, really hard, to avoid the "never write when angry" rule.

Can't get a win for Escobar. Too many 0-fers out there.

And now we're in third place, with Colón an automatic loss every single time his rotation spot comes up. That's five losses a month for the rest of the season. That's twenty more starts, and 4-25 record if he keeps this up. Sure, it's unlikely that'll happen -- but has there been even any evidence he's turning it around? That's going to just destroy the rest of the rotation, having to make up for that awful record. There are no aces in the AL Central. Do strikeouts count for less against weak hitters? Man, the Colón signing just keeps looking worse and worse.

Who do we send down to the minors? Salmon -- at .215? Or Kotchman, at .218?

I am so beyond sick of this BS. Well, boys, Glaus is out but we've got the majority of the G-Force back. Where's the beef, guys? No more excuses, start hitting the ball, hard.

Recap


More Context-Free Notes

Frank In The Black

This San Francisco Chronicle report says Frank claims he's in the black this year.

Snakes' Park No Longer The BOB

In that same story, the Diamondbacks' naming deal with BancOne will change thanks to that bank's buyout by J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (And yes, boneheads, it's spelled B-A-N-K, not the damn French way. This is America, get used to it. Nobody's mistaking you for a Swiss bank.)

Toronto Game Times Confuse Snakes

And speaking of the Snakes, Arizona centerfielder Steve Finley almost didn't make it to Skydome on time for their ... 4:00 PM start. Huh? That's what I said, too. Damn Canucks, and after that Victoria Day scheduling, my heart is hardening towards that country... declare war against 'em or something. Makes me glad we chased the Brits out, that's for sure.

Weaver Pitchin' Too Many

As if we needed another reason to drop his signing bonus, Jered Weaver's got the Angels staff concerned that throwing too many pitches for CSULB:
Long Beach State right-hander Jered Weaver, the Angels' first-round pick in Monday's draft, threw 137 pitches in Friday's NCAA super-regional game against Arizona. They were not doing cartwheels about it in the Angel front office.

"That's pretty much at a limit, I would think," General Manager Bill Stoneman said. "That's a lot of pitches."

Great, the kid starts for Provo next year and blows out his elbow from overuse. Thanks for the $7 million signing bonus, Arte -- I'm going to Disneyland!

Saenz Say: Dodgers Win! Dodgers 14, Red Sox 5

I had forgotten this game was on the east coast, and didn't bother to turn on the radio while I was in the garage, working on a woodshop project. (I'm making new cabinet doors in my hall closets.) Jeffy was a gascan, but the Dodgers turned it into a joke as Tracy made possibly his best lineup move of the year, putting Olmedo Saenz into the lineup. Saenz drove in a run on a single, got hit by a pitch with bases loaded, and had a two-run homer, all off Boston knuckleballer Tim Wakefield. (His line off Wakefield is now .500/.600/.938 in 16 at bats.) Leadoff hitter Izturis went an incredible 4-6. Now that he can hit, his stock's rising pretty fast; his 16.4 VORP is now second in the league. (Jack Wilson of the Pirates is first at 25.6.) Everyone else -- save for Bradley -- had at least a good day at the plate, and a whole mess of twofers.

The bully was nails again today, with Mota reminding me of last year's outstanding efforts, garnering five strikeouts, and Gagné in probably his best performance this year, with three straight K's. Outstanding.

Recap


Saturday, June 12, 2004

Stop, Thief! Cubs 10, Angels 5

Colón squeezes one out

Colón squeezes another one out

Time to put out the APB: Bartolo Colón has stolen $51 million from Arte. A theft of this magnitude usually doesn't happen outside of government agencies, but in this case, the thief was in fact a con man, a fellow of sly and scurrilous talent -- that is, a player agent.

This fellow must be hunted down immediately and jailed for the good of society.

In this case, he will be abetted by Mike Scioscia, who said after the game, "Bart's going to get the ball and he's going to work this out." Yes, and so long as he does, the team will continue to lose.

Gregg could have kept us in this, but it didn't go that way, and we're reminded of why he didn't break into the Oakland system. Everybody has bad days, though, and we forgive him... for the second time in a week. Maybe I just shouldn't say anything positive about any Angel pitcher.

Richard points out that the Angels haven't homered in like 6,734 at bats. I'm getting tired of seeing Vlad come up and single twice in a game like this one. I know, 2-5 is a fine day at the plate, but dammit, he's there for the over-the-fence threat, and between him and Guillen, we've almost forgotten what a home run looks like. Oh, wait, we've got the Cubs to show us that... Salmon's old. Anderson's got arthritis -- is it hurting his bat speed? Is he no longer a power threat? I wonder...

