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Thursday, October 28, 2010

Beltre Selling His Former Digs

Ex-Dodger Adrian Beltre is selling his former estate, a 4-acre, 16,600-sqare foot affair in Bradbury. He's asking $19.8M. The rich are very different from you and me ...

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This Blog's Official Position On The Winner Of The 2010 World Series

Phil Gurnee hates the Giants and thinks a World Series is causing Dodger fan deaths. (See, "Baseball Rivalries And Marginal Mortality Rates", Gurnee, et al., J. Irreproduceable Results, Oct. 2010, v.3.) Mat Gleason is down with los Gigantes winning. Either way, I do not care, and will extend my congratulations to whichever team grabs the ring. So long as baseball is being played, the day is a little brighter. We'll have enough offseason for everyone presently.

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Wednesday, October 27, 2010

World Series Game 1: Giants 11, Rangers 7

Top 1st: Tim Lincecum gave up a single to leadoff man Elvis Andrus; he eventually scored on a bizarre infield single from Vlad Guerrero that bounced off Lincecum and rolled out to shallow right. He must have had an awful case of nerves out there, since he then blew a rundown play on Nelson Cruz's bouncer back to the mound. The mental mistake — which led to Cruz reaching — cost him nothing since he induced a double play from Ian Kinsler.
Marijuana kills brain cells, kids. Science.
Sam Miller

Bottom 1st: Freddie Sanchez gets a one-out single that makes Vlad Guerrero run, but then he erases himself by drifting too far off the bag. That let Ian Kinsler double him up on Buster Posey's popup, ending the inning. Did someone put stupid pills in the San Francisco dugout water cooler?

Top 2nd: Benjie Molina singles, and then Cliff Lee doubled, with one out. Really?. This game looks like it's getting out of hand in a hurry, and Lincecum had 31 pitches already.

Andrus sac flies Molina home as the ball came in quite wide. 2-0 Rangers.

Bottom 3rd: After Lincecum got the game to the bottom half 1-2-3 for the first time all game, Edgar Rentaria reached on a David Young error. Lincecum failed to bunt him over, but then Cliff Lee plunked Andres Torres. Freddie Sanchez then doubled to put the Giants on the board 2-1, and with one out, the Giants could get a sac fly to tie it up.

Buster Posey whacked one into the outfield that tied the game 2-2, and would have given the team the lead but for Torres having to hold at second.

Bottom 3rd: Lee wobbled through Lincecum's at-bat, but got him out. But then Torres doubled, and Sanchez doubled him in to give the Giants their first lead of this World Series, 3-2. Jayson Stark claims this is the first time Lee has surrendered five doubles in a single game in a Texas uniform.

Darren O'Day warms up while Lee continued to struggle; eventually, he gave up an RBI single to NLCS MVP Cody Ross, cashing in Freddy Sanchez from second. Lee is perilously close to getting pulled before five. Pat Burrell knocked another one in with a second consecutive two-out single, and that's all for Lee. 5-2 Giants, and the game isn't even through five. Strange: on two consecutive plays, Josh Hamilton did not attempt a play at the plate.

Juan Uribe took the first two pitches from Darren O'Day, crushing one into the seats to make it 8-2 Giants. The game is really getting out of hand, but the Rangers can really score in a hurry and there's a lot of game left. Not that it mattered — Edgar Rentaria got plunked, and then Andrus kicked a ball that let Lincecum reach on a dribbler up the middle. The wheels are falling off for the Rangers.

Top 6th: After striking out the first two batters, Lincecum walked Ian Kinsler and gave up an RBI double to Bengie Molina for an 8-3 advantage. Of course it's Bengie.

And done ... The Giants tacked on three more, and the Rangers went after a few themselves, but not so many as los Gigantes...

ESPN Box

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Monday, October 25, 2010

More Nice Words On Mike Trout

From Baseball America's Jim Callis:
[...] Trout is a lot better than almost anyone realized. He floated a $2.5 million price tag the night before the 2009 draft, but that didn't really scare teams away. The Angels, who didn't believe his asking price, were on him more than anyone and took him with their second of two first-round choices. He signed for a slot bonus of $1.215 million.

