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Sunday, October 31, 2004

Pickoff Moves

Truer Words Were Never Spoken

Idiots Write About Sports refers us to this Boston Herald story about the Farrelly brothers and their pursuit of a baseball-ized version of Fever Pitch, a book about the woes of being a sports fan. In the original, it was about being a fan of the English football -- er, sorry, soccer -- club Arsenal, but of course the Farrelly gang had to translate it to the Bosox, about whom you may break out the adjectives: long-suffering, cursed, etc. Well, of course, they didn't plan on the Sox winning it all, and dang it all, they had to put in a rewrite to make their screenplay actually track the book -- fancy that -- which has Arsenal winning it all. Of this late disaster/opportunity:
"We've always been lucky but this is the luckiest we've ever been -- to be involved with this thing at this time,' Bobby Farrelly told the Track.

"Actually, our only discernable talent is luck."

Truer words were never spoken...

Arrive In The Third... also has something on this.

Tradition Has Ben Franklin's Face On It

In that same article, Arrive In the Third makes a fine point:
I really couldn't care less about the names on the back of the jerseys -- but stop making the "tradition argument." You can't say you need to modernize the ballpark experience by cutting back the organ and modernize the broadcast experience by dumping Ross Porter, then turn around and expect us to buy that you are so enamored with tradition you wanted the names off the jerseys.
Yeah. Is Ross Porter part of that tradition? Or are you only interested in traditions that result in positive cash flow changes?

Playing GM, Minus The Borasian Headaches

Richard points us to this New York Post story chock-full of speculative goodness about the Beltran sweepstakes, what with Carlos ending up in an Angels uniform and all ("a person close to Beltran said Anaheim is where the center fielder will go"). For now, I refer you back to my response to Bill Shaikin's Times fantasies; I still say Beltran's a Yankee next year.

More On Sosa's Outburst

The commenters at Cub Reporter had a couple good points about the Sosa outburst:

Well, This Will Go Down Well With The "Barr-oids" Crowd

Ugh. I'm now waiting for the steroids analogue to Tell Your Children. Look, once and for all, strength doesn't give you hand-eye coordination. I'm not especially thrilled with Barry as a person -- he strikes me as being somewhat self-absorbed, but can you blame him, given what he's accomplished -- but it's hard to overrate what he's accomplished as a player. How many guys are on steroids? And how many of them have his record? Enough said.

Saturday, October 30, 2004

Pickoff Moves, Monster Of Love Edition

OT: Sparks

I seem to remember Elvis Costello at one point saying that New Wave was just a stylistic pretention with a short shelf-life. Maybe so, but damn if a trip to Tower Records didn't yield one of my favorite early-80's unpretentious bands, Sparks, and in particular, Angst In My Pants. It hearkens to a day when KROQ wasn't just a tentacle of a megacorporation, the DJs played whatever they damn well wanted to, and you could tell; there was a real joy on the airwaves, a visceral reaction to the overproduced corporate rock of the 70's. (Of course, this generation also would get coöpted by Infinity Broadcasting et al., in their turn.) Meantime: songs about an anthropomorphicized cigarette, the importance and coolness of moustaches, Mickey Mouse as a special mouse -- no, really! -- and being Eaten by the Monster of Love, all bubblegum as an antidote to the ponderous self-importance of Pink Floyd, Styx, and the late-career Eagles. (Not that I don't like all those bands for different reasons, but they have a strange marble statue feel for an idiom famous for its transience.) Also an antidote to the gray hairs I find on the barber's bib... stuff that makes you want to sing with the top down on the freeway.

A's Fans Can Dream, Can't They?

Now that Larry Ellison has looked into buying the next LA NFL franchise (what would they be called? The Media Ho's?), A's fans allow themselves to dream that Ellison might buy their team. Angels fans, meantime, wonder what happens once the A's have to pay retail for their starting rotation...

Who Was That Masked Man?

The Angels website now has the same story the Times carried earlier today about Glaus leaving the Angels. Quoth Bill Stoneman:
"Plus, when a guy's ready for the Major Leagues, you give him the opportunity," Stoneman said of McPherson, who hit 40 homers in the minors in 2004, then hit .225 with three homers in 40 at-bats and struck out 17 times after he was called up late in the season. On Tuesday, McPherson was named the winner of the 45th annual J.G. Taylor Spink Award as the Topps/Minor League Player of the Year.

"That's what's held the Angels in good stead," Stoneman added. "Six years ago, somebody made room for Troy Glaus. Same with Darin Erstad, Tim Salmon and Troy Percival. The healthy way to handle it is that you give good players room to play when they're ready for the Major Leagues."

Who was that "somebody"? In 1998, Dave Hollins manned the hot corner for the Halos, and, unsurprisingly, his 10.5 VORP was 11th in the majors. Glaus, in his rookie year, hit .218/.280/.291 in 165 at bats. I'm not surprised by this, but what it does tell me is that there's no telling how good -- or bad -- McPherson will be in his first full year in the majors, but the chances of him being really bad for a long time are pretty high.

Hendry To Do "Whatever It Takes" To Move Sosa

The Chicago Tribune reports the Tribune Company (also parent to the Los Angeles Times) has given Cubs GM Jim Hendry marching orders "to do whatever it takes to find [right fielder Sammy] Sosa a new home". Rumor is Kerry Wood destroyed Sammy's boom box with a baseball bat after Sammy failed to show up for the last game of the season. Sosa was fined $87,400, his single-game salary, for the AWOL adventure.

Sosa's injury-plagued 2004 contributed heavily to the team's ultimate failure to capture a postseason berth, hitting .253/.332/.517 with 35 HR on the year, but .230/.292/.414 and 5 HR in September. The Mets are reportedly interested, but thanks to an onerous contract extension, are unlikely to consummate a deal.

Update: Raul's bud Enrique Rojas at the AP summarized an interview Sammy did with the Dominican newspaper Hoy. Get this:

Sammy Sosa was humiliated by being dropped to sixth in the Chicago Cubs lineup, and claims he was mistreated by the club.

When he struggled down the stretch of the season, Cubs manager Dusty Baker lowered the slugger in the batting order -- much to Sosa's dismay.

"I'm not a sixth batter," Sosa told Hoy newspaper in Santo Domingo on Saturday upon returning to his native Dominican Republic. "I'm a cleanup hitter or third because I've earned that right with almost 600 career home runs."

Well, when you start producing like a four hitter... well, you know the drill. Baseball's supposed to teach you humility. But what happens when the lesson is just how much better than everyone else you are?

(The original Hoy story is here, in untranslated Spanish, or for the wonder of Babelfish, check this.)


Angels Shaikin, Beltran Not Stirred

Yes, now that Bill Shaikin puts this piece of speculative fiction in the Times I suppose we're all supposed to salivate at the possibility of the Astros' unarguable postseason MVP appearing in an Angels' jersey. (Richard is already all over this one).
The Angels plan to cut ties with third baseman Troy Glaus, handing the position to rookie Dallas McPherson and positioning the team for a possible run at center fielder Carlos Beltran [emphasis mine], the crown jewel of free agency.