One question: bases juiced, Vlad at the plate. Why no Rally Monkey?

Halter. Mike. Just Say No.

Recap

Update: How about this laffer:

"The only time you would ever consider pushing a guy back or doing something with a guy with his talent is for health concerns. That's not the issue here.
Right, like demoting Sele to the bullpen after his great spring, or demoting Ortiz after his awful starts. I think it's a fine time for Colón to develop a nonspecific injury, preferably to his shoulder.

Pickoff Moves

Salmon Concerned About Playing Time

Timmy's wondering about his lack of playing time, and no surprise there: the Angels have one DH slot too few in the lineup. Timmy just can't hack right anymore, and there's a young god at that position anyway. Anderson in center isn't really the defensive answer we'd hoped for, and my bet is it'll hurt his longevity by leaving him out there.
"I'm trying to keep a good spin on it," said Salmon, who was hitting .224 entering Friday. " … But at some point you have to look at a guy like me and ask, 'How effective can I be if I'm not playing on a regular basis?'

"I've been an everyday player. I'm the type of player who needs to get at-bats, and then I come around…. I know what kind of player I am, and hopefully I'm given the opportunity to be that kind of player. If I'm not used as that kind of player, then I'll re-evaluate the situation."

Sele Joins The Wounded

Aaron Sele went on the 15-day DL with a "dead arm", but hopefully it's got nothing to do with his shoulder trouble. At least, I hope not. He's one of only two starters with an ERA under 5.00.

Roy Campa-who?

While I'm generally sympathetic to claims of racism towards ballplayers in the 60's, Jim "Mudcat" Grant's claim that "People have forgotten Roy Campanella" is absurd on its face. Or, what's his retired number doing over the bleachers? (Thanks to Mariners Wheelhouse for that link.)

Dodgers Sign Top Pick Elbert, 6 of 7

The Dodgers signed their top pick LHP Scott Elbert, for a $1.575M bonus. Nice money if you can get it. The article goes on to say that the Dodgers have signed six of their first seven, good news.

Early Returns: Dodgers Pound Sox

Man, what a reversal! Jeffy gives up five runs and the Dodgers explode on the Sox rotation. It's the middle of the sixth as I write this and 14-5, Dodgers. Woot!

Baby, You Can Drive My Carlos

It's all over but the crying for Royals fans, as Allard Baird announces he's willing to play "Let's Make A Deal" for Carlos Beltran, KC's star centerfielder. The Royals need major-league-ready guys from AAA who can make a difference tomorrow. The Angels don't have any of those to spare, and besides they have a full outfield, so that's not gonna happen.

First, let's eliminate some prominent names. The Yankees and Red Sox are both out of this, both having minor league systems as bare as Mother Hubbard's cupboard. I have similar feelings, in varying degrees, about San Francisco, San Diego, and Oakland as well. Moneyball may have canonized Beane to super genius status, but he can't invent top prospects drafting as low as he does. I also eliminate Seattle, for lack of minor league players. Detroit, whose minor league system is a shambles, is also a non-Carlos-contender, especially because of their presence in the same league and division. (I also put Minnesota in that uh-uh category despite the number of quality prospects in their minors.)

Here's some educated guesses:

It'll be an interesting couple of weeks.

JoBo: It's Troy Glaus On Line One

Now that Troy's out with a a shoulder injury, he and alleged Giants closer Robb Nen really ought to give Cubs closer Joe Borowski a call, now that Angels team physician Dr. Lewis Yocum has diagnosed him with a torn labrum. As with Troy, JoBo's going to be given physical therapy, but judging by Nen's latest return to the DL, the club's brave talk about players returning from shoulder surgery -- and that, ultimately, is where this is headed -- is just talk, as Will Carroll opined.

The Shifting Winds: Red Sox 2, Dodgers 1

We hates them, we do. The Red Sox make a blockbuster trade for Curt Schilling, one of the best pitchers of our era? The Yankees turn around and secure A-Rod's services. The Yankees lose Pettitte to free agency and Clemens to "retirement"? Fine, then swindle the Dodgers out of Kevin Brown and pry loose staff ace Javier Vazquez from the rudderless Expos. There is no pitcher so overpriced, no hitter whose contract is so ludicrous, that the Yanks can't afford to take that player on. There's really no other organization in baseball that can do that, and the principle reason is that the small-market teams haven't the nerve to take on the Yankees; as Steinbrenner himself has been known to observe, they like his checks just fine. So when I looked up and saw that the Pads had beaten the Yankees 10-2 in a remarkable replay of the Angels' 2002 postseason -- including the early knockout of "Moose" Mussina due to a groin pull -- well, I had to smile, even if it ultimately meant the Dodgers would dip to second place again. Baseball is a funny game, and not even the Yankees can buy a title every year.