Viewed as a raw athlete at the time of the draft, Trout has proved to be anything but raw. He didn't face elite competition as a New Jersey high schooler and had some length and loopiness in his swing, so he wasn't expect to hit pro pitching right away. Yet he has batted .344 in two years of pro ball. He was graded as having 70 speed on the 20-80 scouting scale, and it turns out that was selling him short, because he's an 80 runner.

I'd feel better about Trout delivering on his promise compared to Kotchman, McPherson and Wood. I liked all of those players, but they all had flaws they couldn't overcome. Kotchman never hit more than 10 homers in a minor league season and his power never developed like the Angels hoped. Even during their breakout seasons, McPherson and Wood struck out in bunches, which proved to be their undoing in the majors.

Even if Trout doesn't get any better than he is right now—which would be silly, seeing as how he's just 19—he'd hit for average, get on base and run wild once he did, and play a quality center field. His power is still developing, and he should hit at least 20 homers per season once he gets more aggressive about driving pitches. He's a more well-rounded player than Kotchman, McPherson or Wood ever were.

I think Callis is wrong about McPherson — it was his inability to stay healthy, and an inability to take walks, that destroyed his career. The strikeouts didn't help, but 27 walks in 505 plate appearances is horrible.

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Tim Wallach Out As Milwaukee's New Manager, Likely Dodgers' Third Base Coach

Per Tony Jackson at ESPN; Lorenzo Bundy, who preceded him in that role in Albuquerque, is likely to take the reins once more for the Dodgers' AAA franchise. Via MSTI.

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Please, Let's Keep The Angels' 50th Anniversary Celebrations To A Minimum

I understand about the desire to celebrate the Angels' 50th anniversary — really, I do — but the 1961 team was 70-91. There's some reasons for hope next year — already, I think the bullpen situation is clearer at this point than it was going into the offseason last year — but the history of the Angels prior to 2002 was laden with disappointment. In some ways, the post-2002 squads have been as well, seeing how they've been swept by their historical foe Boston twice in the postseason, and failed to make another World Series appearance despite having the strongest team in franchise history, the 100-win 2008 team.

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The Myth Of The Myth Of The Small-Market Series

Over the last 48 hours, I've seen various people carp on Twitter, and now in Sabernomics, that the upcoming Giants/Rangers World Series is not, in fact, a small-market series, this according to Nielsen market breakdown. That's all well and good, but it fails to take into consideration the hidden issues of how valuable each team's fan is, both to the broadcasters (indirect value) and to the team itself (direct value such as ticket sales, parking, etc.) I would be willing to bet that the Red Sox are much better at monetizing their fans than the Giants or Rangers, i.e. they have more engaged fans than either team. And of course, the Yankees have more fans than anybody.

Also: converted to actual market size numbers, the gap from a Phillies (3M)/Yankees (7.5M, total 10.5M households) World Series to a Giants (2.5M)/Rangers (2.6M) World Series amounts to a difference of nearly half.

(Nate Barlow at Deep Into Sports last year did a calculation on a related issue, payroll dollars spent per audience household.)

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Saturday, October 23, 2010

ALCS Game 6: Rangers Advance To The World Series: Rangers 6, Yankees 1

Some guy named Ian O'Connor claimed the Yankees have no heart, by which I take it to mean they lost. The funny thing is, the Rangers were a 90-win team this year, but they're going to the World Series, which tells you about the magic of short series.

I will enjoy watching the Yankees pick up the pieces this offseason, and in particular, what they decide to do with Derek Jeter, he of the endless hero worship.

I really, sincerely wish to congratulate the Rangers, who stand a good chance of being the first major league team in Texas to actually bring home a trophy. I still imagine we're going to see a Rangers/Giants series, which would probably annoy Fox no end.