"From a financial standpoint, McPherson fits better than Glaus and we've got other needs," Angel General Manager Bill Stoneman said Friday. "We'll probably make use of our resources in other areas."

So, translated, Bill Shaikin is writing a story he hopes gets the rest of us in a lather. But let us look a little more closely at this. You may recall last year the Angels were ill-disposed to pick up Vlad because he turned down a 5/$75M contract with the Expos. At that point, wrote MLB.com's Barry Bloom, Stoneman "came away daunted by his asking price". Considering some suggest (and I agree) he might fetch as much as a 5/$85M contract, what makes anyone think Beltran is in the Angels' offseason plans?

Aside: One note of interest for those (myself included) who hope to see Adrian Beltre back in Blue next year: this adds another high/mid-tier third-baseman to the free agency mix.

The Angels plan to move center fielder Garret Anderson to left and keep former center fielder Darin Erstad at first base, leaving starting pitching and center field as the top two winter priorities.

With the contracts of Glaus and pitchers Troy Percival, Kevin Appier, Ramon Ortiz and Aaron Sele expiring, the Angels could drop $41.5 million from their 2004 payroll, more than enough to join the New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs and Houston Astros as top bidders for Beltran. The Angels also might bid on pitcher Pedro Martinez.

Yow. Well, we'll see how that goes. Martinez scares me. He's not the Pedro of years past, and he's aging, fast.
Stoneman does not comment on potential acquisitions. Scott Boras, the agent for Beltran, did not return a call for comment. Boras, whose office is in Orange County, has developed a cordial working relationship with Angel owner Arte Moreno.
Hypothetical phone call:

Boras: Hey, Arte, got cash?
Moreno: crickets chirping

Regarding both Troys:

"We're not through having conversations," Stoneman said. "I'll talk about it after we've hashed it out with Paul and Troy."
Sounds to me like Shaikin's jumped the gun deciding where things will end up. For all we know, this article could be posturing to get Glaus and/or Percival to lower their salary sights a bit.

Friday, October 29, 2004

Internet Baseball Writers Awards

And I didn't vote, even though they sent me a ballot. Darn it! You can see the complete list of Internet Baseball Writers Awards at all-baseball.com. Naturally, these are confusingly named with Baseball Prospectus's Internet Baseball Awards (NL and AL). Here's my votes, now that it's too late. I'm too lazy to provide player links; you can look 'em up yourself.

National League Player of the Year

  1. Barry Bonds -- I'll agree with Rich Lederer, Barry needs his own award so we can find out who the second-place contestant is.
  2. Adrian Beltre -- The argument against is essentially that the Dodgers minus Belly are a third-place team; the MVP shouldn't get bonus points simply because he's carrying the team, he should also be a standout wherever you put him. However, if you accept that argument, you also forget what the voters did when they handed A-Rod his award last year.
  3. Albert Pujols

American League Player of the Year

  1. Vladimir Guerrero -- Richard was right: his performance during the last week of the season was nothing short of miraculous. And we have some reason to think next year will be even better now that he's had a full year to adjust to the AL.
  2. Johan Santana -- who deserves the Cy Young. The Twins are too pitching-heavy, if that's possible, and their rotation too heavily weighted toward two guys -- Santana and Radke -- for them to be a force anywhere except in their own division.
  3. Manny Ramirez.

National League Pitcher of the Year

  1. Randy Johnson
  2. Roger Clemens
  3. Ben Sheets
There's almost no point in discussing these; Johnson had the stats, Clemens the wins (and possibly an NL Cy Young, because they award those for the W column), but Sheets finally had the numbers the Brewers drafted him for.

American League Pitcher of the Year

  1. Johan Santana
  2. Curt Schilling -- I'm tempted, after the postseason, to put him in first place, but Santana was a better pitcher.
  3. Tim Hudson -- up until September.

National League Debut of the Year

  1. Khalil Greene
  2. Jason Bay
  3. Akinori Otsuka
Good news for SD. IIRC, Greene was thought of as a good-hitting, adequate-fielding shortstop in the minors, but has become something of the opposite at the major league level.

American League Debut of the Year

  1. Bobby Crosby
  2. Justin Morneau -- without whom the Twins aren't able to unload Doug Mankiewicz.
  3. Justin Duchsherer
Two of these three come from Oakland, which bothers me mightily. The A's have been drafting low for a while now, and it's not hurting them that much. (On the other hand, get back to me when they have replacements in the wings for all of their big three.) I really had hoped we'd be able to put Kotchman on this list. For all he's supposed to be the second coming of ... well, somebody good, anyway, the best he's done so far is weak comparisons to Mark Grace. Let's hope McPherson does better.

National League Manager of the Year

  1. Bobby Cox -- sure, I'm inclined to think he's done a great job given the junk he's accumulated. Leo Mazzone turned the leftovers in the rotation into a main course, and somehow they got offensive miracles again. If pitchers get awards based on W-L records, managers do the same, and I wonder whether it's just.
  2. Jim Tracy -- A homer decision all the way. Whatevs.
  3. Phil Garner -- considering he was just an interim manager, he deserves at least some of the credit for righting a sinking ship in Houston. Still, he's something of a nitwit and doesn't make good in-game decisions.
I really hate it when managers of impossibly powerful clubs get a lot of votes, and that's what happened with LaRussa and Torre (as usual, in the latter's case). Of course they're going to win. There ought to be a Dashed Expectations award for the worst manager -- the guy who's taken the best team and wrecked it. My two nominees would be Jimy Williams of the Astros and Larry Bowa of the Phils.

American League Manager of the Year

  1. Buck Showalter -- Is the Rangers' record his doing? Or should we credit John Hart for finding a team dumb enough to take A-Rod?
  2. Mike Scioscia -- again, a homer pull. No explaination necessary.
  3. Ron Gardenhire -- mainly for his W-L record, but the credit perhaps belongs more to Terry Ryan.

National League Executive of the Year

  1. Walt Jocketty -- for the one kick-ass trade for Larry Walker.
  2. Paul DePodesta -- given the lack of time he had, DePo has paid attention to the details, made smart trades, and done a spectacular job.
  3. John Schuerholz -- another year, another division title. Ho hum. And on spare parts!
I'm partly with Jon on this one, though, in that I do think that Dan Evans deserves most of the credit for the 2004 Dodgers. Not enough slots in the ballot.

American League Executive of the Year

  1. Theo Epstein -- sure, he had the luxury of the second-highest payroll in the majors. Sure, he stumbled away from making the worst trade in the offseason.
  2. Bill Stoneman -- partly a homer choice, partly because he clearly had the dumb luck to back into Vlad, you have to give some credit for assembling the team that won the division.
  3. John Hart -- if you're going to give Epstein credit for accidentally avoiding A-Rod, you have to give Hart credit for admitting his contract was an enormous mistake -- and doing the only thing about it he could.
I was shocked at all the balloting for Cashman, especially after making one horrifically bad move with Kevin Brown, another with Sheffield, and a third -- only really visible after the ALCS -- with A-Rod.