Frank's finally addressing his critics, sort of, and blessedly keeping his mouth shut about the Red Sox. Sure, Frank, you're allowed to be a fan. Vinnie grew up a Giants fan, and Arte still loves the Diamondbacks. But you don't go around making Soxian references in public when you're the owner of the team. It's just not kosher. But somehow he managed to rein in his native lust and -- for the cameras, at least, and that is all that I care about -- cheered for the team he owns.

Is Odalis Perez the most frustrated pitcher on the Dodgers' staff? I'd have to believe it. His 24.7 VORP leads the team, with Ishii second at 17.7; third is Alvarez with quite a drop to 11.8. OP's 3.01 ERA leads the team's starters, yet he's only 3-3 thanks to some of the worst if not the worst run support for any starter. And Tracy assured that would happen yet again by stubbornly reinstalling Green into the cleanup slot, when he's had no indication that Green's power has returned. The only Dodger run comes on an error, when a windblown fly ball eludes Manny Ramirez' glove? I'm not surprised. But to leave Tom Martin, a LOOGY, in a close game? What was Tracy theeenking, man? You bring out Mota. You bring out Alvarez.

Recap


Friday, June 11, 2004

Interleague2: Angels 3, Cubs 2/Arizona 6, CSULB 5

I've come to the conclusion that the Dirtbags and Angels are polar opposites: the Angels have a great bullpen, but the Dirtbags have great starting pitching, at least, in the guise of Jered Weaver. So, the deal:

Lackey finally started pitching like the guy we saw in 2002, a fact that must have dismayed the A's some; their lead in the AL West is now only a half game. Be that as it may, Lackey only allowed two runs through seven innings, certainly one of his best outings this year, albeit in front of another Dusty-handicapped Cubs team. Instead of putting starting catcher Michael Barrett (.317/.366/.545) at DH and Todd Hollandsworth (.333/.421/.581) at right, he put Jose Macias (.274/.274/.393) in RF and Hollandsworth at DH. It's the kind of thing Mike does periodically with Halter, much to our infuration. Anyway, for the Angels, it was almost as much fun as the Felix Rodriguez-for-Russ Ortiz move in Game 6 of the World Series. And while you might be tempted to say, hey, no Sammy, the fact is that Todd's line is similar to Sammy's (.291/.385/.590).

The Cubbies are frustrated and generally in a bad mood. After their great sendoff this season with high expectations, every loss counts twice. Not being in first place is an awful grind for them. Was I the only one to catch that exasperated, downcast look on Dusty's face in the dugout when they announced K-Rod was the closing pitcher? A look that said, "Man, I've seen this guy before... and I don't like it." Or how about Maddux' "god#*%m motherf#&%(er" after Kotch hit an RBI single off him?

Kennedy getting a hit of any kind is something like a miracle. Amezega, well below the Mendoza line, is just hurting us too much.

Recap


Meantime... back at Blair Field, the Dirtbags were nothing if not dominant over the 7 2/3 innings Jered Weaver pitched. Weaver allowed two runs, one earned, collecting 12 strikeouts. The Dirtbags took a 5-2 lead into the top of the 9th.

Then, the bullpen unraveled, and the Beach lost it 6-5.

Box score


The Silent Stud

Who's the best pitcher on the Angels' staff? It's... Kevin Gregg, who has a 20.8 VORP. The breakdown overall:

NameGGSIPH/9BB/9SO/9HR/9BABIPERARAPK_RARA+RPVORP
Kevin Gregg2404172.29.40.20.2871.321.541.633011520.8
Kelvim Escobar111167.38.62.77.21.10.2953.343.343.5513810.220.5
Francisco Rodriguez270336.3314.50.30.3491.361.912.0324210.615.4
Aaron Sele12855.79.13.44.50.80.2933.563.723.96124614.7
Scot Shields25040.76.23.510.20.20.2622.662.883.061608.414.6
Jarrod Washburn12127211.22.55.41.10.3275.625.756.1280-9.52.7
Troy Percival19017.711.25.65.11.50.3175.095.095.4290-12
Ramon Ortiz14541.310.53.57.80.90.3555.445.666.0281-52
John Lackey1111679.8341.20.2835.645.916.2978-10.11.3
Matt Hensley30413.54.54.500.4296.756.757.1868-1-0.3
Dusty Bergman102184.54.500.513.513.514.3634-2.1-1.6
Bartolo Colon12126910.83.37.320.32566.526.9470-15.4-3.3
Ben Weber18022.314.964.41.60.3798.069.6710.2947-13.3-8.9

Think about that next time Colón starts.