ESPN Box

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Friday, October 22, 2010

If You're A Member Of Rob Neyer's Club, You're In For Life

Rob Neyer thinks the Mets taking their sweet time finding a new GM is a good sign, and more importantly, this:
I happen to think either [Josh] Byrnes or [Sandy] Alderson would do a fine job, though of course Alderson's got the more impressive track record.
This is something akin to saying that the RMS Olympic did a better job of staying afloat than the Titanic. Presiding over five seasons of the Snakes' roster, they went 383-427 with one postseason appearance that resulted in a NLCS loss (the 2007 team). Alderson's A's teams went 1,274-1,252 on his watch (1983-1998) with four postseason appearances, including three consecutive World Series appearances with one win among them.

Now, I'm generally in favor of sabermetrics — the provable is better than the opposite — but this seems to me to be a sort of reflexive nod to the Red Sox. Byrnes, who was formerly the Red Sox' AGM, was also associated with Bill James' tenure there, making him part of the club ... looking at the last four years of Alderson's tenure in Oakland, you can see why he ended up leaving: three last-place finishes, and one third place. But ... rilly? Hiring the no-managerial-experience-whatsoever A.J. Hinch as the team's manager? Did Alderson ever do anything that boneheaded?

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Report: Sandy Alderson Named Next Mets GM

And by extension, Logan White will still be in the Dodgers' employ.

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Thursday, October 21, 2010

Angels Promote National Cross-Checker Ric Wilson To Scouting Director

Per the Times.
“I want to thank the Angels’ organization for the opportunity they have given me,” Wilson said in the team's release. “We will continue to bring impact-type players from all means available as per the draft, international market, free agents and trades. We will concentrate on power bats, power arms, speed and defense in order to create a balance of high-end players, as well as solid overall baseball players.”

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Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Trey Hillman Likely To Be The Next Dodgers' Bench Coach

Per dodgers.com; MSTI recalls the beginning and end of his tenure in Kansas City. The most disturbing part is the managerial malpractice, though every now and then even a manager I generally like and have high esteem for (Mike Scioscia) will pull a boner out of his hat (or particularly in Scioscia's case, subscribes to a fanciful offensive strategery). More of a "meh" move given he's the bench coach, but since Don Mattingly has no major league experience, this is also subject to that much more scrutiny.

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Pickoff Moves

NLCS Game 3: Yes We Cain, And Other Stupid Puns Involving The Giants' Starter: Giants 3, Phillies 0

Well, really, not so much, because I'm not going to go there. The biggest moment of drama in this game was in the seventh, when Matt Cain plunked Carlos Ruiz and let pinch-hitter Ross Gload reach on a walk, launching a two-out rally. Bruce Bochy, not known as a particularly shrewd manager (but smarter than Donnie Baseball!), walked to the mound, chatted with Cain, and let him ride it out. The move worked, as Shane Victorino tapped meekly to second to end the threat.

Cody Ross once again burnished his postseason resume, driving in the first of the Giants' three runs, and as it proved, the only one they would need. Amazing fact: Ross has driven in seven of the team's 18 postseason runs this year. Better to be lucky than good, I suppose.

ESPN Box

Worst-Case Scenarios: Rangers 10, Yankees 3

Clearly, Ron Washington put his faith in the wrong man for the rotation; Tommy Hunter had little to offer, giving up all three of the Yankees' runs, including one that should have been ruled fan interference upon video replay; but the next one, a long loud Lance Berkman foul, caused a huddle and a replay, and on review was adjudged a foul, correctly. It's my opinion that Jeffery Maier and Steve Bartman incidents will only be prevented if people recognize, that as with any sort of ball in play, there are negative and direct consequences for interfering with a game ball.

Regardless, it didn't much matter for the Yanks, as Joe Girardi trusted A.J. Burnett past his expiration date, intentionally walking David Murphy to face Benjie Molina. Now, Molina's history with the Yanks was rather infamous, in particular wrecking Yankees pitching in the 2005 ALDS with three home runs. The first pitch from Burnett ended up in the seats, the Rangers took a lead they would not relinquish, and that was the game, mainly, though the Yankees bullpen really cemented things by handing over an insurmountable 10-3 lead.