Pickoff Moves, No Baseball Anywhere Edition

As in, no baseball being played in the majors. Sure, it continues apace in the Arizona Fall League, but everywhere else it's shut down. Update: well, of course, Raul, how could I forget the Dominican league is still going.

The Usual Suspects File For Free Agency

The Angels have "shown no interest" in Troy Percival, according to the Times, and "four or five" teams have contacted him.
Arte Moreno wants to cut the player payroll, and the Angels can build the back end of their bullpen with Francisco Rodriguez and Brendan Donnelly, who will make a total of about $700,000 next year. Percival earned $7.5 million last season.

... Of the 224 players eligible to file [for free agency], 65 did so Thursday. In addition to Beltre, four Dodgers filed: center fielder Steve Finley, infielder Jose Hernandez and pitchers Jose Lima and Paul Shuey.

Troy Glaus also filed for free agency, as did former Angel and immobile slugger Mo Vaughn. Earlier this year, Vaughn declared his career over due to an arthritic knee.
In Chicago, the Cubs declined options on ex-Dodger Mark Grudzielanek, and left fielder Moises Alou. Regarding Alou, Ruz is unhappy about the loss of production in left but not the fine whine in the clubhouse, citing him as a key reason he "never found [the 2004 Cubs] all that likeable." Starter Matt Clement is also gone. I wouldn't mind seeing him in an Angels uniform next year, though it will be an interesting fight to see who gets him, as a number of teams -- isn't this always the case? -- need starting pitching, including the bottomless pit of the Yankee coffers.

Word is that the Mets are interested in Sammy Sosa ($$$ required), and Cubs' management might move him. A vesting option guaranteeing him $18M and $19M respectively in 2006 and 2007 kicks in if he is traded, so he's almost certainly not going anywhere.

Here are complete lists of major league and minor league free agents.

Schilling Shells A-Rod

Does Curt Schilling believe in the Curse of A-Rod? When professionals start talking about clubhouse chemistry, it's hard to think otherwise:
He's a Hall of Famer, sure. But after getting to know people who, A, play with him and, B, have played with him, I don't think it would have worked here. I think this clubhouse would have been a much different place, and I don't think it would have been better, given the personalities involved.

Dancin' In The Rain

The Red Sox victory celebration at Fenway opens at 10:00 AM EDT tomorrow. Too bad there's a 70% chance of rain. Do you think anyone will notice?
According to Al Yellon's And Another Thing, a normal run of World Series victory caps is 200,000. The Red Sox have ordered two million. According to estimates above, Boston could see up to 5,000,000 for the rolling victory parade alone. I'm with Al, I bet they sell out the first run in 24 hours.

Thursday, October 28, 2004

OT: It's Roachtastic!

Richard's formic adventures somehow caused me to stumble across this bucket o' blattidae goodness from the Best of Craigslist Rants. Classic (provided naughty words don't bother you). There, now, I think I've stopped laughing. Whew.

No Stone Unburned

Steve Stone resigns from the Cubs' broadcast booth. Despite the fact that he was ultimately right, and subsequent indications that the problem is with a certain less-than-stellar star slugger, Stoney will be missed by those of us who spend any time watching the Cubbies.

Selig's Tribute To Pythagoras: Wild Cards That Weren't

Somewhere, and I wish I could recall where I read it, the interesting thing about this postseason is that the two teams with the best Pythagorean records met in the World Series this year. That got me to thinking: without the Wild Card, the Sox wouldn't have been in the postseason at all this year. This wouldn't have mattered back before division play began in 1969, but it clearly would have in the era between 1969 and 1994, when divisions existed but the Wild Card did not. Question before the house: which teams had a better Pythagorean record during that time than the winner of their respective divisions?

Pyth. WinnerActualPythagorean Actual
YearTeamDiv.WinsLossesGames
Behind
WinsLossesActual
Winner
WinsLosses
1969CHNNLE92708.09369NYN10062
1969LANNLW85778.09171ATL9369
1970CHNNLE84785.09468PIT8973
1971LANNLW89731.09072SFN9072
1972BALALE80745.09064DET8670
1973LANNLW95663.59467CIN9963
1974NYAALE89732.08676BAL9171
1975BALALE90694.59564BOS9565
1979MONNLE95652.09466PIT9864
1980BALALE100623.09864NYA10359
1980LANNLW92711.09073HOU9370
1981LANNLW63474.06743CIN6642
1981NYAALE59482.06344MIL6247
1981TEXALW57485.06045OAK6445
1982LANNLW88741.09072ATL8973
1982MONNLE86763.09072PHI8973
1983ATLNLW88743.09270LAN9171
1984CALALW81813.08181KCA8478
1984HOUNLW808212.08874SDN9270
1984MINALW81813.08181KCA8478
1987KCAALW83792.08478MIN8577
1987TORALE96662.010062DET9864
1989NYNNLE87756.09171CHN9369
1990NYNNLE91714.09864PIT9567
1990TORALE86762.09270BOS8874
1991LANNLW93691.09369ATL9468
1992MILALE92704.09666TOR9666
1992MINALW90726.09171OAK9666

No Names On Dodgers Jerseys

If this is true, I'm going to explode. The "no names on the jerseys" thing is pretentious BS. If they were really hot after tradition, why the hell did they fire Ross Porter?

And here I go ignoring my hiatus already.

Update: duh, it was first reported here, for reals, in the Times as a story by Bill Shaikin.

Garvey, Cey, and Lopes all had their names on their backs. So did Fernando Valenzuela, Kirk Gibson, and Orel Hersheiser. (Yeah, yeah, so did Kevin Brown, Gary Sheffield, and Raul Mondesi. Cry me a river.) This is just. So. Wrong.

Or maybe they're just hoping we won't notice when 29 and 38 don't return.


Miscellany

Word Around The Blogosphere

LaRussa

Tony LaRussa is now 1-3 in the World Series. Is there something about his micromanaging that causes players to choke, or at least, to press? Something I once heard about Lasorda seems that it could also be true of him as well: he gets the least out of the most of anybody I've ever seen.

King Epstein

At Dodger Thoughts yesterday, I got into a bit of sparring over the difference between the message I perceived from Moneyball and that everyone else seems to get. By concensus -- and the fact that the book tells us so -- Theo Epstein is part of this "revolution" (though if it is, no less a persona than the Dodgers' own Branch Rickey has been taking advantage of it since the 40's). Today in the New York Times, a story about Theo, archetect of the greatest club New England has seen since the Bambino, whose ghost has lost its power amid a flurry of bats.

Hiatus

I've been thinking long and hard about the amount of time I spend on this blog, and it seems to me that the offseason is as good a time as any to take a breather. I've needed to spend more time at work lately, and this seems a good point to slow down a bit, if not completely stop. I've got one more big post saved up, but after that, I'm planning on reducing my output in the near term. I'll be back as the hot stove heats up in a couple weeks with the November GM's meetings.