Update: Gregg's 20.8 VORP puts him in the neighborhood of Mariano Rivera (19.5) and Javier Vazquez (21.0) of the Yankees, as well as the Dodgers' best starter, Odalis Perez (20.6), and Matt Clement of the Cubs (21.2). In other words, he's right up there with some of the top-shelf pitchers in the game today.


D-Mac, Gorneault Beam Down, Rip Texas League

Thanks to Stephen Smith for pointing out this On Deck Baseball rant:
3B Dallas McPherson is really trying to force his way to Anaheim. He is absolutely destroying the Texas League now and something must be done. Send him to the PCL or the bigs or back to his home planet, but get him outta here. McPherson blasted 2 home runs in both games of Arkansas' (ANA) doubleheader sweep of San Antonio (SEA) yesterday. McPherson would go 3-for-3 with 2 dingers, a steal, 4 runs scored, and 5 RBIs in the Travs' 12-5 game one victory and he would follow that up by going 3-for-4 with a double, 2 homers, and 3 RBIs in the Travs' 11-8 game two win. That's 4 homers, 6 runs scored, and 8 RBIs in 2 games that were 7 innings long. Big D or Big Mac or Daddy Mac or DMC or Babe is leading the TL in homers (16), RBIs (58), and slugging (.668). I'm now convinced McPherson is no longer human. I guarantee you he has his space ship covered with some twigs near the park. Someone needs to go search for his craft. Does anything else matter after that splosion? If McPherson was Rock, LF Nick Gorneault was Sock yesterday, as he would go 6-for-7 with 2 doubles, 2 homers (8), 6 runs scored, and 6 RBIs. Have a nice day. Gorneault leads the TL with 51 runs scored and is hitting .314. Did I mention McPherson hit 4 homers in the doubleheader? 1B Mike Eylward was 5-for-8 with a homer (3) and 5 RBIs for the Travs. The Wonder Twins had to have a Gleep. RF Shin-Soo Choo was 4-for-8 with a dinger (6), a steal, and 3 RBIs for the Missions in the DH. Choobaca has 6 straight 2-hit games to raise his average from .275 to .294. DH Ryan Christianson doubled twice, scored 2 runs, and drove in 2 runs and 3B Greg Dobbs was 2-for-4 with a double, 2 runs scored, and 2 ribs for San Antonio in game two. Christianson is 7-for-24 (.292) in his first 6 games this season. Dobbs is 8th in the TL in batting (.326).

Dayng... This after D-Mac hit yet another bomb onto the Interstate. That promotion to AAA might just happen, but catching prospect Jeff Mathis, mired in a "slump" at .277, might have to stay behind.

Thursday, June 10, 2004

A Clint Eastwood Kinda Day: Angels 5, Brewers 4

The Angels almost couldn't get anything right. With one run through the first six innings, the Brewers began to think they might break out the brooms. The Angels stranded eight, of which Figgins was responsible for half. Then, the seventh and eighth, but I get ahead of myself:

The Good

Not necessarily bad, but

The Weird

Then there's

The Ugly

Recap

More Pickoff Moves

Brown's Back Acting Up

Kevin Brown's back is acting up again, and his ERA has balooned to 4.13. Yeah, I know -- whew.

Update: Mariners Wheelhouse passes on a column by Newsday writer Jon Heyman imploring the Yanks to go for Freddie Garcia. There are some stupid GMs in the game, and Bavasi has made some stupid moves this year, but moving his best starter for whatever twigs and berries the Yanks have in their minors is unlikely to happen. If this marks the beginning of the Yankees descent into the lower regions of the AL East, don't say you weren't warned. (Incidentally, I still cling to my romantic notion of a portable A-Rod curse that can migrate to the Yankees.)

Warning: Don't Catch Foul Balls With Your Face

The surprise isn't that the Red Sox don't have to pay nearly a half million dollars compensation to a woman injured by a foul ball, but that "three to four dozen patrons each season are injured by foul balls." Is that per team or throughout MLB?

Dodgers 6, Blue Jays 1

What miracle caught Ishii on this one? He only surrendered a lone walk, one run -- by a solo homer -- and got four strikeouts. Meantime, Belly caught a two run shot, Encarnacion a solo homer, and Greenie goes 3-5, with twofer days for Roberts, Izzy, Paulie, Belly, and Encarnacion. (Man, if ever somebody needed a nickname, it's Juan.)

Recap


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