Mat Gleason elsewhere — and I am too lazy to look up which of his guises on Facebook posted this — was happy to advance a Yankees/Giants World Series because it would do maximum damage to the Dodgers. I really don't much care who wins the National League pennant, but I would like to see a Rangers/Giants series for several reasons. First, the Rangers have never been anywhere in the postseason before, so there's a certain amount of first-timer's luck that you don't mind advancing them. Second, the Giants could use a World Series title to keep some of the louder-mouthed Dodger fans from being quite so obnoxious. Third, the notion of two relatively small-market teams being in the Series will limit ratings, so this will hurt Fox — an entity I despise, not least because of their stupid mishandling of Saturday baseball blackouts. Even if it doesn't work out that way, I can live with any eventuality, even a Phillies/Yankees series (which would be Fox's preferred outcome, I'm sure). But I have my druthers.

ESPN Box

That's Why It's So Dark At Safeco: Eric Wedge Is Makin' Stuff Up

There's no "electricity" at Safeco. Really.

A Stupid Irritation: Video Mashups Are Only For Corporate Sponsors

Doesn't this Sprint-sponsored MLB video mashup irritate the heck out of you, especially when MLB consistently goes after anyone who uses even the tiniest clip from a ballgame on YouTube? Fair Use is utterly unknown to them ... unless somebody's paying for it.

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Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Jon Heyman: Lilly Gets 3 Years/$33M

Though the official release on dodgers.com is silent on the matter, Sports Illustrated's Jon Heyman claims en passant that Ted Lilly has a three year/$33M deal with the Dodgers. There's also a conflicting report from MSTI that it's actually a 4/$40M deal, but I haven't seen that elsewhere.

Update: Ken Gurnick confirms the 3 year/$33M figure.

Update 2: Dylan Hernandez of the Times says that there will be no deferred money on Lilly's deal. He also has a no-trade clause during the first two years of his deal.

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McCourts Enter Their Statements

Molly Knight does yeoman's work in degreasing the final statements before Judge Gordon renders judgment on the case:
In Monday's filing her attorneys wrote: "The parties have identified only three reported cases from any jurisdiction in the United States where parties executed two different and inconsistent versions of what purported to be the same instrument. In each of those cases, the courts concluded that no contract had been created because of lack of mutual assent."

Attorneys for Frank McCourt are seeking to have the version of the marital property agreement that gives their client sole possession of the Dodgers upheld because they say it was what the couple always intended.

I'm thinking Jamie wins this round. The case will kick around in appeals courts for two or three years, though, with the fans as captives. Sucks to be us!

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Monday, October 18, 2010

Tony LaRussa Will Return To The Cards In 2011

Aaron Gleeman reports that Tony LaRussa will return to the Cardinals on a one-year deal for 2011, with an option for 2012.

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Pickoff Moves

Philly Gets The Split On Strong Nights From Oswalt, Werth: Phillies 6, Giants 1

A pretty close game through six and a half frames, until starter Jonathan Sanchez imploded in the bottom of the seventh. Sanchez gave up a two-out, bases-loaded walk in the first that proved an omen for San Francisco's chances. Bruce Bochy finally pulled his starter in the bottom of the seventh after giving up a leadoff single to Roy Oswalt, who was very much on his game; the Phillies' star surrendered only a single run while striking out nine, and even scoring a run. Sanchez had previously only logged a single loss in his career to Philadelphia, but funny things happen in the postseason.

ESPN Box

The First Casualty Of Eric Wedge In Seattle: Milton Bradley

Aaron Gleeman raises a fantastic point: Milton Bradley's bad attitude toward Eric Wedge (really? A "F*ck Eric Wedge" t-shirt in the locker room?) got him shipped to the Dodgers. He was a much better player then, and I can only imagine what happens now. Do the M's eat the remaining $12M on his current deal? I would bet they do, and so does U.S.S. Mariner.