Wednesday, October 27, 2004

Congratulations, Red Sox

A sweep. Congratulations, guys. Now the Yankees fans can find something else besides "1918" to jeer at the Sox with.

Update: A few thoughts:


Tuesday, October 26, 2004

Red Sox 4, Cardinals 1

Am I the only one thinking the Sox are about to be hoist on their own petard?

Recap


Revising The Ex-Cub Factor

In Ron Berler's original Boston Herald article, the Ex-Cub Factor -- one of my favorite hobgoblins of the game -- says "it is utterly impossible for a team with three or more ex-Cubs to win the [S]eries." Well and good; so we see that Christian's 2004 postseason update shows the Cards with three ex-Cubs (Ray King, Julian Tavarez, and Tony Womack) versus the Bosox' two (Mark Bellhorn and Bill Mueller). (At least, I assume it's Christian. The article is uncredited.) However -- the original Rule is rather vague, and does not note whether the manager counts toward the Ex-Cub Factor, something the Chicago Tribune draws our attention towards. Well, let's see: both LaRussa and Francona were Cubs, which would change their respective teams' numbers to four and three respectively. It might not change the spook factor here -- St. Louis still has more of a curse, by one man, than Boston -- but the fact that the original formulation set the quota at three is, shall we say, interesting.

Now I've Heard It All

In The Pinstriped Bible, Stephen Goldman quotes someone named Benjamin about the ball-chucking antics in Game 6 after the umpires correctly ruled A-Rod had interfered with the play at first:
A word on the fan behavior at Game 6. I was there…those balls were being thrown by Red Sox fans. It was like Red Sox Nation had a meeting before the game and decided to bring balls with them. We noticed this after Bernie hit the home run, as all the Red Sox fans around us started to throw balls onto the field. Yankee fans were upset in the eighth inning. They behaved horribly. But those balls were coming from the Red Sox contingent…I was at the Giants-Chargers game in December of '95 with all the snowballs. That was the worst display of sportsmanship I've ever seen.
Waitaminnit. You expect me to believe that the Sox fans are going to throw stuff onto the field after the umps correct a call to go in the Red Sox favor? I remember maybe a ball or two going onto the field after the Williams homer, but it rained after the A-Rod chop. Who's the poor sport, sport?

"There Is No Curse" -- Right?

Last night, I stumbled across HBO's hour-long documentary Curse of the Bambino, documenting the Red Sox' notorious collapses and inability -- for 86 years! -- to get it done. Through the 1946 Series and Ted Williams' freak accident that wrecked his hitting (he was hit on the elbow by a fastball in an exhibition game days before the Series), the 1967 Series, the 1978 one-game playoff that gave Bucky Dent his middle name, or the 1986 Series that gave Bill Buckner his, the Sox had plenty to do with their own, oft-repeated, demises. All of which leads to reviews that tell you "there is no curse".

I'll believe it after the Sox win the Series. In the meantime, 2-0 is good, but it isn't a Series victory.


Monday, October 25, 2004

Angels Notebook


Sunday, October 24, 2004

License To Schill: Red Sox 6, Cardinals 2

Gibson hobbled to the plate
Won the game in '88
But Schilling and his bloody feet
Cheered the frigid Boston street
... and it might be noted that while Gibby only made one appearance, a single at-bat in the first game of the Series, Schilling has started three times already. That's a lot of innings for a guy literally held together with stitches.

I somehow do not think that the original authors of baseball's postseason meant for it to become nearly a month's worth of games. Looking at the historical Boston weather, the average low drops almost ten degrees between October 1st to Halloween. Unsurprisingly, field conditions at Fenway were simply awful today, cold (48F), not to mention drizzling. By the end of the game, the field was clearly turning into mud. I had to wonder how much that goo was contributing to the three errors made at third by Bill Mueller -- amazingly, against the meat of the Cardinals' lineup -- which the Cards somehow failed to cash in. Curt Schilling is that good, even busted up as he is. At least the Sox kept him in the rotation such that he won't have to hit at Busch. Imagine running on that ankle -- ouch. Well, the docs have decided for him: he's likely to miss a game six start if it comes to that, and we have to believe that it will; the Cards are a better team than to lose in five.

Schill came up big, but that isn't to say he was brilliant; a lot of Cards got on base, but he kept them from scoring, for the most part. In fact, he had no earned runs, but thanks to another night of random fielding, the Cards managed to put up a couple runs, but it wasn't anywhere near enough. Pujols went 3-4, but he was the only Cardinals hitter to do anything of consequence.

Going to Busch with a 2-0 lead is huge. What to do with Ortiz, though, once the DH goes away? Do they have him play first? Who knows. But you know things have turned upside down in the world when New York restaurant Mickey Mantle's jokingly changes the name to Ted Williams' -- and the owner gets death threats. The Red Sox are here. And they're no longer second fiddle.

Recap


Frank's First Test

In today's Bill Shaikin article about the negotiations with the Dodgers' third baseman: not only are the Dodgers not bothering to negotiate with their star during their window of exclusivity, but Boras has laid out the concern I've had for some time, namely that Frank won't have the dough to keep a winner going in Chavez Ravine:
Beltre, 25, led the majors with 48 home runs this season. Boras has declined to state an asking price but has indicated a six-year contract might be required. The most recent third basemen to sign big contracts at relatively young ages include Oakland's Eric Chavez (six years, $66 million) and St. Louis' Scott Rolen (eight years, $90 million).

Boras said Beltre would not return to the Dodgers without a commitment from new owner Frank McCourt to finance a perennial championship contender.

"There's a lot of information Adrian wants to know about where the Dodgers are headed," Boras said. "Adrian wants to play for a winner. He wants to know what their plans are for retaining players and acquiring players.

Which, I assume, means Boras wants to know whether he'll be guaranteed a string of big local paydays, or perhaps decamp to the swamps in Tampa.

Game 1: Red Sox 11, Cardinals 9

The idiocy has started in the Boston sporting press. Or, maybe it's never stopped; the Red Sox have always been a target to savage, and that's been true at least since the days of the Splendid Splinter. Deprived of their local whipping boy -- really, now, how can you complain when the Sox get to the World Series and hand the Yanks arguably the worst postseason defeat in baseball history? -- the Boston press turns its attention to nyaah-nyaahing at the 28 other teams not playing, to junk like this, declaiming Anaheim and Miami as lousy baseball towns. It's a claim that conveniently forgets Southern California has supported two franchises over forty years, where Boston hasn't had two teams since 1952. Complaining about the 1997 Marlins' "fans [who] didn't know when to cheer or when to boo", it also forgets the classy behavior Fish fans exhibited when the Rocket left the hill for the "last" time.

Well -- let the chattering classes have their column space. When a bitter fellow like T.J. Simers can get paid for his spleen stylings, surely some of the other towns across America have their albatrosses in print. All this is to forget the main event, the Show's big October show.

By the time they showed the flag over the stands fluttering directly from centerfield to home plate, you knew Tim Wakefield would have trouble getting his knuckleball past the Cardinals. Knuckleballs work best against the wind, and worst with the wind, as last night, and sure enough, he got chased early, leaving the game after only 3.2 innings. The Sox' middle relief didn't fare much better, with Arroyo, Timlin, and Embree getting tagged for a collective four runs, Embree's unearned on a long, ugly chain of fielding errors (a staggering four in all) that gave the night's proceedings the feel of a Keystone Kops movie. Manny Ramirez, in that case, flubbed a routine flyball snag when his cleats stuck on the muddy turf in the outfield, causing the ball to bounce off his glove and drop well behind him.

From the other side of the mound, it was apparent from the start that the Cardinals' Woody Williams had very little to give. He had a ruddy complexion, the 49-degree weather taking an obvious toll on him as he labored on the mound. The Sox exploded for seven runs against him, and he only lasted 2.1 innings before Larussa pulled him in favor of Danny Haren. Haren escaped rough treatment at the hands of the Sox, but the same wouldn't be true for Kiko Calero and eventual loser Julian Tavarez, both giving up a pair of runs. Tavarez would surrender the game winner to Mark Bellhorn, a home run off the Pesky Pole in right. In all, a fine contest and the kind of game I think will define this series: a lot of power and scoring, with the Cards at an obvious disadvantage in the AL games because of a lack of a decent-hitting reserve to play DH.

Recap


Saturday, October 23, 2004

Something To Keep You Busy Until 4:30 PM PDT

Let's Go, Red Sox!

Yeeeeeer Out! Umpiring And The World Series

It's not as fun as being in the stands, but Major League Baseball has announced the umpiring crew for the World Series (press release here):
Game One	Umpire	Previous WS Worked
HP	Ed Montague*	4 (1986, '91, '97, 2000)
1B	Dale Scott	2 (1998, 2001)
2B	Brian Gorman	None
3B	Chuck Meriwether	None
LF	Gerry Davis	2 (1996, '99)
RF	Charlie Reliford	1 (2000)
Reliford, notorious for an inconsistent strike zone, is by far Helen's bête noir of umpires. She's much calmer than I am about these things, but I can only imagine the blueness of the air around this all-red World Series.

I stumbled across this information, of course, while trying to find out something about the double-secret Rule 6.1, which doesn't appear in section 6 of the Official Rules. Apparently, it's in the MLB Umpire Manual, which contains supplemental explanatory material for the umpires. The devil, as they say, is in the details, and only the umpires know those.

For controversial plays, here are the ground rules for both stadiums:

Boston Red Sox - Fenway Park

St. Louis Cardinals - Busch Stadium
OUTFIELD AREA

DUGOUTS

Dimensions
From Home Plate:

Well then: play ball!


Friday, October 22, 2004

Pickoff Moves

Only One Key In The Stein-Way Offseason

Thanks to the Texas Rangers Blog for pointing out this Bergen County Record story by Bob Klapisch. (Use BugMeNot.com if you have an aversion to registrations.) Kevin Brown for Alfonso Soriano? It could happen, and it might actually work for both clubs. Brown gives the Rangers a veteran who can be dominating at times, and the Rangers get to unload their now-troublesome remnant of last offseason's A-Rod deal. Some choice quotes:
... Tom Gordon ... according to Yankee insiders, was so anxiety-ridden that he was throwing up in the bullpen during Game 6.

... Not even Joe Torre is immune to the scrutiny. For all his maturity and professionalism, Torre nevertheless took several wrong turns in the final three games, including his decision to replace Brown with Vazquez with the bases loaded in the second inning. Apparently, Torre forgot that Damon had hit two homers off Vazquez on June 29, or that Vazquez allowed 33 homers this year, more than any other Yankee pitcher.

... Here's a bet: Steinbrenner will trade for Alfonso Soriano to play second base, put Beltran in center, dump Brown - even if it means asking the Salvation Army to cart him away - and throw himself at Pedro Martinez's feet, too. That would cost the Yankees about $210 million, but if we've learned anything, it's that Steinbrenner has no limit or shame when it comes to spending.

But that's the problem, too: the Yankees have drifted so far from the 1996-2000 golden era core, they're turning the clock back to the 1988-91 era, when they had big-name players who had no soul.

Ah, the sweet smell of a Yankee die-nasty. Newsday makes the same speculation. And if you didn't get your fill there, try this YES Network summary.

The usual list of suspects comes out, the formula being star times free agent. Could Randy Johnson really be available? I doubt it, but the world is full of stranger things -- and four years without a World Series victory has made Steiny very, very angry.

Curse This, A-Rod

I'm pretty sure I didn't invent this one, but can I get props anyway for calling the Curse of A-Rod before the season started?

Dayn Perry, Curse-Away!

Speaking of Curse reversal, Dayn Perry in today's Baseball Prospectus picks the Sox in seven. Hope springs eternal for the Sox, but even I don't get that dreamily optimistic.

"Budget Constraints" And Seattle?

Leone For Third mentions that the M's front office is already mumbling comatose about something called "budget constraints". We expect this means they're in expectation-tempering mode. Or it could be a smokescreen. Or who knows.

Ross Porter Gone

It's official: Ross Porter is gone:
Most notable among the changes is the introduction of the first English-language two-person broadcast booth in franchise history. The two-person booth will be comprised of a play-by-play announcer and a baseball analyst. Talent for those positions will be announced at a later date.

... "It has been an honor for me to broadcast games for the Dodgers for the past 28 years," Porter said. "Now the organization has decided to go in another direction and it was their decision. I wish to thank the fans and listeners for their loyalty and their support of my work. There are no plans to retire. I love what I do."

Tommy, it looks like you were too late.

No, Thank You, Arte

Billboard of Vlad Guerrero

Vlad Guerrero, Northbound 405 at LAX.

Ouch


Yadier Molina celebrates winning the National League Pennant by kneeing pitcher Steve Kline in the groin. This is the second time in three years one or more Molina brothers will appear in a World Series.

Neel And Pray: Thoughts On The Beltran Sweepstakes

Though I've already made my delible yawp on the comments section there, I thought it would be useful to expand a bit upon the column at Mariner Musings pointing us to this ESPN Page 2 dialogue between Eric Neel and David Schoenfield which purports to tell us why the M's will end up with Carlos Beltran. Synthesizing a few things from some of the other posters I agree with and putting up links to those things I didn't substantiate previously:
  1. Steinbrenner has so much money. How much? Business of Baseball has a spreadsheet with numbers from Forbes estimating $238M in revenues and an annual $26.3M operating loss in 2003. (The original article can be found here.) Whether that includes the estimated $68M over those stated revenues Steiny gets from operating the YES network I don't know. Even if it isn't, Steinbrenner's plan to have the other owners (and/or the city) pay for a new hotel complex near Yankee Stadium begins to make $300M Yankee payrolls look not only achievable, but inevitable.
  2. ¿Habla Español? Seattle isn't exactly known as a great place to hang for Latin players. In fact, Seattle is the whitest city in the US, with 70% of the population white. It made a difference when landing Vlad. Beltran was a cipher in Kansas City; in Houston, everyone knows him. Question: does he like that?
  3. Speaking of the 'Stros, I agree with the Baseball Crank in that Houston has a lot invested in Beltran's return. I see them as the first and most likely team to re-sign him, though far from a certainty; and with Steinbrenner in the market, it seems most likely that Beltran will be a Yankee long before he becomes a Mariner. For Beltran's part, it's kind of a crapshoot staying with the Astros; Clemens might retire, again, and for the last time. The team's offensive core is aging badly (as evidenced by the sudden hitting slumps they encountered in this postseason). Because of those two things, the 'Stros teeter toward rebuilding mode. Of course, looking at the Yankees, they aren't the roaring success they were in the late 90's, either. Their core is certainly getting older and less effective, and thanks to George's set-the-market valuations, nearly impossible to trade.
In short, I see a Beltran-to-the-M's as pure fantasy. It's not like it can't happen, but just like October rain in Southern California, it's damn rare.