Angels Honors

Two, so far:

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Sunday, October 17, 2010

Pickoff Moves

The Rangers Get One Right: Rangers 7, Yankees 2

After Friday's eighth-inning reversal of fortunes, it seemed like Ron Washington had some making up to do. Whether he would get that chance depended directly on getting to Phil Hughes, which they did presently; a delayed double-steal of a run in the first, a David Murphy home run (! he had twelve in the regular season, and now he turns into Babe Ruth?), and a Michael Young RBI "double" down the right field line that was more like a dribbler that just scooted past ex-Ranger Mark Teixeira with barely a flinch — and the Rangers were up 3-0. An inning later and it was 5-0, and of a sudden Huntington Beach native Colby Lewis was in line for a win that this time Washington's bullpen wouldn't breach.

They've gotta win one in the Bronx now, though. It would take a lot for this blog's hidden mantra of Anybody But The Yankees to change, and so I'm still down with the Rangers. AL West pride, or something like that.

ESPN Box

NLCS Game 1: Unexpected Postseason Heroics, Part 2: Giants 4, Phillies 3

Both championship series are interesting to me, but I find the NL series particularly compelling because the opponents are well-matched; the Phillies are the better offensive team, but the Giants have better pitching. Series like this end up being decided on random events, and that was ex-Dodger Cody Ross having a two-homer night. Neither starter was dominant after coming off historic postseason games, but Lincecum's offense pushed him into the win column, just barely, and that despite a typical Brian Wilson (i.e. shaky and baserunner-laden) save. If nothing else, it provided a pleasant diversion from thinking about the Yankees accumulating their next MLB-mandated set of rings, scheduled for later in the month.

http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/boxscore?gameId=301016122">ESPN Box

Other Stuff

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Friday, October 15, 2010

Seattle Chooses Eric Wedge For New Manager

Per Jon Heyman.

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The Gift Of Failure: Musings On Texas' Division Win

Jay Jaffe has a very readable article in Pinstriped Bible detailing the steps that Rangers GM Jon Daniels took to turn around the long-beleaguered franchise. He deserves a lot of praise for it; the Rangers had been the laughingstock of the division for a while now, and this despite having the highest-paid player in the majors at the time, A-Rod — who was still on the Rangers' payroll for a time. (As Dan Szymborski pointed out, it was hardly A-Rod's fault that the team was losing; that was more a factor of poor drafts and bad free agent signings, such as Chan Ho Park.) A deft trade for Cliff Lee from collapsing Seattle, a focus on up-the-middle defense from new shortstop Elvis Andrus (called up from AA) that moved Texas to the upper reaches of team defensive efficiency, some gambles-paid-off in the conversion of C.J. Wilson to the rotation and the pickup of Japan League expat pitcher Colby Lewis (who perfected the art of junkballing while with the Hiroshima Carp) — all had a significant role in improving the team.

But unexplored in Jay's piece is the role the Angels had in gifting the Rangers with uninspired competition for the division. It's worth mentioning that the Angels posted only their third season of less than 90 wins since 2002, and only their second losing season in that span. The second-place, 81-81 A's were scarcely better. In fact, in only one year since 2002 has the AL West been so weak that no other teams had a winning record besides the division champion — 2008. The Angels may not have given away the division — full credit to Texas for winning — but they certainly didn't make it interesting, either, especially in the second half.

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On The Occasion Of Kirk Gibson's Pinch-Hit Home Run In 1988

Enough. Roberto's right: many Dodger fans weren't even born at the time of Gibby's heroics. It's time for another generation's memories.

And Frank is not the man to take the team there.

More on the celebrations: Vin Scully, MLB.com via the Dodgers' official Twitter feed.

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On Shareholder Ownership Of The Dodgers

The Daily News' Tom Hoffarth recently wrote a piece about shareholder ownership of the Dodgers. I have always been of the belief that MLB wouldn't allow a Green Bay Packers scenario because of a proscription on public ownership; the real reason is that business is good, MLB doesn't want an undifferentiated mass of people it largely doesn't know running a team, and there will be no shortage of buyers available should the Dodgers end up on the auction block.

Jon hated it, too. I'm largely with Jon there; the itch to pander, which is always a bad idea, is doubly bad in baseball because unlike football, the draft is important but not for picking out college or high school stars (who may or may not turn into pro stars), but for eventually recognizing, through attrition, those who may become stars.