Thursday, October 21, 2004

SoCal Broadcaster Shuffle

Jon links to this Sports By Brooks story indicating Jose Mota will leave the Angels to join the Dodgers as an on-air analyst. Mota will be part of a team that will replace Ross Porter, who will start an on-air talk show on KSPN at 4pm Friday. Porter always hated doing "Dodger Talk", so I'm betting that's a short-lived stint.

Red Sox And Redbirds: Cardinals 5, Astros 2

Two years ago, I wondered whether Jim Edmonds regretted leaving the Angels as a free agent. The Cards, it seemed, were going nowhere, stuck in a rut of failing to get quality pitching, getting bad breaks, or whatever. Instead, he got to watch on TV as his old team went all the way.

Tonight makes up for that.

Clemens didn't have much tonight, though he tried. Mostly he threw fastballs, and while he's got a great one, the Cards' lineup ultimately feasted.

The Cards, of course, should be congratulated, and I do congratulate them, even though they ran through the Dodgers on the way to their pennant; somebody has to lose, and the Blue just wasn't good enough this year. I'm rooting for the Red Sox in this one, rooting for the Curse to be finally, at long last, over.

Cards in six.


Pickoff Moves

Fenway Nike Ad

In case you missed it -- that sweet Nike ad that came on after the Red Sox won last night is available online.

Arizona Fall League

Angels outfield prospect Nick Gorneault had a nice little game yesterday, with two hits in one inning. As always, it's hard to get a good read on AFL numbers, but his .333/.419/.407 line isn't shabby. The Angels' two pitchers in the AFL, Dusty Bergman and Jonathon Rouwenhorst, have fared much worse, with 14.21 and 5.40 ERAs respectively. Moneyball draftee Mark Teahen (now property of the Kansas City Royals), a teammate of theirs, is hitting a respectable .333/.357/.556.

The Dodgers' James Loney continues to have an amazing eye (.385/.457/.410) without much power. Jason Repko looks a bit like Rob Deer with his .225/.298/.525 line. On the pitching side, Ryan Ketchner continues to fan batters, but also has an 8.31 ERA. Tom Farmer's 11.57 ERA in 7.0 IP is even worse, but Steve Schmoll's 0.00 in 6.0 IP looks mighty good. Remember, these are all in a small number of innings in relatively high elevation parks.

More On Dis-Mantle-ling

Yesterday was also Mickey Mantle's birthday.

Was Mike DiGiovanna at the stadium when he wrote that the Yankees played Frank Sinatra's "New York, New York"? I thought they played Liza Minelli when they lost...

Most beautiful phrase in this New York Times story: the "Yankees owe [first baseman Jason] Giambi a staggering $82 million through 2008."

Jay Jaffe wrote a guest column at all-baseball.com about game 6. About the howling over A-Rod's chop-socky action:

Though a few fans tuned into radio and TV broadcasts, most of us had no way of knowing how blatant Rodriguez's knocking of the ball out of Arroyo's hand had been; looking at it a few hours later, I muttered at the replay, "That's the lamest sissy slap I've ever seen. Give him some elbow, A-Rod!" It pains me to admit it, but [clearly], the umps made the right call.
So we know there are at least three honest Yankee fans: Jay, Alex Belth, and the little girl in the stands who declared Mark Bellhorn's ball to be a home run.

What Now, Yankees?

Mike's Baseball Rants begins the desconstruction by asking
Here’s a quickie poll: Who will be the first Yankee casualty after a disappointing season:
  • Brian Cashman?
  • Mel Stottlemyre?
  • Javier Vazquez?
  • The travel staff?
Heh, well, you could certainly make a case for Cashman, though I think it's a weak one. He got what was clearly the best young pitcher moved in the offseason, although certainly not the best pitcher; that would have to go to Theo Epstein for picking up Curt Schilling for a bunch of parts the club wasn't going to use. Cashman was also behind the Weaver/Brazoban for Brown trade, which now looks like a disastrous gamble; at 132 innings pitched, Brown threw the fewest innings of any Yankee starter (the next highest, Mike Mussina, had 164.2). Injuries and stupidity kept him off the mound otherwise. Cashman also acquired -- if you can call having George Steinbrenner telling you what to do "work" -- Gary Sheffield and Alex Rodriguez. On the plus side, Cashman alertly recovered John Olerud from the Mariners' scrap heap, and he proved a useful (.280/.367/.396, 164 AB) reserve who became vital once Jason Giambi -- remember him? -- fell ill over the second half of the season and could not attend the postseason. But despite all that money, the Yanks' season ended yesterday, and somebody has to take a fall for it.

But I'd bet against lackey/handmaiden Cashman being that guy.

My money's on Mel Stottlemyer. As we saw earlier, Stottlemyer started attracting slings and arrows well before the season was over, garnering credit in some quarters for Vazquez's bad showing in pinstripes, as well as Jeff Weaver and Ted Lilly. When a guy's VORP drops to almost one-half its prior value (23.1 vs. 52.9 in 2003), something's horribly, terribly wrong. While you could argue about the DH and pitching in the AL's roughest division, there's more to this story than just that, and the bad smell of the starting pitching will attract attention to the nearest neighbor -- Stottlemyer. Never mind that yesterday's loss came at the hands of one of the club's veteran pitchers. (Or that the cold weather was probably not helping Kevin Brown's back; Brown had pitched mainly for warm-weather teams in the past, and did well against the Twins in the climate-controlled Metrodome.)

As to Vazquez himself: I wouldn't want to bet against him. If the Yankees decide to trade him in the offseason -- highly unlikely, considering his considerable success in Montreal -- it's liable to become yet another kaboom in a highly volatile year, not unlike the Jeff Weaver trade.

Now then. Who should Steinbrenner fire? Considering his offseason moves, I would say he needs to look in the mirror to answer that question.


More on this subject will come, to be sure. Here's an ESPN article and one in the New York Times.

Wednesday, October 20, 2004

Google Gone Wild

I do not know a thing about Johnny Damon's ethnic heritage, nor his ethnic background, nor his nationality, nor any such similar thing.

Google gets the craziest searches...

Update: Thanks to Anonymous below for finding some page describing Johnny Damon's ethnic heritage. (His father is white (European), and his mother is Thai.) Knowing Googlebot and the wacky searches I've gotten over the last few, 6-4-2 will get a huge number of these searches... hoo boy.


Victory: Red Sox 10, Yankees 3

Liza on the PA.

Yankee fans chanting, "Who's your daddy?" one last time.

$45.65 million worth of pitching choking up 10 earned runs.

Joe Torre giving a concession speech.

Frank doing a little dance in his ultrapalazzo in Holmby Hills.

Peter Gammons looking like a kid interviewing Kevin Millar.

Scenes of natural beauty don't require much in the way of narration. To Red Sox Nation, I simply say: congratulations, and good luck in the coming contest.

ALCS Game 7 hub


Front Office Changes At Chavez Ravine

Ken Rosenthal writes about front-office changes in the Dodgers organization:
Senior scouting advisor Don Welke, special assistant to the general manager Jeff Schugel and senior advisor of baseball operations John Boles will not be retained. Director of professional scouting Matt Slater has been offered another position within the organization. Several other executives, most notably scouting director Logan White, are expected back.

The changes are not surprising; DePodesta was expected to streamline the Dodgers' operation, and apparently wants to hire people he is more comfortable with. DePodesta also takes a less traditional view of scouting than the Dodgers' previous regimes, preferring to rely more on objective than subjective analysis. When he declined to consult several of his top scouts before making a series of major trades at the July 31 non-waiver deadline, the shift in direction was evident.


He Hadda Say Somethin'

There were a lot of bodies in front of me, so I can't give you first-hand what I saw. I was upset that it turned out the way it did for a couple of reasons. First off, they said that Arroyo was in motion, too. It's not like he was standing there. And there was also a player on the Red Sox who was in the line that didn't have the ball, which can be an obstruction play.
-- Joe "Quick, Call My Lawyer" Torre
I don't want those umpires meeting any more. Every time they have a meeting, they make a call against the Yankees. No more meetings.
-- Alex "Show Me Wax On" Rodriguez
New York's third baseman was part of a contact play at first base in the eighth inning, and the umpires correctly interpreted it as part of Section 6.1 of the official rule book. That page deals with offensive interference, and the wording of the rule is iron-clad.
-- Spencer Fordin, MLB.com
A preceding runner shall, in the umpire's judgment, intentionally interfere with a fielder who is attempting to catch a thrown ball or to throw a ball in an attempt to complete any play: The objective of this rule is to penalize the offensive team for deliberate, unwarranted, unsportsmanlike action by the runner in leaving the baseline for the obvious purpose of crashing the pivot man on a double play, rather than trying to reach the base. Obviously this is an umpire's judgment play.
-- Official Rules, 6.05 (m) (not 6.1)
Offensive interference is an act by the team at bat which interferes with, obstructs, impedes, hinders or confuses any fielder attempting to make a play. If the umpire declares the batter, batter runner, or a runner out for interference, all other runners shall return to the last base that was in the judgment of the umpire, legally touched at the time of the interference, unless otherwise provided by these rules. In the event the batter runner has not reached first base, all runners shall return to the base last occupied at the time of the pitch.
-- Official Rules, 2.00, Definition of Terms (also not 6.1)
Just use your hip next time.
-- Reggie "The Hip" Jackson

Tuesday, October 19, 2004

Another Set Of Lost Twins

Only this time, we're left wondering what Darin Erstad's super power might be...

Darin ErstadMr. Incredible

True Colors: Red Sox 4, Yankees 2

The focus, of course, will be on A-Rod's ungentlemanly swat of the ball at first base. And that will be right. The Yankees, as a group, it seems, have some of the creepiest guys playing for them. Sheffield, the cancer; Jeter, the showboat; and A-Rod, the money-grubbing jackass, whose true colors came out tonight. I have no love for him, and tonight's shenanigans should have earned him an ejection, or a fine at the very least, as happened with Robert Fick in last year's NLDS.

Alex Belth notwithstanding, the Yankees' fans are among the worst in baseball, and tonight showed that as well, when the police finally had to take the field to prevent Yankee fans from chucking balls and other debris at the players. One of the most shameful postseason games I've ever had the privilege of witnessing.

Oh: Schilling was brilliant. The camera, in early innings, kept focusing on his blood-stained socks, as though they were sciatica from Game 1. His velocity was noticeably down (most of his pitches were in the high 80's), but he had a little gas in the tank when he needed it. Likewise Arroyo was, if not brilliant, very, very good. Foulke started to show a bit of wear as he walked two but escaped the two-on jam in the 9th.

The top of the order going 2-20 isn't a good sign for tomorrow's game 7. Pitching staffs held together by duct tape on both sides, I have to think the Sox will bring up an amalgam of whoever can give them a couple innings. Fortunately, they didn't need much in the way of relief in this game.

I still say: Yankees in seven.

ALCS Game 6 hub

Update: "Hope is the thing with hair for Red Sox Nation tonight". Heh. And after attending ALCS Game 5, Batgirl anoints David Ortiz Boyfriend of the Day, and Curt Schilling today's BotD.

U.S.S. Mariner:

You know, all it would take is – just once – for an umpiring crew to have the balls to award the visiting team a win when the pathetic fans at pathetic Yankee Stadium decide to make themselves part of the game by throwing crap on the field. I mean, if there aren’t ever going to be consequences, why shouldn’t they throw baseballs, batteries and trash on the playing field?
Man, I would have loved to have seen the fan reaction to that. Red Sox 9, Yankees 0.

Pickoff Moves

Which Game Is He Watching?

Continuing the series of dialogues between team-oriented bloggers on all-baseball.com is this exchange from Bronx Banter's Alex Belth to Bambino's Curse's Edward Cossette:
I think Schilling will be impressive tonight. Maybe not dominant, but 6 innings, less than 3 runs good. That’s why it’s crucial that Lieber match him. Since both are compulsive strike-throwers, perhaps the first two-thirds of the game will move at a more manageable pace. Of course the last couple of innings will drag on and on.
... if they don't also go into extra innings. Note for the Sox and Yanks: entertaining as all this has been, can we please have a game in nine innings? Losing in extra innings twice can't feel good for the Yanks, and especially not for their badly depleted pen. Fearless yet altogether fallible prediction: the Sox will win tonight, and Mariano Rivera will get a day off... which will lead to his successful defense of a tight Yankee lead in Game 7.