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Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Rangers Advance: Rangers 5, Rays 1

So, a Phillies/Yanks rematch, yes?

ESPN Box

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Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Giants Advance As Bobby Cox Runs Out Of Outs: Giants 3, Braves 2

The Giants ended Bobby Cox's long tenure in Atlanta, squeezing a win out of three runs and a fine Jonathan Sanchez pitching performance. Once again, Brooks Conrad butchered a play to give San Francisco the lead in the ninth; I wonder if he doesn't get moved or released in the offseason.

ESPN Box

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Monday, October 11, 2010

Two Exits

Twins

I am inclined to agree with David Pinto: Fire Ron Gardenhire. At some point, there must be accountability, and the Twins have lost all but one postseason series of the last decade, and the first of the new one, for the third straight time by a sweep, and the 12th straight postseason loss. Gardy's contract is up for negotiation this offseason, and I can only assume he's going to be renewed. But I could be wrong.

My main point for his firing: a 3-0 lead going into the 6th on Wednesday, and he can't find it in his heart to pull his starter, Francisco Liriano? Not even after Liriano had a genuinely unimpressive 4.29 September ERA?

Braves

I have been exchanging talk with the Baseball Crank on Twitter, and it seems to me that the list of Hall of Famers Bobby Cox has managed might, by itself, make an interesting post (even including presumptive Cooperstown denizen Greg Maddux). But I say now, the whole series really fell on the poor sap Brooks Conrad, whose three errors made it possible for the Giants to slip past the hometown nine to ultimately advance to the NLCS. Brooks Conrad will never be confused with Brooks Robinson, but Bobby Cox will almost certainly make it to the tablet of Fame in New York.

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Dodgers Announce Season Ticket Prices

Roberto Baly passes on the Dodgers' 2011 season ticket prices, with price hikes for left field pavilion and top deck seats, with other seat prices declining or remaining the same.
The primary areas that will see an increase in season-ticket prices are the front row of each deck and the first four rows of the Left Field Pavilion, which have become the most coveted seating areas in their respective sections. In all instances where prices increase, season-ticket holders will be offered additional benefits, including free tickets to games on lower levels, Stadium Club passes and complimentary Spring Training tickets.

In the top deck, season tickets will return to 1992 pricing of $6, rather than the $4 per seat at which they have been offered recently. Officials said the approach to Top Deck pricing was driven by a no-show rate of more than twice the other areas in the ballpark.

The difference between the $6 and $4 price I don't see as a huge deal. I expect the comments from the press release about the "no-show rate" is code for "scalper", which is always a problem for any team, because butts in the seats buy food, but empty seats don't.

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Friday, October 08, 2010

Random Thoughts On The Postseason, And Another Dodger Firing

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Tuesday, October 05, 2010

Look Out, "Ninja", You're Next: Arte Takes Aim

Obviously, I'm not a fan of Bill Plaschke, but one sentence in today's column speaks volumes:
"We're trying to improve how we operate, from the baseball side," he said. "We were thin this year. We didn't have the depth we needed. Everything starts with how we draft and how we develop, and we will do a better job of that."
And who would have been director of player development prior to becoming GM?

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Angels Release Head Trainer Ned Bergert, Scout Dale Sutherland

According to the Times; Bergert had been with the team 36 years, and Sutherland 19. This came on the heels of Eddie Bane's departure, along with the firings of amateur scouts Jim Bryant, Bart Braun Jr. and Jeff Scholzen. It's looking like it's gonna be a long, bloody winter.

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Monday, October 04, 2010

Logan White STILL Sans Contract, Other Dodgers Coaching Changes

Per Molly Knight:
I can't say whether there's a new contract or not. At this moment I'm still a Dodger. I wish I could say more, but I can't.
Ken Rosenthal tweets that Larry Bowa and Mariano Duncan will leave the organization. It's unclear what will happen to pitching coach Rick Honeycutt. Earlier, bench coach Bob Schaefer announced his exit from the team.

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The End Of The Season, The Start Of The Postseason: Thoughts After 162 Games

In no special order:

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