Pundit Says, "Pundits Will Say, 'Moneyball Doesn't Work'"

Steven Goldman mutters darkly that
You'll hear a lot about the Moneyball philosophy failing the A's, but organizational philosophy had nothing to do with the pitching staff doing a nosedive worthy of the Day the Music Died. Starters in September:
Hudson: 6 GS, 6.23 ERA
Redman: 6 GS, 5.29 ERA
Zito: 6 GS, 4.54 ERA

Mulder: 5 GS, 8.10 ERA
Harden: 5 GS, 5.52 ERA
Aggregate: 5.83
Even then, the A's came within one game of winning it. The root cause, the thing that made the biggest difference, wasn't the weakness of the outfield, which was only sporadically productive, or the absence of Eric Chavez with a broken bone, although that certainly hurt. You have to go back before opening day, when Mark Ellis was lost for the season. PECOTA's 60th-percentile projection for Ellis showed a VORP of 17.4, or 1.7 wins added. Given their weaknesses at other positions, the A's needed Ellis to have a chance to reach this projection or exceed it, as he did in 2002. Instead, they got Marco Scutaro, VORP 12.6. Now add the huge defensive difference between the two players, and you easily surpass the slim margin by which the Angels won the West.
This, of course, is slightly ridiculous; if the A's rotation holds together, we aren't having this discussion. A failing pen forced the A's to run their starters harder all year, and that is what caused their collapse, not Mark Ellis' absence.

I've been firmly in the camp that says Moneyball is vastly overrated; extract Zito, Mulder, and Hudson from their lineup and the A's are in deep trouble. Which, in September, is exactly what happened. I'm not against statistical measures of player performance, not by a long shot, but Moneyball brought a kind of arrogance to the table -- hubris, I would call it -- that richly deserves to be slapped down. Whether that's just Michael Lewis casting shadows over the A's front office with the same klieg lights he used in Liar's Poker or the A's believing their own press releases, 2004 brought one thing to the surface in a big hurry: a smart GM with a big budget will outperform a smart GM with a small budget nearly every time. Brian Cashman vs. J. P. Ricciardi? No contest. The playing field is a lot more even with Bill "Is Rafael Palmiero Still Available?" Stoneman running the Angels and Bill "I can make bad moves on my own" Bavasi atop the Mariners, but the shrill cries that "Moneyball does work" are beginning to sound a trifle desperate as the Blue Jays -- the forgotten children of the sabermetric revolution -- and the A's sink into the quicksand that only money can extract them from.

A Rich Field Of Thought

Rich Lederer asks:
Does anyone else have the feeling that the Astros are this year’s Angels or Marlins? All three teams were wild card entries and came into the postseason as the hottest team in baseball. The Marlins and Astros also changed managers during the season. The Angels and Astros were expansion teams in 1961 and 1962, respectively. Just as it took Anaheim 42 years to make an appearance in the World Series, it will have been 43 years in the making should Houston get there.
I might, except the Astros have a dumber manager and nobody named Francisco Rodriguez.

Astros 3, Cardinals 0

St. Louis was everyone's pick
To get to the World Series, quick
But with Beltran and Backe
And Jeff Kent's attack
The Astros made Cards fans feel sick
Up 3-2? At the end of the home stand? Hmph. Well, the trip to St. Louis should put an end to this, this, aberrance.

Meantime: Backe pitched the game of his brief career. (Prediction: he will be the Astros' 2005 answer to John Lackey.) Lidge was brilliant, again. (Prediction: he will be brilliant again next year.) Between the two, they kept the Astros wretched middle relief out of the game. (Prediction: Phil Garner will make the same mistake he made in games 1 and 2 with middle relievers in the next two games in St. Louis.) Woody Williams was every bit as good. (Prediction: Tony Larussa will chew out Julian Tavarez for his Kevin Brown imitation, breaking two bones in his non-pitching hand. The Cards, too, will need middle relief, and there goes one option.) Carlos Beltran made a spectacular catch in center to hold off the Cards. (Prediction: Beltran in pinstripes in 2005.) He didn't hit a home run, but he did get a key single to start the Astros' key rally... which Jeff Kent completed by hitting a three-run dinger. (Prediction: Jeff Kent will return to the Astros in 2005.)

Prediction: Cards in seven. The team batting last has won every game in this series. Update: Yes, and thanks, AHB, for reminding me that it's no longer possible for the Cards to take the series in six.

Recap


Monday, October 18, 2004

TV Notes

Baseball is actually "compelling" programming, says Studio Briefing.
Fox managed to garner a 7.9 rating and a 14 share for its coverage of the Yankees-Red Sox postseason contest, peaking at 9:00 p.m. with an 8.5/15. All of the other networks produced typically low Saturday numbers. On Sunday, Fox continued to lead with the baseball playoffs, averaging a 10.4/15, but the winner of the 9:00 p.m. hour remained Desperate Housewives, which scored a 15.5/21.
Damn, if only Fox would stop scheduling games concurrently!
In that same link, unrelated to baseball (unless they start updating old game footage from the 50's and before): colorization might be making a comeback:
A new process to colorize black-and-white movies for television and DVD release has produced such realistic results that Martin Scorsese employed it to colorize vintage footage for his upcoming Howard Hughes biography The Aviator, the Toronto Star reported today (Monday). Barry Sandrew, president and CEO of Legend Films, which developed the colorization system, told the newspaper: "In one case, Technicolor engineers could not believe their eyes when they saw our colorization." Sandrew said that the process allows the use of a much larger palette of colors than those employed in the 1980s, when a cruder form of colorization was largely condemned by cinephiles. Examples of the new technique are posted on the company's website: www.legendfilms.net.
Really, you should go there (but only with a broadband connection). The images are profoundly better than the early Turner stuff.

Wakefield Throws Yanks A Knuckle Sandwich: Red Sox 5, Yankees 4

I love knuckleballers. Their slow, elegant butterflies defy batters -- and frequently their catchers. (Wakefield caused three passed balls tonight in one inning.) Tossing their andante, dancing pitches at only 70 mph, they can throw seemingly forever.

Tonight, Wakefield got a win. Pedro, another no-decision, though he could easily have earned a loss. You start to see Rivera's end, now. A run here, a run there, pretty soon you're talking game winners. And then Dave Roberts, again scoring the tying run, against Rivera.

The Sox will lose -- I have foreseen it. But what a glorious, brilliant battle it will be! I hope Schilling is well tomorrow. May he get to finally shut up those Yankee fans in the seats tomorrow.

ALCS Game 5 hub


Where They're Going

Will Carroll Presents... has a prediction list of who's going where in the offseason. Some comments on his list:

Two Games

Astros 6, Cards 5

In order:
Pitcher    IP   R
==================
Oswalt     6.0  5
Wheeler    1.0  0
Lidge      2.0  0
Wheeler faced Pujols (single), Rolen (strikeout, swinging), Edmonds (flyout, center), and Renteria (groundout 5-3).

Phil Garner made no game-losing mistakes, but only because he had no other choice but to trust Wheeler.

Recap

Dave Steals A Win: Red Sox 6, Yankees 4

Jon grumped that Dave Roberts didn't mention his inside-the-park-home-run with Dodgers against the Yankees as the biggest ovation he's ever received. Dave got his big opportunity tonight, one to give them the gift of another day playing, scoring the tying run in the ninth against Mariano Rivera.

So the Sox aren't swept, thanks, in the end, to a David Ortiz home run off another ex-Dodger, reliever Paul Quantrill, who surely was hoping for an end to the game one way or another. The temperatures were just ungodly out there, probably dipping to the middle-to-low 40's.

Recap


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